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Analysis

Latin America’s Silent 2026 Risk: A Returning El Niño

Analysis
Key Points — NOAA’s April 2026 outlook gives a 61% probability of El Niño emergence in the May-July window rising to 62% for June-August, with...

Trump and Latin America 2026: Tariffs, the Maduro Capture, and the New Monroe Doctrine

Analysis
Key Points Trump's second term has reshaped hemispheric order through tariffs on 185 countries, the capture of Venezuela's Maduro, and a revived Monroe Doctrine aimed at excluding China from Latin America US border apprehensions...

Lula Government 2026: Approval Crisis, Election Race, and Brazil’s Balancing Act

Analysis
Key Points Lula's approval has fallen to 45% with 51% disapproval, and Flavio Bolsonaro has closed a 12-point deficit to reach a statistical tie...

Chile Economy 2026: Kast, Copper, and the Path Forward

Analysis
Key Points Chile's economy grew 2.5% in 2025 and is forecast to expand 2.0%–2.4%...

Oil and Energy in Latin America 2026: The Complete...

Analysis
  Key Points Brazil's Petrobras hit 5.3 million boe/d in February 2026 — a 16.4% year-on-year surge — while Argentina's...

Brazil Football 2026: Brasileirão, World Cup, and the Business of the Beautiful Game

Analysis
Key Points Palmeiras lead the 2026 Brasileirão by six points after 11 rounds, while Flamengo — despite sacking their most successful coach hours after...

Bolivia Economy 2026: Political Break, Reform Agenda, and What Comes Next

Key Points Rodrigo Paz ended two decades of MAS rule in November 2025 and immediately declared an economic emergency,...

Gilmar Mendes and Brazil’s Supreme Court (STF): A Complete Guide

Key Points Gilmar Mendes, the STF's longest-serving active justice, faces a formal congressional impeachment recommendation for the first time...

Paraguay: Washington’s Most Valued Ally in Latin America

Analysis
Key Points Paraguay posted 6% GDP growth in 2025 — nearly triple the Latin...

Latin America Stock Markets 2026: Ibovespa, Merval, COLCAP, IPSA and IPC Guide

Latin America stock markets hit record highs in 2026 led by the Ibovespa at 197K. This guide covers all five major indices, foreign flows, ETFs, and the Iran war impact.

Mexico Economy 2026: GDP, Peso, Nearshoring, Banxico and Trade

Mexico economy guide for 2026 covering GDP recovery, Banxico rate cuts, peso dynamics, record nearshoring FDI, USMCA review risks, and the Iran war impact on prices.

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