IBOV 169,186.42 ▼ 1.06% IPC MEX 69,441.29 ▲ 0.37% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL5.36▲ 0.19% USD/MXN18.88▲ 0.06% USD/CLP985.07▼ 0.28% USD/COP3,167▲ 0.01% USD/PEN3.46▲ 0.28% USD/ARS1,538▼ 0.03% USD/UYU40.10▲ 3.30% USD/PYG5,838▲ 3.12% USD/BOB12.05▲ 3.19% USD/DOP60.36▲ 0.43% USD/CRC451.45▲ 2.56% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.31% USD/HNL26.87▲ 0.45% USD/NIO36.62▲ 0.07% USD/VES887.03▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.79▲ 2.76% USD/TTD6.70▲ 2.02% EUR/BRL6.01▲ 0.74% BRENT 109.58 ▼ 5.38% WTI 100.12 ▼ 1.61% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.65 ▲ 2.24% GOLD 4,073 ▲ 0.85% SILVER 54.49 ▲ 0.70% SOY 1,250 ▲ 0.70% CORN 450.25 ▼ 1.04% WHEAT 614.75 ▼ 0.20% COFFEE 294.35 ▼ 2.19% SUGAR 19.26 ▲ 0.84% ORANGE JUICE 143.20 ▲ 5.45% COTTON 77.90 ▼ 1.47% COCOA 5,581 ▲ 1.66% BEEF 230.73 ▲ 0.33% CATTLE 346.40 ▼ 1.00% LITHIUM 62.43 ▲ 1.89% PETR4 53.31 ▼ 1.06% VALE3 62.88 ▼ 2.33% ITUB4 41.42 ▼ 0.67% BBDC4 15.69 ▼ 1.63% ABEV3 15.40 ▲ 0.20% BBAS3 17.59 ▲ 0.69% B3SA3 15.27 ▲ 1.33% WEGE3 45.78 ▲ 2.81% PRIO3 69.21 ▼ 2.71% SUZB3 47.14 ▼ 0.55% RENT3 31.14 ▼ 1.67% AZZA3 16.72 ▲ 1.15% CSAN3 2.69 ▼ 2.89% RAIZ4 0.34 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.22 ▼ 3.48% GMAT3 3.74 ▲ 2.19% PSSA3 47.75 ▼ 0.89% CVCB3 0.98 — 0.00% POSI3 3.56 ▼ 0.84% SLCE3 16.97 ▼ 2.75% NATU3 5.68 ▼ 3.89% BRKM5 3.80 ▲ 19.50% RANI3 7.34 ▼ 0.54% CSNA3 4.76 ▼ 4.99% IBOV 169,186.42 ▼ 1.06% IPC MEX 69,441.29 ▲ 0.37% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL 5.34 ▼ 1.32% USD/MXN 18.69 ▲ 0.62% USD/CLP 983.47 ▼ 0.57% USD/COP 3,149 ▲ 3.06% USD/PEN 3.45 ▲ 0.17% USD/ARS 1,537 ▼ 0.28% USD/UYU 40.21 ▲ 3.57% USD/PYG 5,803 ▲ 3.78% USD/BOB 11.97 ▲ 4.93% USD/DOP 60.54 ▲ 1.83% USD/CRC 451.24 ▲ 2.13% USD/GTQ 7.64 ▲ 3.23% USD/HNL 26.87 ▲ 3.37% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 2.81% USD/VES 885.08 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.69 ▲ 2.63% USD/TTD 6.71 ▲ 2.07% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 7.53% BRENT 109.58 ▼ 5.38% WTI 100.12 ▼ 1.61% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.65 ▲ 2.24% GOLD 4,073 ▲ 0.85% SILVER 54.49 ▲ 0.70% SOY 1,250 ▲ 0.70% CORN 450.25 ▼ 1.04% WHEAT 614.75 ▼ 0.20% COFFEE 294.35 ▼ 2.19% SUGAR 19.26 ▲ 0.84% ORANGE JUICE 143.20 ▲ 5.45% COTTON 77.90 ▼ 1.47% COCOA 5,581 ▲ 1.66% BEEF 230.73 ▲ 0.33% CATTLE 346.40 ▼ 1.00% LITHIUM 62.43 ▲ 1.89% PETR4 53.31 ▼ 1.06% VALE3 62.88 ▼ 2.33% ITUB4 41.42 ▼ 0.67% BBDC4 15.69 ▼ 1.63% ABEV3 15.40 ▲ 0.20% BBAS3 17.59 ▲ 0.69% B3SA3 15.27 ▲ 1.33% WEGE3 45.78 ▲ 2.81% PRIO3 69.21 ▼ 2.71% SUZB3 47.14 ▼ 0.55% RENT3 31.14 ▼ 1.67% AZZA3 16.72 ▲ 1.15% CSAN3 2.69 ▼ 2.89% RAIZ4 0.34 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.22 ▼ 3.48% GMAT3 3.74 ▲ 2.19% PSSA3 47.75 ▼ 0.89% CVCB3 0.98 — 0.00% POSI3 3.56 ▼ 0.84% SLCE3 16.97 ▼ 2.75% NATU3 5.68 ▼ 3.89% BRKM5 3.80 ▲ 19.50% RANI3 7.34 ▼ 0.54% CSNA3 4.76 ▼ 4.99%
since 2009
Friday, October 30, 2026

Brazil Latin America

Lula Wins by 4.4 Million Votes

By · October 30, 2026 · 5 min read
The low white Supreme Federal Court building in Brasília with slender curved columns, flags and a blue sky with white clouds
The Supreme Federal Court building in Brasília, in a file photo from 2012. The photo does not show the searches or the people named. Photo: Daderot / Wikimedia Commons (CC0)
The Big Read · Brazil · Friday 30 October 2026

Key Facts

  • Election margin. Lula won the 25 October runoff with about 51.8% and a lead of about 4.4 million votes.
  • Market loss. B3, Brazil’s main exchange, lost about R$734 billion (US$136 billion) in value on 26 October.
  • Passports. Flávio Bolsonaro did not hand over his passports to the Supreme Court by its 27 October deadline.
  • Bank probe. Federal Police formally implicated 15 people in the Banco Master and BRB case on 28 October.
  • Power Index. Brazil ranks 1st of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 75.0 points (October 2026 edition).

Three Brazilian stories from one week: a close election and the challenge to it, a one-day stock-market rout, and a bank-fraud investigation.

In Plain English

  • TSE: Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court, which runs national elections.
  • STF: Brazil’s Supreme Federal Court, the country’s top court.
  • Flávio Bolsonaro: A senator and son of ex-president Jair Bolsonaro; he ran for the Liberal Party (PL), a conservative party, and lost the runoff.
  • Banco Master and BRB: Banco Master is a private bank that Brazil’s central bank put into liquidation. BRB is the state-owned bank of the Federal District, the territory around Brasília.
  • Federal Police: Brazil’s federal police agency, which investigates fraud and runs Operation Compliance Zero, the Banco Master probe.

How Lula Reversed a First Round Deficit

Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva won Brazil’s presidential runoff on Sunday, 25 October, with about 51.8% of valid votes. The Superior Electoral Court (TSE), which runs national elections, declared him elected that night with a lead of roughly 4.4 million votes over Flávio Bolsonaro.

The result reversed the first round, when Bolsonaro led by more than 2.2 million votes.Supreme Court Justice Cristiano Zanin extended voting until 19:00 for voters still in line.Lula’s campaign had asked for more time because of transport problems, and Bolsonaro’s because of rain and flooding.Bolsonaro said he would ask for the result to be annulled.

National Congress building in Brasília, Brazil
Archive photo: National Congress of Brazil, Brasília.

What Happened to Bolsonaro’s Passports

Supreme Court Justice Alexandre de Moraes ordered Flávio Bolsonaro to hand over his passports by 11:00 on Tuesday, 27 October. The Federal Police cancelled the passports around midday that day.

Allies said Bolsonaro had already left Brazil, while the Federal Police said it had no formal record of his exit. An official of the US State Department told a Brazilian TV reporter on 27 October that Washington would issue him visas.

The official was not named.

How Much Brazilian Stocks Lost in One Day

Brazil’s stock market fell sharply on Monday, 26 October, the first trading day after the runoff. The Ibovespa, the main index of the B3 exchange in São Paulo, closed down 13.88%.

B3’s listed companies lost about R$734 billion in value, from R$5.684 trillion to R$4.950 trillion. That is about US$136 billion at R$5.40 per dollar.

The dollar rose 8.21% against the real to R$5.4029 the same day.

São Paulo skyline, Brazil
Archive photo: São Paulo skyline, December 2024.

What Police Allege About Banco Master Loans

Brazil’s Federal Police sent a partial investigative report of more than 700 pages on 28 October in the Banco Master case, part of Operation Compliance Zero. It formally implicates 15 people.

Police say operations between Banco de Brasília (BRB) and Banco Master involved about R$17 billion (about US$3.1 billion at R$5.40).Daniel Vorcaro, Banco Master’s founder, and Paulo Henrique Costa, a former BRB president, are both part of what police call the group’s strategic core.

What Links These Stories

These are three separate signals from the same week, not one story. Each one is covered in full in the Rio Times reports listed below.

The market fall and the election challenge both followed the 25 October runoff. The bank investigation is a separate case.

The reports behind this Big Read

All of today’s Brazil news →

What It Means for US Readers

For US investors, a one-day loss of about US$136 billion in listed-company value shows how sharply Brazilian assets can reprice around a contested election. The dollar’s 8.21% rise against the real shows how fast the currency moved with it.

For US policy, Bolsonaro’s visa is a diplomatic question. Washington has said it will issue the visas, while a Brazilian court order on his passports stands.

What to Watch Next

Watch for the Supreme Court’s response to Bolsonaro’s passport case and any further US decision on his status. The Federal Police report also awaits action by prosecutors.

Watch whether the Ibovespa recovers its 26 October losses in the coming sessions.

What Is Not Known

It is not yet clear whether or when Bolsonaro will file a formal request to annul the result.Reports said Bolsonaro arrived in the United States on 27 October; Brazilian authorities have not confirmed where he is.

Sources

The Rio Times, Banco Master and BRB · The Rio Times, market loss · Superior Electoral Court (TSE) · Supreme Federal Court (STF)

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

Frequently Asked Questions

Did Lula officially win Brazil’s election?

Yes. The Superior Electoral Court declared him elected on 25 October with about 51.8% of valid votes and a lead of about 4.4 million votes.

How much did Brazilian stocks lose after the runoff?

The Ibovespa fell 13.88% on 26 October, and B3-listed companies lost about R$734 billion (about US$136 billion) in market value.

What is the Banco Master case?

Federal Police say operations between Banco de Brasília and Banco Master involved about R$17 billion (about US$3.1 billion). Police formally implicated 15 people on 28 October.

RT
Ask Rio Times
This story and the bigger picture.
Open the full Ask Rio Times →

The LatAm Brief

One email, every weekday morning. What moved in Latin American markets, politics and expat life.

Yesterday’s subject line: “Bolsonaro's son lands in Miami despite passport order”

Free. We send a confirmation link first — nothing arrives until you click it. Unsubscribe with one click in any edition. If you stop opening us for 30 days we stop sending by ourselves, as we assume the interest is no longer there. See our privacy policy. We never share your email.

The Rio Times · Power Map
See who really holds power in Latin America
Click to open the Power Map →

Brazil runoff date: Sunday, October 25, poll closing times and when results start · Brazil runoff polls: Flávio 51%, Lula 49% · Kalshi and Polymarket odds

Rotate for Best Experience

This report is optimized for landscape viewing. Rotate your phone for the full experience.