Key Facts
- Result: Grêmio, from Porto Alegre, beat Atlético-MG, from Belo Horizonte, 2-0 on Sunday, 1 November, in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil semifinal.
- Return leg: Atlético-MG v Grêmio, Saturday, 7 November, 4:00 p.m. Eastern Time (6:00 p.m. Brasília time), in Belo Horizonte.
- Other semifinal: Vasco v Palmeiras, two Brazilian clubs, Sunday, 8 November, 3:00 p.m. ET (5:00 p.m. Brasília time); Palmeiras lead 1-0.
- Final: Brasília, 6 December 2026.
- Prediction markets: Polymarket, a crypto-based market, gives Palmeiras 45.0% and Grêmio 29.0% to win the cup (2 November, 6:22 p.m. ET).
Grêmio Take Control in Porto Alegre
Grêmio of Porto Alegre beat Atlético-MG 2-0 on Sunday, 1 November, in the first leg of the Copa do Brasil semifinals, Brazil’s national knockout cup. The match kicked off at 4:30 p.m. ET (6:30 p.m. in Brasília) at the Arena do Grêmio.
Carlos Vinícius, a Grêmio striker, opened the scoring in the 10th minute after a long ball from goalkeeper Weverton found him behind the Atlético-MG defence. Vinícius then beat Atlético-MG goalkeeper Gabriel Delfim from the edge of the area.
Erick Noriega, a Grêmio midfielder, added the second at the start of the second half, finishing a low cross from teammate João Pedro.
Weverton made several saves, including from Atlético-MG’s Renan Lodi and Bernard. Grêmio finished with ten men after teammate Gustavo Martins received a second yellow card in stoppage time, but held on to the two-goal lead.
What the Aggregate Means
Grêmio can lose the return leg by one goal and still reach the final on aggregate, and a draw would also be enough. Atlético-MG must win by three goals to advance in regular time.
Brazilian press reports say a two-goal Atlético-MG win would send the tie to a penalty shootout. We have not confirmed that rule with the CBF, Brazil’s national football confederation, which organizes the cup.
The two clubs have met in a Copa do Brasil final before, in 2016. Grêmio won that title with a 3-1 win at the Mineirão in Belo Horizonte and a 1-1 draw in Porto Alegre.
Live Market IntelligenceBrazil — Live Market Board
Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence
Brazil — Live Market Board
-0.75%
167,921.80
-0.75%
69,779.20
-0.01%
10,374.91
+1.18%
2,848,945
—
2,490.92
+0.04%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBOV | 167,921.80 | -0.75% | +19.56% | 169,186.42 | 178,526 | 175,157 | — |
| USD/BRL | 5.34 | -1.32% | -0.84% | 5.42 | 5.42 | 5.30 | — |
| SELIC | 13.75% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PETR4 | 53.31 | -1.06% | +77.70% | 53.88 | 53.70 | 52.83 | 43,239,500 |
| VALE3 | 62.88 | -2.33% | +1.98% | 64.38 | 64.43 | 62.80 | 24,652,300 |
| ITUB4 | 41.42 | -0.67% | +11.30% | 41.70 | 42.60 | 41.15 | 28,160,700 |
| BBDC4 | 15.69 | -1.63% | -13.88% | 15.95 | 16.30 | 15.67 | 65,766,400 |
| BBAS3 | 17.59 | +0.69% | -15.59% | 17.47 | 18.31 | 17.51 | 67,844,600 |
| B3SA3 | 15.27 | +1.33% | +21.71% | 15.07 | 15.78 | 15.20 | 75,282,000 |
| ABEV3 | 15.40 | +0.20% | +26.75% | 15.37 | 15.68 | 15.31 | 27,307,400 |
| WEGE3 | 45.78 | +2.81% | +10.06% | 44.53 | 47.08 | 45.06 | 9,823,200 |
| PRIO3 | 69.21 | -2.71% | +87.14% | 71.14 | 70.98 | 69.15 | 6,663,200 |
| SUZB3 | 47.14 | -0.55% | -3.79% | 47.40 | 47.84 | 46.10 | 7,151,800 |
| RENT3 | 31.14 | -1.67% | -20.73% | 31.67 | 32.68 | 31.02 | 19,092,400 |
| AZZA3 | 16.72 | +1.15% | -42.24% | 16.53 | 17.42 | 16.72 | 4,875,400 |
| CSNA3 | 4.76 | -4.99% | -47.09% | 5.01 | 5.14 | 4.76 | 14,327,900 |
| GGBR4 | 24.87 | -2.28% | +36.28% | 25.45 | 26.20 | 24.79 | 7,507,900 |
| ENEV3 | 26.79 | +0.45% | +49.78% | 26.67 | 27.35 | 26.30 | 12,263,000 |
Return Legs Set for 7 and 8 November
Atlético-MG host Grêmio on Saturday, 7 November, at 4:00 p.m. ET (6:00 p.m. in Brasília) at the Arena MRV, Atlético-MG’s home stadium in Belo Horizonte. Brazilian press reports list SporTV, Prime Video and Premiere, Brazilian pay-TV and streaming services, as broadcasters.
Vasco host Palmeiras on Sunday, 8 November, at 3:00 p.m. ET (5:00 p.m. in Brasília) at São Januário in Rio de Janeiro. Palmeiras lead 1-0 from the first leg, played at Nubank Parque in São Paulo, and a draw would send them to the final.
São Januário is Vasco’s home stadium in Rio de Janeiro. Brazil has no daylight saving time and US clocks went back on 1 November, so Brasília is two hours ahead of New York.
Two Ties, Two Different Margins
Grêmio now hold a two-goal lead, while Palmeiras hold a one-goal lead over Vasco. Both teams would advance with a draw in the return leg.
Atlético-MG now face the steeper task of the two trailing clubs. The two finalists will be decided across Saturday and Sunday.
What Prediction Markets Say
On Polymarket, a crypto-based prediction market, traders put Palmeiras at 45.0% to win the Copa do Brasil, Grêmio at 29.0%, Atlético-MG at 11.5% and Vasco at 11.0%. About US$10,600 has been traded on that market (2 November 2026, 6:22 p.m. ET). These prices are bets, not polls.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
What It Means for US Readers
The return legs fall on Saturday, 7 November, at 4:00 p.m. ET and Sunday, 8 November, at 3:00 p.m. ET. Brazilian reports list SporTV, Prime Video and Premiere as broadcasters of the first return leg, and we have not confirmed which, if any, carry the matches in the United States.
Our live hub on the cup gathers match guides and every Rio Times report.
What Is Not Known
Reports differ by a minute on the first goal, placing it in the 10th or the 11th minute. We have not checked the CBF match sheet.
We have not confirmed the return-leg dates and times with the CBF, and the tie-break rule for level aggregates is also unconfirmed with the organizer. It is not known whether Gustavo Martins will be suspended for the return leg, and we have seen no injury news or referee appointments.
Frequently Asked Questions
What do Grêmio need in the return leg?
A draw or a one-goal defeat is enough for Grêmio to reach the final on aggregate. Atlético-MG must win by three goals to advance in regular time.
When are the return legs in US time?
Atlético-MG v Grêmio is on Saturday, 7 November, at 4:00 p.m. ET, and Vasco v Palmeiras is on Sunday, 8 November, at 3:00 p.m. ET. Both times come from Brazilian press reports of the CBF schedule.
Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief · Editorial standards · Report an error
Brazil runoff, Sunday, October 25: Brazil runoff start time and results schedule. Latest: Brazil runoff polls, Flávio 51%, Lula 49%.