IBOV 175,664.62 ▲ 0.30% IPSA 11,445.90 ▼ 0.22% IPC MEX 65,484.32 ▼ 0.53% MERVAL 2,979,472 ▼ 0.72% COLCAP 2,457.87 ▼ 1.28% BVL PERÚ 60,779.49 ▼ 1.40% USD/BRL5.21▲ 0.39% USD/MXN17.03▲ 0.26% USD/CLP930.58— 0.00% USD/COP3,202▲ 2.39% USD/PEN3.35▼ 0.07% USD/ARS1,512— 0.00% USD/UYU40.27▲ 1.50% USD/PYG5,900▲ 0.50% USD/BOB11.78▲ 3.59% USD/DOP58.61▲ 0.96% USD/CRC446.65▲ 0.98% USD/GTQ7.62▲ 2.25% USD/HNL26.84▲ 0.40% USD/NIO36.62▼ 0.02% USD/VES789.69▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.72▲ 0.77% EUR/BRL6.01▲ 0.17% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 175,664.62 ▲ 0.30% IPSA 11,445.90 ▼ 0.22% IPC MEX 65,484.32 ▼ 0.53% MERVAL 2,979,472 ▼ 0.72% COLCAP 2,457.87 ▼ 1.28% BVL PERÚ 60,779.49 ▼ 1.40% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
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Opinion: The Curmudgeon on the Sacred Cow, an updated Smidgen

By · February 5, 2015 · 2 min read

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Opinion, by Michael Royster

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – On Groundhog Day, a prominent Brazilian daily announced that President Dilma had agreed to sack Petrobras President Graça Foster. The next day, the Sacred Cow emitted some of its usual methane gas, denying any such thing. The very next day (February 4th) the Sacred Cow pulled in its horns and admitted that Dilma would sack ALL its current directors.

The Curmudgeon, aka Michael Royster.
The Curmudgeon, aka Michael Royster.
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Were this bullfighting, the daily would be awarded ears, horns and tail. But, as everyone knows, Petrobras isn’t bullfighting, it’s another type of bull (we don’t mean papal).

In Brazilian Portuguese, one way of saying “no” as in “what is there about ‘no’ you don’t understand” is the phrase “nem que a vaca tussa” meaning, literally, not even if the cow coughs. Graça Foster had, honorably, submitted her resignation several times in the past, only to be told “no”; however, the Sacred Cow now has whooping cough, and even Dilma has heard.

If you’re Dilma, whom do you select to put in charge of a Sacred Cow suffering from, potentially, bovine spongiform encephalopathy (BSE) commonly known as “mad cow disease” — which is usually fatal.

Enter Lula (from Stage Right). He has suggested Henrique Meirelles, whom he appointed as President of the Brazilian Central Bank in 2002 and kept in office for two terms. That makes eminent sense, for several reasons.

First, Meirelles has never had any connection whatsoever to Petrobras, so he hasn’t been tainted by its monopolistic corporate culture or the Petrolão scandal. Second, Meirelles has always been a banker, and Petrobras badly needs financial expertise — it has more than enough technical expertise. Third, appointing Meirelles will significantly improve Petrobras stock price, because “the market” trusts him to do the right thing.

Don’t bet on this appointment happening, though, because Dilma has never trusted the market, nor Meirelles; these days she doesn’t trust Lula either.

The Curmudgeon plans to emit more bovine Smidgens opportunely. Stay tuned.

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