Brazil’s Financial Morning Call for Thursday, September 24, 2026
Key Facts
- The central bank’s quarterly report lands at 8:00 a.m. BRT and is the main domestic catalyst for the Copom Selic wager, feeding into the odds for the 3 and 4 November meeting.
- B3 S.A. (B3SA3), the São Paulo exchange operator, went ex on 23 September for R$0.226635 gross per share, of which R$0.150688 is extraordinary, payable 7 October 2026.
- FGV Consumer Confidence is due at 8:00 a.m. BRT with a previous reading of 84.7, offering a fresh gauge of household sentiment before the opening hour moves settle.
- The National Monetary Council, or CMN, meets today though no decision or timing is specified, leaving the Inflation Report as the clearest rate-policy signal on the calendar.
- No verified pre-market indication is available for the Ibovespa or USD/BRL so the opening levels must come from a live B3 or market-data feed, not from yesterday’s close.
Today’s Focus
Brazil’s morning hangs on one document: the central bank’s quarterly report at 8:00 a.m. BRT. It will tell traders whether the Copom, the monetary policy committee, has room to keep cutting the Selic, Brazil’s benchmark interest rate, and whether the 3 and 4 November meeting could bring another reduction rather than a pause.
Around the same time, FGV Consumer Confidence lands, with a prior print of 84.7. A stronger number would support the BlackRock view that Brazil is a ‘clear buy’ because the economy does not need to improve much for local equities to deliver returns.
At the corporate level, B3 S.A., the company that runs the São Paulo exchange, traded ex on 23 September, not today. Holders of record on 22 September receive R$0.226635 gross per share, R$0.150688 of it extraordinary, on 7 October.
The real, Brazil’s currency, enters the session without a verified pre-market indication. Traders will watch how the Inflation Report reshapes the Selic wager — and whether that moves USD/BRL back toward, or away from, the levels shown in the board.
What matters today. The 8:00 a.m. BRT central bank report is the single-biggest domestic input for the Selic path. B3SA3 already adjusted for its payout on 23 September.
Today’s Economic Events
| Instrument | Level | Session |
|---|---|---|
| Ibovespa (Brazil) | 185,814 | -0.86% |
| S&P 500 (US) | 7,706 | -0.75% |
| USD/BRL | 5.1703 | +1.36% |
Ibovespa — Source: market close, 23 September 2026.
01 The setup in one read
Forget company earnings — today’s Brazilian session belongs to the central bank. The quarterly central bank report lands at 8:00 a.m. BRT and will set the tone for the Selic wager, the market’s bet on where Brazil’s benchmark interest rate is going.
The report arrives alongside FGV Consumer Confidence, giving traders a double read on the economy just before midday. That combination matters more than any single stock story this morning.
On the corporate side, B3 S.A. went ex on 23 September for R$0.226635 gross per share, of which R$0.150688 is extraordinary. The exchange operator is a turnover leader, so that mechanical adjustment is already in the price.
The real enters without a verified pre-market indication, leaving traders to react to the Inflation Report and the broader Latin American mood. Yesterday’s global equity dip and a firmer dollar are the backdrop.
The evidence points to a morning dominated by rate expectations rather than company results. The report’s growth and inflation projections will determine whether traders raise or trim the odds of another Selic cut at the Copom meeting on 3 and 4 November.
FGV Consumer Confidence offers a secondary domestic check, while B3SA3’s payout adjustment already took place on 23 September and reflects no deterioration in the business. The variable to watch is whether the Inflation Report opens the door to a dovish repricing of the Selic curve.
02 Where Brazil is set to open
| Instrument | Last close | Indicated | Watch today |
|---|---|---|---|
| Ibovespa futures | — | — | Inflation Report shifts the Selic curve |
| USD/BRL spot | — — | Dollar mood and rate-report reaction at 8:00 a.m. BRT | |
| B3SA3 | — went ex 23 Sep R$0.150688 extraordinary plus R$0.075947 quarterly, gross, paid 7 Oct | ||
| PETR4 | — | — | Oil complex and ongoing election headlines |
The table points to a session without a verified opening indication, which means the first 30 minutes after the bell will be driven by news, not by pre-set futures levels. The Inflation Report is the event most likely to move the Ibovespa and the real.
B3SA3 stripped the payout out on 23 September, so today’s price already carries that mechanical adjustment. PETR4, Petrobras’s preferred share, remains a liquidity and sentiment anchor because of its heavy turnover. Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence
Live Market IntelligenceBrazil Morning Call — Live Board
Brazil Morning Call — Live Board
Instrument Last Change YoY Prev. High Low Volume
IBOV
168,498.45
+1.39%
+9.89%
166,191.45
—
—
—
USD/BRL
5.51
-0.03%
+3.27%
5.51
5.51
5.50
—
EUR/BRL
6.14
-0.57%
-0.39%
6.17
6.14
6.13
—
SELIC
13.75%
—
—
—
—
—
BRENT
98.19
-0.13%
+53.28%
98.32
98.42
96.78
2,220
WTI
91.19
+0.40%
+51.65%
90.83
91.42
89.80
17,043
IRON ORE
161.91
—
+55.73%
161.91
161.91
1
GOLD
4,128
+1.31%
+0.15%
4,075
4,143
4,063
30,781
SILVER
53.06
+2.42%
+5.74%
51.80
53.47
51.42
9,067
LITHIUM
60.91
+1.21%
+0.03%
60.18
61.25
60.27
204,575
SOY
1,200
+0.95%
+7.55%
1,189
1,203
1,193
13,773
CORN
442.25
+0.17%
+2.91%
441.50
443.50
440.50
21,722
WHEAT
591.25
+0.00%
+10.36%
591.25
594.00
588.00
10,812
COFFEE
280.15
+1.08%
-32.45%
277.15
282.50
276.00
24,446
SUGAR
18.25
-1.67%
+28.52%
18.56
18.60
18.13
83,842
ORANGE JUICE
130.55
+1.63%
-28.15%
128.45
140.35
135.75
440
COTTON
78.54
-0.22%
+22.13%
78.71
78.38
77.73
15,128
BEEF
214.05
-0.16%
-6.34%
214.40
214.60
210.85
34,881
CATTLE
318.38
-2.05%
-5.15%
325.05
320.35
312.05
14,677
COCOA
5,119
-1.20%
-16.11%
5,181
5,400
5,192
26,530
PETR4
45.36
+0.00%
+46.28%
45.36
45.36
—
—
VALE3
64.04
+0.00%
-2.23%
64.04
64.04
—
—
SUZB3
53.40
+2.12%
+9.76%
52.29
53.42
50.10
13,908,400
KLABIN
17.60
+0.00%
-3.29%
17.60
17.60
—
—
SLCE3
16.61
+1.59%
+15.99%
16.35
16.70
16.25
1,312,900
ABEV3
15.48
+0.00%
+18.35%
15.48
15.48
—
—
ITUB4
40.53
+0.00%
+4.03%
40.53
40.53
—
—
BBDC4
14.20
+0.00%
-24.10%
14.20
14.20
—
—
BBAS3
17.13
+0.00%
-25.07%
17.13
17.13
—
—
B3SA3
14.39
+0.00%
+9.85%
14.39
14.39
—
—
WEGE3
48.19
+0.00%
+9.75%
48.19
48.19
—
—
PRIO3
60.48
+0.00%
+57.25%
60.48
60.48
—
—
RENT3
30.29
+0.00%
-26.39%
30.29
30.29
—
—
AZZA3
14.76
+4.98%
-47.66%
14.06
15.19
13.80
4,143,600
CSNA3
4.41
+0.00%
-48.12%
4.41
4.41
—
—
GGBR4
24.15
+0.00%
+26.31%
24.15
24.15
—
—
ENEV3
26.84
+0.00%
+40.16%
26.84
26.84
—
—
LREN3
9.93
+4.20%
-31.80%
9.53
10.20
8.95
67,961,100
03 On the B3 radar today — Inflation Report and ex-dividend
| Item | When | Why it matters |
|---|---|---|
| BCB quarterly report 8:00 a.m. BRT | Sets the Selic path and the 3-4 November Copom wager | |
| FGV Consumer Confidence | 8:00 a.m. BRT | Fresh read on household demand and spending mood |
| B3SA3 payment 7 Oct Went ex 23 Sep; R$0.150688 extraordinary plus R$0.075947 quarterly, gross | ||
| CMN meeting | — | National Monetary Council session; no decision time given |
| Brazil IPCA-15 mid-month inflation | 25 Sep, 9:00 BRT | Next inflation print, released the following day |
Today’s calendar is thin on corporate earnings but heavy on policy. The central bank report and the consumer-confidence survey both hit at 8:00 a.m. BRT, creating a concentrated window for volatility.
The CMN meeting is on the schedule without a stated decision time, which makes it a background event unless surprising regulatory news emerges. Friday’s IPCA mid-month CPI will give the next hard inflation data point.
04 Copom and the macro backdrop
The Copom Selic wager is the core of Brazilian asset pricing right now. The central bank’s Inflation Report will show whether policymakers see inflation converging toward target, which would support further Selic cuts.
BlackRock’s recent comment that Brazil is a ‘clear buy’ rests on the idea that spending control in 2027 could allow the Selic to fall. That is a medium-term view, but today’s report will show how much room the bank itself sees in the near term.
The Copom meeting on 3 and 4 November remains the key date for traders betting on the next move. If the Inflation Report lowers the inflation forecast or weakens the growth outlook, the odds of a cut should rise, supporting the Ibovespa and pressuring the real.
US 10-year Treasury yields are also part of the equation. The board shows a firmer dollar and a softer global equity tone, which may limit how much Brazilian assets can rally even on a dovish report.
05 Corporate stories to watch today
B3 S.A. is the confirmed corporate name in play. It went ex on 23 September and pays R$0.226635 gross per share on 7 October 2026, R$0.150688 of it an extraordinary payout. The total is R$1.128 billion.
Afya and Yduqs remain in the news after reports of a proposed share-swap merger that would leave Afya shareholders with 69% of the combined company. That is a longer-running story, but any fresh filing could move both education names.
Vale is worth watching after its acquisition of 30% of Ligga, a miner in the Carajás region, for about US$190 million. The deal is small for Vale’s balance sheet but adds high-quality ore and logistics synergies.
Fleury, the healthcare diagnostics firm, has gained roughly 50% this year, and BTG Pactual has been examining the reasons. While no single catalyst is due today, the stock is one to watch if investors keep rotating into defensive health names.
06 The levels to watch at the open
With no verified pre-market indication for the Ibovespa or USD/BRL, the first technical markers to watch are the reaction to the central bank report at 5.17:00 a.m. BRT and the exchange rate’s response to the dollar board.
The real enters the session under pressure from a firmer dollar and a dip in global equities. If the Inflation Report signals more room for Selic cuts, the real could soften further on the rate differential.
Turnover leaders from recent sessions, including PETR4, VALE3 and BBAS3, are the liquidity centres where the first institutional orders will show up. Their opening prints will reveal whether buyers or sellers control the early tape.
B3SA3’s payout drop came on 23 September and should not be read as weakness. The adjustment is mechanical, and the stock is watched for how quickly it absorbs the R$0.226635 per share.
07 What to watch
- BCB Inflation Report: Whether it lowers the inflation or growth projection, shifting the cut odds for the 3 and 4 November Copom meeting
- B3SA3 after the ex-date: The stock adjusted on 23 September; watch whether institutional buyers treat the dip as an entry
- FGV Consumer Confidence: A rise above 84.7 would support the domestic demand story into Friday’s IPCA print
- USD/BRL at 5.17:00 a.m. BRT: The real’s reaction to the rate report will signal whether the Selic path is being repriced dovishly
More: Brazil news, every day from The Rio Times.
Frequently Asked Questions
What is the Copom Selic wager?
It is the market’s bet on how Brazil’s central bank, Copom, will move the Selic, the benchmark interest rate, especially at its meeting on 3 and 4 November.
Why is the Inflation Report important today?
Because it lands at 8:00 a.m. BRT and shows whether the central bank thinks inflation is cooling enough to justify further Selic cuts.
What did B3SA3’s ex-date mean?
B3 S.A., which runs the São Paulo exchange, stripped out R$0.226635 gross per share on 23 September, so the stock adjusted then, not today.
Is there a confirmed pre-market direction for the Ibovespa today?
No, there is no verified pre-market indication for the Ibovespa or USD/BRL, so traders must use live B3 data at the open.
Market data: RT
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated AI newsroom. Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Publisher and Editor-in-Chief. How we use AI · Report an error
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