IBOV 204,120.12 ▼ 1.15% IPSA 10,780.31 ▼ 1.88% IPC MEX 69,889.73 ▼ 0.51% MERVAL 3,017,221 — — COLCAP 2,528.42 ▼ 1.25% BVL PERÚ 59,561.23 ▼ 4.26% USD/BRL5.05▲ 0.56% USD/MXN18.75▲ 0.21% USD/CLP985.57▲ 0.39% USD/COP3,181▼ 0.49% USD/PEN3.43▼ 0.14% USD/ARS1,527▲ 0.08% USD/UYU40.09▲ 3.18% USD/PYG5,709▲ 2.85% USD/BOB11.70▲ 3.25% USD/DOP61.15▲ 2.59% USD/CRC453.45▲ 3.10% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.21% USD/HNL26.87▲ 3.36% USD/NIO36.62▲ 2.68% USD/VES884.01▲ 0.04% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.75▲ 2.63% EUR/BRL5.66▲ 0.44% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 204,120.12 ▼ 1.15% IPSA 10,780.31 ▼ 1.88% IPC MEX 69,889.73 ▼ 0.51% MERVAL 3,017,221 — — COLCAP 2,528.42 ▼ 1.25% BVL PERÚ 59,561.23 ▼ 4.26% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
since 2009
Friday, October 23, 2026

Cabo Verde presidential election: Data Room

Cabo Verde presidential election at a glance: dates and times in US Eastern Time, prediction markets, the key facts with their sources and every story we have published.

Key Facts

—When Sunday, 15 November 2026 (In 23 days)

—Facts 22 sourced facts below, each with a link to its source.

—Hub All live updates on Cabo Verde presidential election

Facts last compiled 23 October 2026, 3:27 a.m. ET; last checked 23 October 2026, 3:27 a.m. ET. Schedule, prediction markets and stories refresh every 30 minutes or faster.

Dates and Times

Schedule in US Eastern Time

Event window
Sunday, 15 November 2026
Polls open
Sunday 15 November, 4:00 a.m. ET (Sunday 15 November, 8:00 a.m. local time) electionindex.org ↗
Polls close
Sunday 15 November, 2:00 p.m. ET (Sunday 15 November, 6:00 p.m. local time) electionindex.org ↗
General count begins
Monday 16 November, 4:00 a.m. ET (Monday 16 November, 8:00 a.m. local time) electionindex.org ↗

What Prediction Markets Say

Prediction markets · Cabo Verde presidential election

Implied chances from traders’ prices. Prices are bets, not polls.

Who wins Cabo Verde's presidency

José Maria Neves87.5%
Janine Lélis4%
Joana Rosa3.9%
Casimiro de Pina1.4%

Polymarket: US$34,000 traded.

Kalshi: winning party

PAICV81%
MpD11%
UCID5%

Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 4,196 contracts traded.

Kalshi: outright first-round win

First-round winner69%

Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): 3,376 contracts traded.

As of Friday, 23 October, 3:27 a.m. ET, updated every 20 minutes.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

The vote

Institution elected
President of the Republic, head of state, for a five-year term. electionindex.org ↗
Seats
One presidential office. electionindex.org ↗ (one source so far)
Winning threshold
Absolute majority of valid votes; blank votes excluded. electionindex.org ↗
Runoff date
29 November 2026, if required. electionindex.org ↗
Voting system
Direct popular election under the two-round system. electionindex.org ↗
Polling hours
08:00 to 18:00 Cabo Verde time on 15 November. electionindex.org ↗
Counting
Counting begins at polling stations immediately after polls close at 18:00. electionindex.org ↗
General count
CNE general-counting assembly scheduled to begin at 08:00 on 16 November. electionindex.org ↗

Parties and leaders

José Maria Neves
Incumbent president, seeking a second term. todaynewsafrica.com ↗
Joana Rosa
Former justice minister, backed by the main opposition party. electionindex.org ↗
Antero Tavares
Candidate in the 2026 presidential election. electionindex.org ↗
Casimiro de Pina
Candidate in the 2026 presidential election. electionindex.org ↗
Gilson Alves
Candidate in the 2026 presidential election. electionindex.org ↗
Loisito Tavares de Sousa
Candidate in the 2026 presidential election. electionindex.org ↗

Last result

Previous election date
17 October 2021. electionindex.org ↗
Winner
José Maria Neves, elected in the first round. electionindex.org ↗
Vote share
51.79% of valid votes. electionindex.org ↗ (one source so far)
Turnout
46.5%. electionindex.org ↗ (one source so far)
Votes cast
Approximately 193,300 of 416,096 registered voters. electionindex.org ↗

Polls

No opinion polls
No conventional, methodologically documented opinion poll identified. pollsafrica.com ↗
Election Tracker, 22 October
Neves 90% market-implied probability, Rosa 4%. electiontracker.eu ↗
Election Tracker, 12 October
Neves 78% and Rosa 12%, outcome probabilities not vote-intention percentages. electiontracker.eu ↗

Timeline

Key dates

29 Nov 2026
Runoff date, if required. electionindex.org ↗
16 Nov 2026
CNE general-counting assembly scheduled to begin at 08:00. electionindex.org ↗
15 Nov 2026
Presidential election scheduled. electionindex.org ↗
22 Oct 2026
Election Tracker update gave Neves 90% and Rosa 4%. electiontracker.eu ↗
12 Oct 2026
Election Tracker update showed Neves at 78% and Rosa at 12%. electiontracker.eu ↗
17 Oct 2021
Previous presidential election held; José Maria Neves won in the first round. electionindex.org ↗

Sources and Downloads

electionindex.orgelectionindex.orgelectiontracker.euelectiontracker.eupollsafrica.comtodaynewsafrica.com

Facts are gathered automatically from the sources above. Every figure carries its source; figures that two independent searches do not confirm are marked or left out.

Free to use under CC BY 4.0: credit The Rio Times and link to this page.