IBOV 174,586.26 ▲ 0.01% IPSA 11,369.18 ▼ 0.71% IPC MEX 66,191.11 ▼ 0.15% MERVAL 3,024,971 — 0.00% COLCAP 2,504.68 ▼ 0.15% BVL PERÚ 60,449.35 ▲ 0.30% USD/BRL5.15▼ 0.04% USD/MXN16.99▲ 0.20% USD/CLP922.25▲ 0.07% USD/COP3,128▲ 1.10% USD/PEN3.35▲ 0.26% USD/ARS1,514▲ 0.17% USD/UYU40.18▲ 1.55% USD/PYG5,957▲ 0.99% USD/BOB11.50▲ 1.47% USD/DOP58.01▲ 0.33% USD/CRC450.21▲ 2.07% USD/GTQ7.62▲ 2.21% USD/HNL26.82▲ 0.34% USD/NIO36.62▲ 0.79% USD/VES789.35▲ 0.36% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.73▲ 1.10% EUR/BRL5.99▼ 0.18% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 174,586.26 ▲ 0.01% IPSA 11,369.18 ▼ 0.71% IPC MEX 66,191.11 ▼ 0.15% MERVAL 3,024,971 — 0.00% COLCAP 2,504.68 ▼ 0.15% BVL PERÚ 60,449.35 ▲ 0.30% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
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Opinion: Brazil’s Power Vacuum

By · November 16, 2015 · 2 min read

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Opinion, by Michael Royster

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – Aristotle is said to have coined the phrase “Nature abhors a vacuum”. Down the years, political scientists have denatured the phrase to define “power vacuum” as a situation where people have lost control of something and no one has replaced them.

The Curmudgeon, aka Michael Royster.
The Curmudgeon, aka Michael Royster.
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Dilma has clearly lost control of Brazil’s government, and as yet no one has replaced her; however, there is no shortage of politicians who abhor the vacuum and seek to step into it as her successor.

Back in August, when pressure was mounting on Dilma to resign, Vice President Temer obliquely declared himself a candidate to fill the void by saying the country needed someone to bring it together. That trial balloon was aided by the movement to impeach Dilma, which hasn’t gathered momentum.

PSDB, defeated candidate Aécio’s party, filed a lawsuit with the TSE seeking to declare the Dilma/Temer ticket, ex post facto, ineligible to take office because of election campaign irregularities. That would result in new elections being called within 90 days, which Aécio fully expected to win. But TSE is sitting on the suit and doing nothing.

Cunha, the President of the Chamber of Deputies, then made his attempt, by declaring himself in opposition to Dilma and trying to create his own legislative agenda while torpedoing Dilma’s programs. Unfortunately for him, investigators have found his offshore fortune so his chances look slim.

Former President Lula has now made a bold attempt to reimpose himself on Brazil. For starters, he wants Dilma to replace Finance Minister Levy with his puppet banker Henrique Meirelles. Moreover, Lula has staked out a position critical of Dilma’s austerity program.

Dilma resists: she won’t resign; she has put Temer out to Vice Presidential pasture; impeachment efforts languish while Cunha twists in the wind. But Lula’s latest ploy may yet work, because he’ll let Dilma continue in office while he pulls the puppet strings.

In the meantime, the “horror vacui” continues while the ethical horrorshow that is Brazilian politics grows more abhorrent daily.

The Curmudgeon lives in hope but still writes dismal Smidgens.

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