Israel Pick Sends Netanyahu Exit Odds to 68%
Polymarket puts Netanyahu out by June 2027 at 68% and by December 2026 at 44.5%, after Herzog picked Eisenkot to...
November 8, 2026Topic
Benjamin Netanyahu
Netanyahu Exit Odds Jump to 56% by Mid-2027
Polymarket puts Netanyahu out as Israel's prime minister by June 2027 at 56%, up 16.5 points in a week, as...
November 6, 2026
Israel Certifies Vote, Rejects Fraud Claims
Israel's election committee certified the 27 October vote and found no fraud, as President Herzog opens talks on who may...
November 4, 2026
Election Bet Hits 62% After Senate Flip
Polymarket gives 62.5% to Lula, Eisenkot and Democrats all winning, up about 24 points in a day after the US...
November 4, 2026
Herzog to Begin Israel Coalition Talks
Israel's president will receive official election results next week, then meet every party. No bloc has 61 seats; Polymarket puts...
October 28, 2026
Israel Election Odds Split on Vote Day
On voting day, Kalshi gives Gadi Eizenkot 44% to be Israel's next prime minister and Polymarket 55%. See why the...
October 27, 2026
Israel-Iran Ceasefire Odds Fall to 45%
Polymarket traders give the Israel-Iran ceasefire a 45% chance of lasting to 31 December, down 12.5 points in a week...
October 16, 2026
Israel Rejects Trump’s 15-Point Plan To End The Gaza War
Israel has rejected Donald Trump’s 15-point Board of Peace framework, with Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu insisting on full Hamas disarmament...
August 9, 2026