IBOV 172,457.76 ▲ 0.66% IPC MEX 71,204.98 ▼ 0.84% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL5.67▲ 0.45% USD/MXN18.52▼ 0.42% USD/CLP994.16▼ 0.13% USD/COP3,302▲ 0.70% USD/PEN3.40▼ 0.16% USD/ARS1,544▼ 0.11% USD/UYU40.59▲ 2.33% USD/PYG6,196▲ 2.33% USD/BOB11.59▼ 0.37% USD/DOP60.59▲ 1.85% USD/CRC442.74▼ 0.10% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 2.06% USD/HNL26.91▲ 2.15% USD/NIO36.62— 0.00% USD/VES909.35▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.69▲ 1.39% USD/TTD6.75▲ 1.58% EUR/BRL6.25▲ 0.93% BRENT 95.84 ▲ 0.02% WTI 88.56 ▼ 0.20% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.09 ▼ 1.50% GOLD 3,886 ▲ 0.03% SILVER 49.12 ▼ 1.70% SOY 1,232 ▲ 0.37% CORN 445.50 ▲ 0.68% WHEAT 593.25 ▲ 1.54% COFFEE 279.25 ▼ 0.34% SUGAR 18.40 ▲ 0.99% ORANGE JUICE 136.85 ▼ 2.91% COTTON 79.02 ▲ 0.44% COCOA 5,123 ▲ 1.13% BEEF 224.80 ▲ 2.70% CATTLE 335.35 ▼ 0.10% LITHIUM 58.76 ▼ 1.13% PETR4 45.30 ▲ 1.34% VALE3 63.50 ▼ 0.70% ITUB4 42.27 ▲ 1.42% BBDC4 14.52 ▲ 1.40% ABEV3 15.79 ▲ 0.25% BBAS3 15.10 ▼ 2.45% B3SA3 14.89 ▲ 0.88% WEGE3 51.31 ▼ 0.66% PRIO3 63.30 — 0.00% SUZB3 54.77 ▼ 2.27% RENT3 30.07 ▲ 1.66% AZZA3 15.91 ▼ 5.86% CSAN3 3.10 ▲ 8.77% RAIZ4 20.00 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.56 ▲ 7.11% GMAT3 4.25 ▲ 10.68% PSSA3 46.41 ▲ 1.02% CVCB3 0.83 ▼ 1.19% POSI3 3.15 ▼ 6.53% SLCE3 18.28 ▼ 0.44% NATU3 5.13 ▼ 3.75% BRKM5 3.02 ▼ 1.63% RANI3 8.18 — 0.00% CSNA3 3.72 ▼ 12.06% IBOV 172,457.76 ▲ 0.66% IPC MEX 71,204.98 ▼ 0.84% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL 5.67 ▲ 0.45% USD/MXN 18.52 ▼ 0.42% USD/CLP 994.16 ▼ 0.13% USD/COP 3,302 ▲ 0.70% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.16% USD/ARS 1,544 ▼ 0.11% USD/UYU 40.59 ▲ 2.33% USD/PYG 6,196 ▲ 2.33% USD/BOB 11.59 ▼ 0.37% USD/DOP 60.59 ▲ 1.85% USD/CRC 442.74 ▼ 0.10% USD/GTQ 7.64 ▲ 2.06% USD/HNL 26.91 ▲ 2.15% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 2.73% USD/VES 909.35 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.69 ▲ 1.39% USD/TTD 6.75 ▲ 1.58% EUR/BRL 6.25 ▲ 0.93% BRENT 95.84 ▲ 0.02% WTI 88.56 ▼ 0.20% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.09 ▼ 1.50% GOLD 3,886 ▲ 0.03% SILVER 49.12 ▼ 1.70% SOY 1,232 ▲ 0.37% CORN 445.50 ▲ 0.68% WHEAT 593.25 ▲ 1.54% COFFEE 279.25 ▼ 0.34% SUGAR 18.40 ▲ 0.99% ORANGE JUICE 136.85 ▼ 2.91% COTTON 79.02 ▲ 0.44% COCOA 5,123 ▲ 1.13% BEEF 224.80 ▲ 2.70% CATTLE 335.35 ▼ 0.10% LITHIUM 58.76 ▼ 1.13% PETR4 45.30 ▲ 1.34% VALE3 63.50 ▼ 0.70% ITUB4 42.27 ▲ 1.42% BBDC4 14.52 ▲ 1.40% ABEV3 15.79 ▲ 0.25% BBAS3 15.10 ▼ 2.45% B3SA3 14.89 ▲ 0.88% WEGE3 51.31 ▼ 0.66% PRIO3 63.30 — 0.00% SUZB3 54.77 ▼ 2.27% RENT3 30.07 ▲ 1.66% AZZA3 15.91 ▼ 5.86% CSAN3 3.10 ▲ 8.77% RAIZ4 20.00 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.56 ▲ 7.11% GMAT3 4.25 ▲ 10.68% PSSA3 46.41 ▲ 1.02% CVCB3 0.83 ▼ 1.19% POSI3 3.15 ▼ 6.53% SLCE3 18.28 ▼ 0.44% NATU3 5.13 ▼ 3.75% BRKM5 3.02 ▼ 1.63% RANI3 8.18 — 0.00% CSNA3 3.72 ▼ 12.06%
since 2009
Sunday, November 15, 2026

Brazil’s Regional Rivalry: Northeast Prefers Lula, Other Areas Skeptical

By · · 2 min read

PoderData’s recent survey, conducted from May 25 to 27, 2024, unveils distinct regional opinions in Brazil’s political scene.

As President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva navigates his third term, the poll explores his approval ratings.

Notably, the Northeast decisively favors Lula over former President Jair Bolsonaro, with 50% of voters endorsing Lula’s leadership.

Free daily brief — no card needed
Get every Politics - Brazil story in one morning email
We build you a personalized brief around the topics you follow — free for 7 days. Love it? Your first month after that is US$1.

Conversely, 36% disapprove, and 10% detect no difference. Meanwhile, the Southeast presents a balanced view.

Here, 36% support Lula, closely trailed by 34% for Bolsonaro, with 28% remaining undecided, all within a 2-point margin of error.

The LatAm Brief

One email, every weekday morning. What moved in Latin American markets, politics and expat life.

Yesterday’s subject line: “Exxon gets Guyana approval for a gas project”

In contrast, discontent is more pronounced in other regions. A significant 62% in the Centro-Oeste disapprove of Lula, a sentiment shared by majorities in the Norte and Sul.

Brazil's Regional Rivalry: Northeast Prefers Lula, Other Areas Skeptical.
Brazil’s Regional Rivalry: Northeast Prefers Lula, Other Areas Skeptical.
RT
Ask Rio Times
This story and the bigger picture.
Open the full Ask Rio Times →

But why is this significant? Lula’s strong support in the Northeast was crucial for his 2022 electoral victory, netting him approximately 29 million votes.

Yet, these figures also hint at a decline in his popularity.

Employing rigorous methods, PoderData interviewed 2,500 individuals across 211 municipalities, capturing a broad demographic spectrum.

They executed over 100,000 phone calls to ensure the survey’s robust foundation.

Brazil’s Regional Rivalry: Northeast Prefers Lula, Other Areas Skeptical

Further demographic breakdowns reveal that 55% of Catholics approve of Lula, compared to just 27% of Evangelicals.

Overall, public opinion is split, with approvals nearly equal to disapprovals.

This glimpse into Brazilian public sentiment does more than just quantify; it highlights the dynamic challenges facing Lula’s presidency against Bolsonaro’s lingering influence.

Such insights are vital for grasping the nuances of Brazil’s political environment and its future directions.

For those eager to delve deeper, Poder360’s Research Aggregator offers extensive electoral data, accessible exclusively to its subscribers.

This platform collects comprehensive insights, charting the political landscape of Brazil over years.

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated AI newsroom. Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Publisher and Editor-in-Chief. The Rio Times also runs Ask Rio Times, which answers from 100,000+ of our own articles, the daily Latin America Power Map, and prediction-market odds on elections and markets.. How we use AI · Report an error

The Rio Times · Power Map
See who really holds power in Latin America
Click to open the Power Map →

Brazil runoff date: Sunday, October 25, poll closing times and when results start · Brazil runoff polls: Flávio 51%, Lula 49% · Kalshi and Polymarket odds

Rotate for Best Experience

This report is optimized for landscape viewing. Rotate your phone for the full experience.