Brazil’s Six Governor Runoffs Near Final, Rio Settled
Published Sunday, 25 October 2026, 8:25 p.m. ET · Source: Superior Electoral Court (TSE) official results files
Brazil’s electoral court (TSE) shows a clear leader in each of six governor runoffs, with 99.73% to 100.00% of polling sections counted at 9:25 p.m. Brasília time (8:25 p.m. ET) on Sunday 25 October. Rio de Janeiro, expected on this list, had no runoff: its governor was settled in the first round. The TSE had not yet marked any of the six leaders as elected.
Key Facts
- —Leading Mailza Assis (Acre) 66.2%, Omar Aziz (Amazonas) 61.4%, Vicentinho Júnior (Tocantins) 64.5%.
- —Also leading Celina Leão (Federal District) 57.2%, Lorenzo Pazolini (Espírito Santo) 52.2%, Cadu de Lula (Rio Grande do Norte) 50.8%.
- —Rio de Janeiro No runoff: Douglas Ruas, of Jair Bolsonaro’s PL party, won outright after the TSE voided a rival’s votes.
- —Prediction markets Traders price the leaders at 98.7% to 99.1% in five states, per Polymarket and Kalshi (8:25 p.m. ET).
Live results
Follow Brazil’s runoff count on our results page
Official TSE numbers, state by state, as soon as the electoral court publishes them.
Voters in the Brazil election 2026 also chose a president, and our Brazil election results page tracks that count. Our Brazil election polls page covers the national race.
In Plain English
- Governor runoff: a second vote between the top two candidates, held when nobody passed 50% of valid votes on 4 October.
- Federal District: the self-governing district around the capital, Brasília, with its own governor.
- Parties: Progressistas, Republicanos, PSD, MDB, PSDB and União Brasil are Brazilian parties. PL is former president Jair Bolsonaro’s party and PT is President Lula’s.
Who Leads in Each State
- Acre: Mailza Assis (Progressistas) 66.21% against Alan Rick (Republicanos) 33.79%, 100.00% of sections counted.
- Amazonas: Omar Aziz (PSD) 61.41% against Professora Maria do Carmo (PL) 38.59%, 99.83% of sections counted.
- Federal District: Celina Leão (Progressistas) 57.18% against Leandro Grass (PT, President Lula’s party) 42.82%, 100.00% of sections counted.
- Espírito Santo: Lorenzo Pazolini (Republicanos) 52.17% against Ricardo Ferraço (MDB) 47.83%, 99.99% of sections counted.
- Rio Grande do Norte: Cadu de Lula (PT) 50.77% against Allyson (União Brasil) 49.23%, 100.00% of sections counted.
- Tocantins: Vicentinho Júnior (PSDB) 64.51% against Professora Dorinha (União Brasil) 35.49%, 99.73% of sections counted.
In every one of the six states, any sections still to be counted hold fewer registered voters than the gap between the two candidates, so the order cannot change.
The tightest race is Rio Grande do Norte, with a gap of 32,625 votes.
Why Rio de Janeiro Had No Runoff
On Thursday 8 October the TSE ruled by five votes to two that Anthony Garotinho, a Republicanos candidate, could not run because of an earlier conviction for administrative misconduct, and voided his 274,411 first-round votes. With those votes removed, Douglas Ruas of PL, Jair Bolsonaro’s party, passed 50% of the valid votes.
The TSE’s results file for Rio, updated on 10 October, lists Ruas as elected with 4,271,199 votes, or 50.88% of valid votes. Eduardo Paes, the former mayor of Rio from the PSD party, had 3,706,984 votes, or 44.16%.
What Prediction Markets Say
On Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, traders priced the leaders at 98.7% in Acre (Mailza Assis, US$72,997 traded), 99.1% in Amazonas (Omar Aziz, US$124,847), 98.9% in Espírito Santo (Lorenzo Pazolini, US$59,249) and 98.9% in Rio Grande do Norte (Cadu de Lula, US$158,176) at 8:25 p.m. ET on Sunday 25 October. On Kalshi, a US exchange regulated by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC), Celina Leão stood at 99.0% in the Federal District (2,944 contracts traded). We found no market for Tocantins. These prices are bets, not polls.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
Why It Matters for the US
Rio de Janeiro is home to the headquarters of Petrobras, Brazil’s state-controlled oil company, and Amazonas hosts the Manaus free-trade zone, a tax-advantaged manufacturing hub.
If you invest in or ship to Brazil, the point is continuity: state policy is unlikely to swing on the last sections.
What Is Not Known
The TSE had not marked any of the six leaders as elected, and totals will move slightly as the last sections arrive. We could not confirm when winners will be formally certified.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who leads the Brazil governor runoffs?
Mailza Assis in Acre, Omar Aziz in Amazonas, Celina Leão in the Federal District, Lorenzo Pazolini in Espírito Santo, Cadu de Lula in Rio Grande do Norte and Vicentinho Júnior in Tocantins.
Why was there no runoff in Rio de Janeiro?
The TSE voided 274,411 votes for a barred candidate on 8 October. That lifted Douglas Ruas above 50% of valid votes, so he won in the first round.
Sources: TSE, official results, Kalshi, Brazil Federal District Governor, Polymarket, governor markets. Data as of 8:25 p.m. ET, Sunday 25 October 2026.
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief
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