Prediction markets · Serbia parliamentary election
Implied chances from traders’ prices. Prices are bets, not polls.
Kalshi: parliamentary election winner
SNS-led list66%
Student list32%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 15,588 contracts traded.
Kalshi: prime minister after the election
Aleksandar Vučić69%
Ilija Srdanović16%
Miloš Vučević1%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 22,774 contracts traded.
Kalshi: Student List vote share
At least 30%95%
At least 34%84%
At least 38%67%
At least 42%57%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 15,949 contracts traded.
Kalshi: voter turnout
At least 3,300,00097%
At least 3,000,00097%
At least 3,150,00097%
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 12,281 contracts traded.
As of Friday, 23 October, 2:47 a.m. ET, updated every 20 minutes.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
Free · Any country in the world · Prediction markets
Want prediction market reports on your country?
Pick any country in the world. Your report arrives the moment you confirm, then every Sunday: what the markets say about elections, currencies and policy there, with volumes and plain-English explanations.