Brazil’s Economic Uncertainty Index Down in June
In June, Brazil’s Economic Uncertainty Indicator dipped slightly to 110.6 points, suggesting a temporary easing in concerns.
This change was largely due to adjustments in media-driven perceptions from previous disaster-related spikes, according to FGV data.
However, with a three-month moving average still on the rise, the long-term view remains cautiously pessimistic.
Experts, reflecting on increased uncertainty about inflation and interest rates, predict the index might stabilize near current levels.
These metrics are crucial as they help businesses and policymakers gauge the economic atmosphere, guiding their strategies in a climate still reeling from global challenges and internal fluctuations.
This economic barometer, by capturing the pulse of national sentiment, plays a vital role in Brazil’s recovery and growth trajectory.
Background -Economic Uncertainty Index Down in June
A recent Bank of America survey reveals as well that Latin American investment managers are increasingly concerned about Brazil’s Ibovespa index and the real.
Remarkably, only 7% expect the Ibovespa to surpass 140,000 points by year-end—a stark drop from 19% in May and the lowest figure since surveying began last September.
The forecast for the U.S. dollar has risen, now expected to reach between R$5.10 and R$5.40.
Previously, the anticipated range was R$4.80 to R$5.10. This shift indicates growing uncertainty in Brazil’s financial stability.
The survey also highlighted a consensus on interest rates; most managers predict the Brazilian Central Bank will halt further cuts, maintaining the Selic rate in double digits.
They suggest future reductions will hinge on the U.S. Federal Reserve’s decisions.
More: Brazil news in English, every day from The Rio Times.
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Brazil — Live Market Board
+2.63%
192,114.55
+2.63%
64,531.68
+1.10%
10,916.57
+0.08%
2,767,663
+0.32%
2,515.02
-0.59%
59,751.67
+0.18%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBOV | 192,114.55 | +2.63% | +21.85% | 187,197.46 | 168,310 | 167,142 | — |
| USD/BRL | 5.16 | +0.01% | -5.13% | 5.16 | 5.18 | 5.14 | — |
| SELIC | 14.00% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PETR4 | 41.64 | -0.05% | +35.19% | 41.66 | 41.97 | 41.15 | 41,499,400 |
| VALE3 | 72.97 | +0.83% | +30.75% | 72.37 | 73.54 | 72.66 | 17,658,000 |
| ITUB4 | 38.60 | -1.03% | +4.57% | 39.00 | 39.34 | 38.39 | 29,487,800 |
| BBDC4 | 16.85 | +0.36% | +3.50% | 16.79 | 16.90 | 16.67 | 19,416,900 |
| BBAS3 | 19.37 | +0.47% | +0.73% | 19.28 | 19.44 | 19.16 | 11,069,200 |
| B3SA3 | 14.26 | -0.21% | +12.73% | 14.29 | 14.47 | 14.11 | 33,037,800 |
| ABEV3 | 14.89 | -0.80% | +21.91% | 15.01 | 15.07 | 14.81 | 16,453,100 |
| WEGE3 | 47.59 | +0.49% | +29.99% | 47.36 | 48.08 | 47.36 | 3,364,600 |
| PRIO3 | 59.14 | -0.19% | +50.67% | 59.25 | 59.81 | 58.74 | 3,325,600 |
| SUZB3 | 41.33 | +2.35% | -23.55% | 40.38 | 41.48 | 40.35 | 3,914,900 |
| RENT3 | 34.68 | -0.09% | +0.84% | 34.71 | 34.96 | 34.35 | 7,979,100 |
| AZZA3 | 15.89 | -2.63% | -53.76% | 16.32 | 16.42 | 15.82 | 1,330,300 |
| CSNA3 | 4.30 | +0.47% | -42.65% | 4.28 | 4.41 | 4.26 | 10,076,100 |
| GGBR4 | 24.69 | +2.19% | +51.38% | 24.16 | 24.85 | 24.18 | 7,047,600 |
| ENEV3 | 24.21 | -1.38% | +70.49% | 24.55 | 24.64 | 23.99 | 9,297,000 |
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief
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