IBOV 204,324.26 ▼ 1.06% IPSA 10,971.88 ▲ 0.05% IPC MEX 67,663.29 ▲ 1.31% MERVAL 2,859,051 ▲ 0.82% COLCAP 2,580.50 ▼ 0.07% BVL PERÚ 59,543.73 ▲ 1.12% USD/BRL5.08▼ 0.41% USD/MXN18.38▼ 0.16% USD/CLP980.00▼ 0.51% USD/COP3,173▼ 0.70% USD/PEN3.44— 0.00% USD/ARS1,513▼ 0.03% USD/UYU40.24▲ 3.34% USD/PYG5,668▲ 2.74% USD/BOB11.60▲ 2.19% USD/DOP61.15▲ 0.25% USD/CRC449.12▲ 1.74% USD/GTQ7.64▲ 3.24% USD/HNL26.86▲ 0.35% USD/NIO36.62▼ 0.07% USD/VES877.92▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.75▲ 2.44% EUR/BRL5.71▲ 1.28% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 204,324.26 ▼ 1.06% IPSA 10,971.88 ▲ 0.05% IPC MEX 67,663.29 ▲ 1.31% MERVAL 2,859,051 ▲ 0.82% COLCAP 2,580.50 ▼ 0.07% BVL PERÚ 59,543.73 ▲ 1.12% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
since 2009
Friday, October 16, 2026

Brazil Brazil Elections 2026

Why Most Brazilian Lawmakers Want Bolsonaro Out of the 2026 Race

By · July 3, 2025 · 2 min read

(Analysis) A recent Genial/Quaest survey of Brazil’s federal representatives reveals a clear trend: most want former President Jair Bolsonaro to step aside and not run for president in 2026.
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\nThe poll, which included 203 members—about 40% of the Chamber—found that 51% believe Bolsonaro should abandon his candidacy. Only 23% think he should continue, while 26% did not express an opinion. The survey’s margin of error is 4.5 percentage points.
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\nBolsonaro cannot run for office until 2030. The Superior Electoral Court (TSE) barred him for eight years after finding him guilty of abusing political power and misusing media during his presidency.
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\nHe also faces criminal charges in the Supreme Federal Court for allegedly trying to overturn the 2022 election, with possible sentences totaling up to 43 years if convicted.
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\nThe survey highlights that the strongest rejection comes from the Centrão, a powerful bloc of centrist parties. Among members of this group, 78% want Bolsonaro to step aside. Even among right-wing politicians, half believe he should not run.
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Why Most Brazilian Lawmakers Want Bolsonaro Out of the 2026 Race
Why Most Brazilian Lawmakers Want Bolsonaro Out of the 2026 Race.
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\nThese numbers show that Bolsonaro’s legal problems and political fatigue have weakened his support, even among former allies. With doubts about Bolsonaro’s future, attention is shifting to São Paulo Governor Tarcísio de Freitas.
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\nNearly half of the respondents now see Tarcísio as the main opposition candidate for 2026. Tarcísio, a former infrastructure secretary, has high approval ratings in São Paulo and appeals to business and centrist voters.
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\nHowever, some Bolsonaro loyalists remain skeptical, seeing him as less committed to the core values of “Bolsonarismo.” Other names, such as Michelle Bolsonaro, the former first lady, are also mentioned as possible candidates.
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\nMichelle leads the Liberal Party’s women’s wing and has built her own political base, especially among evangelical voters. Still, Tarcísio and Michelle both trail President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva in first-round polling scenarios, though they close the gap in potential runoffs.
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\nThis shift matters for several reasons. The uncertainty around Bolsonaro’s candidacy affects political alliances, campaign strategies, and voter expectations.
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\nThe enforcement of electoral laws and court decisions in such a high-profile case sets important precedents for future elections. The right-wing in Brazil now faces a crossroads: rally behind a new leader or risk fragmentation.
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\nFor voters and businesses, these developments will shape the choices available in the next presidential election and influence the country’s direction on economic, security, and social policies.

For the full picture, see our Brazil Elections 2026: Complete Guide.

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

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