IBOV 205,082.56 ▲ 0.47% IPSA 10,746.36 ▼ 0.31% IPC MEX 69,889.73 ▼ 0.51% MERVAL 3,017,221 — — COLCAP 2,540.10 ▲ 0.46% BVL PERÚ 57,021.19 ▲ 0.13% USD/BRL4.97▼ 1.57% USD/MXN18.65▼ 0.34% USD/CLP994.76▲ 0.87% USD/COP3,145▼ 1.61% USD/PEN3.45▲ 0.29% USD/ARS1,529▲ 0.10% USD/UYU40.08▲ 2.99% USD/PYG5,760▲ 3.42% USD/BOB11.78▲ 3.59% USD/DOP61.09▲ 2.49% USD/CRC452.44▲ 2.51% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.15% USD/HNL26.87▲ 3.24% USD/NIO36.62▲ 2.68% USD/VES884.01▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.72▲ 2.14% EUR/BRL5.56▼ 1.39% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 205,082.56 ▲ 0.47% IPSA 10,746.36 ▼ 0.31% IPC MEX 69,889.73 ▼ 0.51% MERVAL 3,017,221 — — COLCAP 2,540.10 ▲ 0.46% BVL PERÚ 57,021.19 ▲ 0.13% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
since 2009
Friday, October 23, 2026

Brazil Brazil Elections 2026

Lula Says Court Has His Card, Flight Data

By · October 23, 2026 · 5 min read
Curved glass headquarters of the Superior Electoral Court in Brasília with two white domes on the lawn in front
The headquarters of the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) in Brasília, where a judge is weighing the Lula campaign complaint against Meta. File photo, December 2025. (Photo: O Tribunal da Democracia, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons)

BRAZIL · ELECTIONS

Published Friday, 23 October, 5:25 p.m. ET · Source: Poder360, Metrópoles, CNN Brasil

Key Facts

  • The country Brazil, Latin America’s largest country, elects its president in a runoff on Sunday 25 October between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro.
  • What happened Lula’s campaign says it gave the electoral court (TSE) its corporate-card records, flight records and a waiver for bank, tax and phone data.
  • The dispute Flávio Bolsonaro’s side disputes what was actually delivered, and each camp wants more from the other.
  • Power Index Brazil ranks 1st of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 75.0 points (October 2026 edition).
  • Prediction markets Kalshi traders put a Flávio win by at least 1 point at 76% and a Lula win by at least 1 point at 16% (23 October, 5:21 p.m. ET). Polymarket puts Flávio Bolsonaro’s chance of winning at 76% and Kalshi at 75% (Lula: 24% and 25%), as of 23 October, 5:20 pm ET; prices are bets, not polls.
  • Still open Whether the court will collect both candidates’ records and publish them together before the vote.
  • Runoff · Sunday, 25 October

    Brazil Runoff 2026: Lula vs Flávio

    Date, polls, debates, odds and how the runoff works, updated every day.

    Read our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide →

    Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All election stories

    Lula’s presidential campaign said on Friday 23 October that it has handed Brazil’s electoral court (TSE) records of the government corporate card, the president’s agenda and Air Force (FAB) flights, Poder360 reported. The papers were filed on Thursday night, according to CNN Brasil and Metrópoles, two days before the runoff.

    Brazil Election Data Room
    Runoff poll average: Flávio Bolsonaro 50.9%, Lula 49.1%
    40 national polls from 20 pollsters since 4 October, updated hourly. Every poll, free to download.
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    The campaign also signed waivers that let the court look at bank, tax and phone records of Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva, Brazil’s president, and his family. The Brazil election 2026 pits Lula against Flávio Bolsonaro, the conservative senator for Rio de Janeiro.

    What Lula’s Campaign Says It Delivered

    Poder360 lists the corporate card of the Presidency, the agenda of first lady Janja Lula da Silva, the president’s own commitments and FAB flight records. CNN Brasil says the campaign handed over “all data to which it has access.”

    Metrópoles reports that the campaign also asked the TSE to act as a neutral referee. It wants “integral, simultaneous and reliable disclosure” of both candidates’ data, it said.

    Edinho Silva, president of Lula’s Workers’ Party (PT), said data offered without arbitration or validation weakens its credibility with society, Metrópoles reported. The court had not published the documents when those reports appeared.

    The wood-panelled plenary chamber of Brazil's Superior Electoral Court in Brasília with the national coat of arms behind the lectern
    The plenary chamber of Brazil’s Superior Electoral Court (TSE) in Brasília. File photo. Photo: Alejandro Zambrana/Secom/TSE, Public domain, via Wikimedia Commons

    How the Records Fight Began

    Lula challenged his rival during the Band television debate on Sunday 18 October, and Flávio accepted. Flávio then added conditions, including the card spending, Janja’s agenda and the secrecy of Lula’s former chief of staff, Metrópoles reported.

    Justice André Mendonça of the TSE ruled that candidates may publish their own data without a judge. Lula’s side asked him to reverse that, and our earlier report on the request to reconsider has the detail.

    CNN Brasil says Flávio’s campaign filed only authorizations and disputes what Lula’s side actually delivered. It adds that Mendonça would have to request the data from the central bank, banks, the tax authority and phone firms, with no timeline given.

    What It Means for US Readers

    Brazil is Latin America’s largest economy, and its next president will set its stance on trade and investment. Court fights in the final days can move Brazilian shares, bonds and the real, including US-listed Brazilian stocks.

    The dispute does not change the vote itself. It decides whether voters see both candidates’ records before Sunday.

    Our Brazil election polls tracker lists every survey.

    What Prediction Markets Say

    On Kalshi, a prediction market regulated in the US by the CFTC, traders price a Flávio Bolsonaro win by at least 1 point at 76% and a Lula win by at least 1 point at 16% (23 October, 5:21 p.m. ET). The margin contracts have traded about 35,000 and 45,000 contracts.

    These are bets, not polls, and they can move fast on new surveys. Our Brazil election odds page tracks Polymarket and Kalshi.

    Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

    Prediction markets · who wins the runoff

    Implied chance of winning Brazil’s presidency on 25 October, from traders’ prices.

    Polymarket

    Flávio Bolsonaro 75.8% · Lula 23.5% (US$193 million traded)

    Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC)

    Flávio Bolsonaro 75% · Lula 25%

    As of 23 October, 5:20 pm ET (22:20 Lisbon), updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.

    Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

    What Is Not Known

    It is not known whether Mendonça will order the data collected, or whether the full TSE bench will step in before Sunday. We could not verify the documents themselves, which the court has not released.

    The filing was made on Thursday night, while the campaign’s public statement came on Friday. This report covers the legal dispute only, not any claim about either candidate’s finances.

    Frequently Asked Questions

    What did Lula’s campaign give the electoral court?

    It says it delivered corporate-card records, the first lady’s agenda, flight records and waivers for bank, tax and phone data. The court has not published them.

    Why is Flávio Bolsonaro’s side unhappy?

    It disputes what Lula’s campaign actually delivered, CNN Brasil reports. It filed only authorizations of its own and set conditions for opening its records.

    Will voters see the records before the runoff?

    That is not clear. The court would first have to request the data from banks, the tax authority and phone firms.

    When is Brazil’s runoff?

    Brazilians vote on Sunday 25 October. The runoff is between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro.

    Sources: Poder360, 23 October 2026; Metrópoles, 22 October 2026; CNN Brasil, 23 October 2026.

    This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

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