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since 2009
Wednesday, October 28, 2026

Brazil Brazil Elections 2026

Trump Cites Brazil in Texas Vote-Rigging Jab

By · October 28, 2026 · 6 min read
President Trump and President Lula shake hands and smile in front of a US flag and a Brazilian flag, with blue curtains behind them
Photo: The White House / Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)

BRAZIL · US POLITICS

Key Facts

  • —What is happening Trump told a Texas rally on Tuesday, 27 October, that Democrats are the greatest election cheaters. He said Brazil is ‘doing a pretty good job also’.
  • —Why it matters The remark came two days after Lula won Brazil’s runoff and one week before US midterm elections on Tuesday, 3 November. Flávio Bolsonaro, Lula’s rival, reportedly flew to the US that day.
  • —The numbers Lula took 51.79% of valid votes on Sunday, 25 October. A 25% US tariff on most Brazilian goods has applied since 22 July.
  • —Who is who Lula is Brazil’s left-wing president. Flávio Bolsonaro, a conservative senator, lost and said he could not recognise the result.
  • —What to watch Whether the White House recognises Lula’s win, and whether Flávio, now reportedly in the US, still seeks removal of Lula’s ticket.
  • —Prediction markets Polymarket gives a 4.9% chance Brazil’s election is annulled by 31 December (28 October, 3:24 a.m. ET). Polymarket "Brazil Annual Inflation 2026": 5.50-5.99% 42.1%, 5.00-5.49% 38.3% (28 October, 3:37 am ET); prices are bets, not polls.
  • —Power Index Brazil ranks 1st of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 75.0 points (October 2026 edition).
  • —What it means for you US exporters and holders of Brazilian shares should watch whether talk of rigged votes turns into trade or diplomatic action.

Trump named Brazil while accusing US Democrats of cheating at elections, a week before the midterms. A published transcript of the rally gives his exact words.

President Donald Trump spoke at a rally in Corpus Christi, Texas, on Tuesday, 27 October. He called Democrats ‘the greatest cheaters of elections’ and said Brazil ‘is doing a pretty good job also, aren’t they?’

The comment came two days after Lula won the Brazil election 2026 runoff with 51.79% of valid votes. Background is in the guides to Brazil election polls, Brazil election odds and the Brazil runoff date.

What Trump Said in Texas

The words come from a published transcript of the rally video, where he says them about an hour into the recording. Three Brazilian news reports match it on the core words but translate ‘cheaters’ in different ways.

He then asked the crowd if they had seen it, and called it ‘not nice’. He added that he ‘didn’t take sides’ but ‘it didn’t look too good’.

He moved straight on to urging Texans to vote Republican. He named Ken Paxton, the party’s US Senate candidate in Texas, as the man to back.

Trump is campaigning almost daily for Republicans, Brazilian reports say. All 435 seats in the US House are up in the midterm elections on Tuesday, 3 November.

What the Words Do and Do Not Show

Trump did not say what Brazil had done, and the transcript offers no evidence that Brazil’s vote was manipulated. None of the three Brazilian reports offers any either.

He followed the remark with ‘That was not nice’, which can be read as disapproval rather than praise. One Brazilian report called his tone ironic, but the transcript alone cannot settle what he meant.

Two white domes of the Superior Electoral Court headquarters seen from under a concrete overhang, with a grass lawn and blue sky with clouds
The headquarters of Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court in Brasília, designed by Oscar Niemeyer, photographed in December 2025. The photo does not show this week’s events. Photo: Luiz Roberto / TSE via Wikimedia Commons (Public domain)

How Brazil’s Vote Became a US Talking Point

Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court, the TSE, which runs the country’s elections, gave Lula 51.79% of valid votes. Flávio Bolsonaro, the conservative senator who lost, said on Sunday night he would seek annulment.

Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin had ordered voting extended by two hours, to 7 p.m. Brasília time, after complaints about public transport. He later clarified that the extension covered only polling sections still open.

Trump had already questioned the result on Monday, 26 October. That account is in the separate report on Trump’s Monday remarks.

On Monday, 26 October, Flávio dropped his plan to seek annulment ‘for now’, his office told a Brazilian outlet. He said he would instead seek removal of Lula’s ticket, called cassação, over alleged abuse of political and economic power.

Flávio reportedly left for the United States on Tuesday, 27 October. Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes had ordered him to hand in his passports a day earlier.

The order is part of a money-laundering inquiry, which Flávio’s allies call political persecution, and no charge has been reported. Brazilian reports say the US State Department will issue visas to him and his family, which is not asylum.

Earlier reports on this site cover his reported trip to the US. They also cover the voting extension and the loser’s refusal to concede.

What It Means for US Readers

Trump used a foreign election to attack Democrats a week before voters decide control of Congress. Nothing in the reports reviewed shows a change in US policy toward Brazil after the remark.

A 25% US tariff on most Brazilian goods has applied since Wednesday, 22 July. The US Trade Representative, the White House trade office, announced it on 15 July after a yearlong probe.

Beef, orange juice, civil aircraft and energy products are exempt, according to law-firm summaries of the notice. US importers and holders of Brazilian shares should watch for any new White House or trade-office statement.

What Prediction Markets Say

Polymarket, a US prediction market, gives a 4.9% chance that Brazil’s presidential election is annulled by 31 December. That is the midpoint of a 4.4-cent bid and a 5.4-cent ask at 3:24 a.m. ET on Wednesday, 28 October.

About US$26,800 has been bet on that contract. It is a bet on a legal outcome, not on what Trump said.

Prediction markets · Brazil

What traders bet on now: implied probabilities from the prices of current Brazil markets.

Polymarket | Alexandre de Moraes out as Brazil Supreme Court Justice?

Yes 7.5% (US$257,646 traded)

Polymarket | Brazil Annual Inflation 2026

5.50-5.99% 42.1% · 5.00-5.49% 38.3% · 6.00-6.49% 7.7% (US$189,552 traded)

Kalshi | Number of Brazil rate cuts in 2026?

Exactly 5 cuts 66% · Exactly 6 cuts 24% · 7 or more cuts 10% (US$179,088 traded)

As of 28 October, 3:37 am ET, updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

What Is Not Known

The transcript shows Trump’s words but not what he meant, including whether he was being ironic. The reports reviewed carry no reaction from Lula’s government to Tuesday’s remark.

It is not known whether the White House will formally recognise Lula’s win. Nor is it known whether Flávio, now reportedly in the US, will still file his request to remove Lula’s ticket.

The annulment U-turn rests on one Brazilian outlet quoting Flávio’s office, and the visa reports on Brazilian press accounts. Flávio had not publicly explained his departure in the reports reviewed.

What Comes Next

The US midterm elections are on Tuesday, 3 November, and Trump is expected to keep campaigning. Lula is due to take office on Tuesday, 5 January 2027.

The next signals are any White House statement on Lula’s win and any filing by Flávio at the electoral court. A rally remark does not change US policy, and more is on the Brazil hub.

Frequently Asked Questions

What did Trump say about Brazil in Texas?

He called Democrats ‘the greatest cheaters of elections’ and said Brazil ‘is doing a pretty good job also’. He added that it ‘didn’t look too good’.

Did Trump say Brazil rigged its election?

Not in so many words, and he gave no evidence. He said Brazil ‘is doing a pretty good job also’ and that it ‘didn’t look too good’.

Who won Brazil’s runoff?

Lula won with 51.79% of valid votes on Sunday, 25 October, the electoral court’s data show. He takes office on 5 January 2027.

Has Flávio Bolsonaro accepted the result?

Not as far as reports show. He dropped annulment ‘for now’, said he would seek removal of Lula’s ticket, then reportedly left for the US.

Do US tariffs on Brazil change because of this?

No change has been reported. A 25% tariff on most Brazilian goods has applied since 22 July, with exemptions for beef, orange juice and civil aircraft.

Sources: Transcript of Trump’s rally in Corpus Christi, Texas, 27 October (Factba.se, Roll Call’s archive of Trump speeches); Superior Electoral Court (TSE), results of the 25 October runoff; Supreme Federal Court (STF); US Trade Representative, Section 301 action on Brazil, 15 July 2026; Troutman Pepper Locke, law-firm summary of the tariff notice; Brazilian reports of the Corpus Christi rally, 27 October: Exame, Gazeta do Povo, HC Notícias; Poder360, 26 October; Gazeta do Povo, 27 October; Brasil de Fato, 25 October; Diário de Pernambuco, 25 October; Polymarket public market data, queried 28 October, 3:24 a.m. ET (all accessed 28 October 2026).

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This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

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Brazil runoff date: Sunday, October 25, poll closing times and when results start · Brazil runoff polls: Flávio 51%, Lula 49% · Kalshi and Polymarket odds

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