For the first time, Bolsonaro is ahead in a poll with 52.7% of valid votes and Lula da Silva gets 47.3%

President Jair Bolsonaro (PL, right) has 52.7% of the valid votes, and former President Luiz Lula da Silva (PT, left) 47.3% of the votes in the Brasmarket poll of electoral intentions conducted on Thursday, Oct. 20.

Valid votes do not include white, invalid, and people who say they do not know.

For the survey, 2,400 people were consulted between Oct. 15 and 19.

The margin of error is two percentage points higher or lower.

The poll was registered with the TSE under number BR-05389/2022 and commissioned by the Supermarket Association of Rio de Janeiro.

VALID VOTES

Bolsonaro (PL): 52.7%.
Lula (PT): 47.3%.

TOTAL VOTES

When including white and zero in a stimulating question (when the candidates’ name is mentioned), the result was:

Bolsonaro (PL): 45.5%.
Lula (PT): 40.8%.
Don’t know/no answer: 4.3%.
Blank/zero: 5.1%.

BRASMARKET IN THE FIRST ROUND

The Brasmarket poll diverged significantly from former President Lula da Silva’s results in the first round.

The institute’s last poll before the Oct. 2 election saw Bolsonaro with 45.4% of the valid votes, ahead of Lula, who received 30.9%.

The result in the polls was 48.43 percent for Lula (up 17 points, outside the margin of error) and 43.2 percent for Bolsonaro (down just over two points, closer to the margin of error).