Lima Vote Count at 60.6%: López Aliaga List Leads
Elections: Peru
Key Facts
—Count. At 60.55% of tally sheets counted (ONPE, cut at 01:12 in Lima on Monday 5 October, 02:12 a.m. ET), the Renovación Popular list led Lima with 28.181% of valid votes. Francis Allison of Avanza País had 27.922%.
—Quick count. Datum’s own quick count, built from a sample and not an official result, put the two at 27.6% and 26.7%, a margin of error of 1 point.
—Law. Rafael López Aliaga heads the list as first councillor, not as mayoral candidate. Whether he may take the office is still a question for the electoral courts.
—Regions. Datum’s exit poll points to governor runoffs in 14 regions. Official regional counts are still too thin to confirm any of them.
—Date. Any regional runoff is set for Sunday 29 November 2026. Governors need 30% of valid votes to win outright.
—For US readers. Peru is a top copper producer. Southern Copper, Freeport-McMoRan and Buenaventura trade in New York, and mining regions elect governors.
Peru’s vote for Lima’s next mayor was still too close to call on Monday morning. With 60.55% of tally sheets counted, the list led by former mayor Rafael López Aliaga held a lead of just 0.26 percentage points over Francis Allison, according to figures from ONPE, the national electoral office, carried by the state news agency Andina.
The count began on Sunday 4 October after polls closed. It decides the mayor of a city of millions and 25 regional governors, and it will take days to finish. For US readers the stakes sit in Peru’s copper regions, which choose governors who deal with mining protests and informal miners.
Live results
Follow Peru’s vote count on our results page
The Lima count, the regional map and what a 29 November runoff would mean, updated as ONPE publishes new tallies.
Lima: Who Becomes Mayor
Polls closed at 5 p.m. in Lima on Sunday and ONPE published its first cuts that evening. The early lead of Renovación Popular has narrowed as more tally sheets arrived. At 47.156% counted it was 28.337% to 27.785% (El Comercio). At 56.19% it was 28.176% to 27.944%. At 60.55% it was 28.181% to 27.922% (Andina). The gap has held at about a quarter of a point in the last two cuts.
| List (candidate) | Valid votes at 60.55% |
|---|---|
| Renovación Popular (López Aliaga, first councillor) | 28.181% |
| Avanza País (Francis Allison) | 27.922% |
| Somos Perú (Carlos Bruce) | 15.253% |
| Podemos Perú (Daniel Urresti) | 7.578% |
Source: ONPE count as reported by Andina, 01:12 Lima time (02:12 a.m. ET) on Monday 5 October 2026. Lima Metropolitana has 26 competing lists.
Datum, a polling firm, ran its own quick count on a sample of tally sheets. It gave López Aliaga 27.6%, Allison 26.7% and Bruce 15.0%, with a margin of error of 1 point. That is a technical tie, and it is not an official result. Datum’s earlier exit poll of voters leaving polling places, which has a margin of error of about 3 points, had shown López Aliaga further ahead, at 31.2% to 25.2%.
Allison has said he will respect the official results and support whoever becomes mayor, according to Andina. Urresti has accused the electoral court of failing to say what happens if the winning list’s first councillor cannot take the office.
That is the legal knot. López Aliaga was mayor of Lima from 2023 to 2026, and the constitution bars immediate re-election of mayors. Luis Rubio, the list’s mayoral candidate, resigned on 4 August, which left López Aliaga as first councillor. The national electoral court (JNE) confirmed his candidacy as first councillor. It handled the challenge on procedural grounds and did not rule on whether the arrangement is a hidden re-election, as critics allege. It has not said who would receive the mayoral credential if the list wins. The Lima Centro electoral jury proclaims municipal results, and its decision can be appealed to the JNE plenary. Critics argue that if López Aliaga cannot serve, the second councillor on the list, Jeanette Alonzo, would take the office. A Renovación Popular deputy says he trusts Burneo to proclaim López Aliaga.
The Regions: Who Leads, Where a Runoff Looms
A governor wins outright with at least 30% of valid votes. Where no ticket reaches that level, the top two meet in a Second Regional Election on Sunday 29 November. Municipal races have no runoff.
Datum’s exit poll said 14 regions would not produce a winner in the first round: Amazonas, Áncash, Arequipa, Huancavelica, Ica, La Libertad, Lambayeque, Lima Provincias, Loreto, Moquegua, Piura, Puno, Tumbes and Ucayali. An exit poll is an estimate, and the official regional counts are far behind the Lima count.
The only official regional counts we could find are early ones from Sunday night. In Arequipa, Alfredo Zegarra of Fuerza Arequipeña led with 29.011% at 22.246% of tally sheets counted, just under the 30% line (dsn.pe, 10:32 p.m. Lima time). In Cusco, the Venceremos alliance of Verónika Mendoza led with 27.629% at 11.083% counted (Infobae Perú). In the Callao region, Renovación Popular led with 52.078% (La República). Rural tally sheets arrive last and can change the order.
Who Is Who
- Rafael López Aliaga, Renovación Popular: conservative former mayor of Lima, running as first councillor on his party’s list.
- Francis Allison, Avanza País: mayor of Magdalena del Mar on leave to run, second in the count. He has said he will meet López Aliaga on Monday and recognise the official result.
- Carlos Bruce, Somos Perú: former housing minister and former mayor of Surco, third in the count.
- Daniel Urresti, Podemos Perú: former interior minister, fourth in the count.
- Verónika Mendoza, Venceremos: left-wing politician who ran for president in 2016 and 2021. Datum’s exit poll gave her 33.7% in Cusco.
- Alfredo Zegarra, Fuerza Arequipeña: leading the early Arequipa count.
- Keiko Fujimori, Fuerza Popular: president of Peru since 28 July. She is not on this ballot.
- Roberto Burneo: president of the JNE, which hears appeals and will decide the López Aliaga question.
- ONPE: runs the count. JNE: sets the rules, hears appeals and proclaims results.
Why It Matters for the US
Peru produced about 2.8 million tonnes of copper in 2025, a record, according to Peru’s mining ministry as reported by Infobae Perú. That makes it one of the world’s top producers. Southern Copper, Freeport-McMoRan and Buenaventura are listed in New York. Governors and mayors in mining regions shape how protests and informal mining are handled. Arequipa, where Freeport-McMoRan runs the Cerro Verde mine, is one of the regions that Datum expects to go to a runoff.
Nothing on this ballot changes national mining or tax law, and Fujimori stays president. The risk for investors is local: delays, protests and uncertainty over who governs. Peru’s central bank is scheduled to decide its policy rate on Wednesday 7 October (EODHD calendar). The rate was 4.25% at the previous decision.
What Happens Next
ONPE keeps updating the count as tally sheets arrive. For the regional election, the JNE has asked ONPE to hand contested tally sheets to the local electoral juries by Sunday 11 October, and recount hearings may run until Wednesday 28 October. Juries then proclaim winners, and appeals go to the JNE. JNE president Roberto Burneo has said results could be proclaimed in the first days of November at the latest. ONPE has formally asked the JNE to reconsider the runoff date and keep Sunday 6 December for logistical reasons. The court has set 29 November, and Burneo said it will study the request, so the date is not final.
What Is Not Known
We do not know the final Lima result, whether López Aliaga can take office if his list wins, which regions will go to a second round, whether the runoff date will move, or how many tally sheets will be contested. We could not read the ONPE results portal directly, which blocks automated access, so every number here comes from ONPE figures published by Andina and Peruvian media. We have not named a winner because the electoral authorities have not.
Who is winning the Lima mayor race?
At 60.55% of tally sheets counted (ONPE, Monday 5 October 2026, 01:12 Lima time), the Renovación Popular list led with 28.181% of valid votes, ahead of Francis Allison of Avanza País with 27.922%. No winner has been declared and the count is still partial.
Can Rafael López Aliaga become mayor again?
That is not settled. He ran as first councillor on the list after Luis Rubio resigned as mayoral candidate. The JNE confirmed his candidacy but did not rule on whether it is a hidden re-election, which the constitution bars. The Lima Centro electoral jury proclaims results, and its decision can be appealed to the JNE.
Which Peruvian regions will hold a governor runoff?
Not yet confirmed. Datum’s exit poll points to 14 regions, but exit polls are estimates. A runoff takes place only where no governor ticket wins 30% of valid votes, and official regional counts are still partial.
When is the regional runoff?
Sunday 29 November 2026, the date the JNE set for a possible Second Regional Election. ONPE has asked the JNE to reconsider and keep 6 December. The court has said it will study the request.
Sources
ONPE count as published by Andina (60.55% and 56.19% of tally sheets, 5 October 2026); El Comercio live count (47.156%); La República and Infobae Perú regional counts; Datum quick count and exit poll; Jurado Nacional de Elecciones, plenary agreement of 30 September 2026 on the Second Regional Election; Peru’s mining ministry copper figure as reported by Infobae Perú; dsn.pe; EODHD economic calendar.
More: Peru elections results page, Peru likely heads to 14 regional runoffs, Peru sets regional runoff for November.
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