Cabo Verde presidential election, Sunday, 15 November: the date and times, what is at stake, live prediction-market odds and every update as it happens.
Implied chances from traders’ prices. Prices are bets, not polls.
Who wins Cabo Verde's presidency
José Maria Neves87.5%
Janine Lélis4%
Joana Rosa3.9%
Casimiro de Pina1.4%
Polymarket: US$34,000 traded.
Kalshi: winning party
PAICV81%
MpD11%
UCID5%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 4,196 contracts traded.
Kalshi: outright first-round win
First-round winner69%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 3,376 contracts traded.
As of Friday, 23 October, 3:27 a.m. ET, updated every 20 minutes.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
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