Sudan war: Data Room
Sudan war at a glance: dates and times in US Eastern Time, prediction markets, the key facts with their sources and every story we have published.
Key Facts
—Facts 22 sourced facts below, each with a link to its source.
—Our reports 20 stories in this dossier; the latest five are listed below.
Facts last compiled 26 October 2026, 3:35 a.m. ET; last checked 27 October 2026, 1:35 a.m. ET. Schedule, prediction markets and stories refresh every 30 minutes or faster.
What Prediction Markets Say
Prediction markets · Sudan’s war
The implied chance of a ceasefire, from traders’ prices on Polymarket.
Official ceasefire in Sudan's war by...
Polymarket: US$120,000 traded on this question, US$15,000 of it on the nearest deadline. It counts only a publicly announced, mutually agreed halt to the fighting between the army and the RSF; humanitarian pauses do not count.
Earlier deadlines of 31 December 2025, 31 March 2026 and 30 June 2026 passed without a ceasefire.
As of 27 October, 1:39 a.m. ET (05:39 Lisbon), updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
Key numbers
Who is involved
Where things stand
Timeline
Key dates
Our Latest Reports
20 stories in this dossier
32 Governments Warn of Sudan Famine Risk
The US, UK, EU and 29 other donors say 19.5 million Sudanese face acute hunger and ask warring sides to open aid routes into Darfur.
Drone Strikes Black Out Sudan's Southeast
Drone strikes on five substations cut power across four Sudanese states on Monday. The utility blames the RSF; the claim is unverified.
UK Sanctions 15 Sudan Commanders Over Rape
Britain froze assets and banned travel for 15 commanders and officials from both sides of Sudan’s war, citing alleged sexual violence.
Sudan Official Asks UN to Probe Abyei Attack
A Sudanese official asked the UN peacekeeping force in Abyei to find who bombed a busy market. The UN counts more than 80 dead; local officials say above 220.
Amnesty Accuses Sudan Militia of Torture
Amnesty International says Sudan’s RSF paramilitary is still detaining, torturing and killing civilians in El Fasher a year after taking the city.
Sources and Downloads
data.unhcr.orgnews.un.orgpress.un.orgsecuritycouncilreport.orgsecuritycouncilreport.orgsecuritycouncilreport.orgunhcr.orgunocha.orgunocha.org
Facts are gathered automatically from the sources above. Every figure carries its source; figures that two independent searches do not confirm are marked or left out.
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