The Maracanã from the air, with the smaller Maracanãzinho arena behind it. File photo.
Prediction markets: Polymarket gives Flamengo a 79.5% chance to win the Brazil Série A, and gives Cruz Azul 41% in the market "Liga MX: 2026 Apertura 2nd Place Finish", as of November 2, 11:07 p.m. ET. Prices are bets, not polls.
Flamengo lead Brazil’s league by three points — they have 73 to Palmeiras’s 70, and both clubs play within 24 hours this week.
Flamengo thrashed Vasco 4–1 — that round-33 win keeps them ahead of Palmeiras, who sit second.
Boca Juniors wait in the Copa Sudamericana final — they will play in Barranquilla, Colombia, on Saturday 21 November.
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Today’s headlines November 3, 2026
Event
Status
Angle
Flamengo v Grêmio
Wednesday 4 Nov, 19:30
The leaders can stretch their gap before Palmeiras play.
São Paulo v Corinthians
Wednesday 4 Nov, 21:30
A heavyweight derby between two of Brazil’s biggest clubs.
Copa Sudamericana final
Saturday 21 Nov
Boca Juniors are through; Barranquilla hosts the decider.
01
Flamengo host Grêmio on Wednesday with a three-point lead
Preview
Flamengo, Rio de Janeiro’s most popular club, lead the Brasileirão Série A on 73 points after round 33. They play Grêmio, from the southern city of Porto Alegre, on Wednesday 4 November at 19:30.
Palmeiras are second on 70 points. They do not play until Thursday, so Flamengo move first and set the pressure.
A win would take Flamengo to 76 points and put Palmeiras under strain. If Flamengo drop points, Palmeiras can cut the gap to one point or draw level by winning.
In short — Flamengo lead on 73 points and play Grêmio on Wednesday at 19:30, with Palmeiras three points behind.
The Maracanã stadium in Rio de Janeiro, home ground of Flamengo. File photo. Photo: Rob, BBM Explorer, CC BY 2.0
Flamengo won 4–1 away at Vasco da Gama, their Rio de Janeiro neighbours. The derby result kept them three points clear of Palmeiras.
Elsewhere in round 33, Cruzeiro beat Atlético-MG 1–0 and Bahia beat São Paulo 3–2. Coritiba won 2–0 against Vitória.
Cruzeiro are third on 57 points. Fluminense and Athletico-PR share fourth on 54, so the title now looks like a two-horse race.
Those four clubs are far behind the top two. The real fight beyond the leaders is for the places below them.
In short — Flamengo’s 4–1 win at Vasco kept them on 73 points, ahead of Palmeiras on 70.
03
São Paulo v Corinthians and Palmeiras v Remo follow this week
Preview
Tonight, Tuesday 3 November, Chapecoense host Mirassol in the league. On Wednesday 4 November, São Paulo play Corinthians at 21:30, two hours after Flamengo kick off.
Both clubs are from the city of São Paulo, so the match is a major local derby. São Paulo arrive after a 3–2 defeat at Bahia.
Palmeiras then face Remo on Thursday 5 November at 19:30. Palmeiras need a win to keep the pressure on a Flamengo side that could be on 76 points by then.
Kick-off times are in Brasília time (UTC-3); the CBF, the Brazilian football confederation, publishes the official fixture list.
In short — São Paulo meet Corinthians on Wednesday at 21:30 and Palmeiras play Remo on Thursday at 19:30.
What Prediction Markets Say
Implied chances from traders’ prices, as of November 2, 11:07 p.m. ET.
Brazil Série A: Winner
Flamengo 79.5% · Palmeiras 19%
Polymarket · US$56,294 traded
Liga MX: 2026 Apertura 2nd Place Finish
Cruz Azul 41% · Club América 30.5% · UNAM Pumas 22.9%
Polymarket · US$49,248 traded
Copa Libertadores: Winner
Palmeiras 64% · Estudiantes LP 31.6%
Polymarket · US$39,358 traded
Bolivia LFPB: Teams relegated (2026)
GV San José 43.5% · Real Tomayapo 35.5% · Bulo Bulo 3.8%
Polymarket · US$17,134 traded
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
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