IBOV 183,827.59 ▲ 0.46% IPSA 11,055.91 ▼ 0.73% IPC MEX 65,071.30 ▲ 0.20% MERVAL 2,782,561 ▼ 0.59% COLCAP 2,558.92 ▼ 0.79% BVL PERÚ 60,220.45 ▲ 0.32% USD/BRL5.20▼ 0.43% USD/MXN18.07▲ 0.15% USD/CLP972.08▲ 0.38% USD/COP3,323▲ 0.62% USD/PEN3.44— 0.00% USD/ARS1,524▼ 0.05% USD/UYU40.27▲ 3.67% USD/PYG5,843▲ 2.30% USD/BOB11.96▲ 0.45% USD/DOP59.27▲ 2.75% USD/CRC452.68▲ 2.68% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.13% USD/HNL26.87▲ 3.23% USD/NIO36.62▲ 0.34% USD/VES856.92▲ 0.01% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.70▲ 1.64% EUR/BRL5.90▲ 0.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 183,827.59 ▲ 0.46% IPSA 11,055.91 ▼ 0.73% IPC MEX 65,071.30 ▲ 0.20% MERVAL 2,782,561 ▼ 0.59% COLCAP 2,558.92 ▼ 0.79% BVL PERÚ 60,220.45 ▲ 0.32% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
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Wednesday, September 30, 2026

Brazil Life & Society

Upcoming Population Decline in Brazil: These States Are Leading the Trend

By · August 22, 2024 · 2 min read

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Beginning in 2027, Alagoas and Rio Grande do Sul will see population declines, as reported by the IBGE today.

This trend will spread to nine other states within two decades, with the entire country’s population decreasing from 2042.

This demographic shift is driven by aging populations, lower birth rates, and migration patterns.

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In Rio de Janeiro and Rio Grande do Sul, older age structures prompt earlier declines. In Alagoas, lower birth rates and emigration intensify the decrease.

Mato Grosso presents a contrast, expecting no decline through 2070, buoyed by migration inflows propelled by its thriving agribusiness sector.

These changes are critical for several reasons. They impact economic strategies, healthcare, social services, and urban planning.

Upcoming Population Decline in Brazil: These States Are Leading the Trend.
Upcoming Population Decline in Brazil: These States Are Leading the Trend.
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A shrinking population could mean fewer workers and a higher proportion of retirees, reshaping economic and social policies.

The data serves as a crucial planning tool, helping policymakers address the implications of these shifts.

As Brazil adapts, understanding and preparing for these demographic changes will be vital in fostering a resilient future.

Background

The latest UN report projects Brazil’s population will peak at 219.28 million in 2042, with a global peak of 10.3 billion in sixty years.

Following this surge, numbers will slightly dip worldwide, settling at 10.2 billion by 2100. Globally, growth has slowed compared to past projections, showing a 6% decrease.

This means 700 million fewer people than expected. Factors include lower birth rates and quicker fertility declines in certain regions.

The growth trend in Brazil aligns with 47 other nations, including notable ones like Iran and Turkey.

From the 2022 IBGE Census, Brazil’s growth has cooled, now at a 0.52% annual increase — the smallest rise since 1872.

This slowdown shifts the demographic landscape significantly. By century’s end, one-third of Brazilians will be elderly, with seniors expected to make up 18% in just thirty years.

Upcoming Population Decline in Brazil: These States Are Leading the Trend

This article was drafted with automated assistance and reviewed before publication. How we use AI · Report an error

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