IBOV 175,739 ▼ 1.20% IPSA 10,928 ▼ 1.17% IPC MEX 65,973 ▼ 0.79% MERVAL 3,235,295 ▼ 1.37% COLCAP 2,307.67 — UNCH BVL PERÚ 56,917.82 ▼ 0.86% USD/BRL5.13▼ 0.12% USD/MXN17.51▼ 0.12% USD/CLP932.70▼ 0.02% USD/COP3,245▼ 0.56% USD/PEN3.40▼ 0.23% USD/ARS1,482▼ 0.07% USD/UYU40.22— 0.00% USD/PYG6,045▼ 0.17% USD/BOB10.35▲ 6.04% USD/DOP58.37▲ 0.49% USD/CRC448.53▲ 1.22% USD/GTQ7.62▲ 2.07% USD/HNL26.73▲ 1.41% USD/NIO36.62▲ 0.63% USD/VES722.19▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.69▼ 0.25% USD/TTD6.74▲ 1.05% EUR/BRL5.85▲ 0.49% BRENT 86.74 ▲ 4.13% WTI 80.57 ▲ 3.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.39 ▲ 2.44% GOLD 4,028 ▲ 0.77% SILVER 58.40 ▲ 1.33% SOY 1,191 ▼ 0.96% CORN 459.00 ▲ 4.85% WHEAT 634.50 ▲ 1.20% COFFEE 336.00 ▼ 1.58% SUGAR 14.81 ▲ 0.41% ORANGE JUICE 137.15 ▼ 7.24% COTTON 82.00 ▲ 2.72% COCOA 5,766 ▲ 1.23% BEEF 230.83 ▼ 1.86% CATTLE 354.20 ▼ 0.11% LITHIUM 70.24 ▼ 2.88% PETR4 40.66 ▲ 2.55% VALE3 72.85 ▼ 1.79% ITUB4 43.52 ▼ 1.76% BBDC4 18.77 ▼ 0.48% ABEV3 15.83 ▲ 0.06% BBAS3 20.24 ▼ 1.65% B3SA3 15.12 ▼ 1.95% WEGE3 44.39 ▼ 4.56% PRIO3 57.20 ▲ 3.16% SUZB3 41.49 ▼ 0.14% RENT3 40.20 ▼ 2.19% AZZA3 19.22 ▲ 0.63% CSAN3 3.90 ▼ 4.18% RAIZ4 0.33 ▼ 5.71% PCAR3 2.59 ▼ 5.13% GMAT3 3.94 ▼ 0.76% PSSA3 54.04 ▼ 1.69% CVCB3 1.25 — 0.00% POSI3 3.99 ▲ 0.50% SLCE3 13.87 ▼ 1.07% NATU3 8.60 ▼ 0.92% BRKM5 6.94 ▲ 4.68% RANI3 7.95 ▼ 0.75% CSNA3 5.24 ▲ 1.16% CMIN3 5.45 ▲ 4.21% USIM5 8.38 ▼ 0.83% GGBR4 22.82 ▼ 0.83% ENEV3 26.88 ▼ 2.43% CPFE3 46.84 ▼ 2.15% CMIG4 11.07 ▼ 2.72% EQTL3 40.21 ▼ 1.71% LREN3 14.15 ▼ 3.21% VIVT3 34.73 ▼ 2.85% RAIL3 14.11 ▼ 1.74% KLABIN 17.48 ▼ 0.34% RAIA DROGASIL 18.20 ▼ 3.04% RDOR3 35.56 ▼ 1.28% HAPV3 10.46 ▼ 1.32% FLRY3 16.15 ▼ 1.64% SMTO3 16.37 — 0.00% UGPA3 30.93 ▲ 0.72% VBBR3 32.76 ▼ 0.73% BBSE3 40.28 ▼ 0.17% BPAC11 57.52 ▼ 2.06% CURY3 33.12 ▼ 3.19% AERI3 2.08 ▼ 0.48% VIVARA 23.11 ▼ 1.79% COMPASS 24.77 ▼ 2.86% VAMOS 3.02 ▼ 1.31% SANB11 27.37 ▼ 0.91% ASAI3 8.71 ▼ 1.80% SBSP3 30.37 ▼ 2.38% WALMEX 49.66 ▲ 0.69% GMEXICO 195.76 ▼ 1.74% FEMSA 225.36 ▲ 0.92% CEMEX 21.79 ▼ 0.32% GFNORTE 181.91 ▼ 2.51% BIMBO 55.97 ▼ 0.23% TELEVISA 9.58 ▼ 1.54% AMX 22.86 ▲ 0.70% GAP 407.66 ▼ 1.17% ASUR 278.66 ▼ 2.27% OMA 232.47 ▼ 1.70% KOF 181.26 ▲ 0.62% GRUMA 281.09 ▼ 0.87% KIMBER 38.20 ▲ 0.34% SQM-B 67,211 ▼ 0.80% COPEC 6,057 ▼ 1.33% BSANTANDER 78.20 ▼ 1.01% FALABELLA 5,905 — 0.00% ENELAM 84.20 ▼ 1.41% CENCOSUD 2,040 ▼ 0.25% CMPC 1,078 ▼ 2.80% BANCO CHILE 185.00 ▼ 2.05% LATAM AIR 24.90 ▼ 5.18% YPF 77,175 ▲ 3.73% GGAL 8,095 ▼ 2.88% PAMPA 5,225 ▲ 0.87% TXAR 661.50 ▼ 1.42% ALUAR 964.50 ▼ 1.13% TGS 9,580 ▼ 0.16% CEPU 2,324 ▼ 3.01% MIRGOR 17,050 ▼ 1.16% COME 44.85 ▼ 2.31% LOMA NEGRA 3,500 ▼ 2.30% BYMA 308.25 ▼ 1.83% TELECOM ARG 4,248 ▲ 0.06% ECOPETROL 15.88 ▲ 1.93% BANCOLOMBIA 80.42 ▼ 3.05% GRUPO AVAL 4.91 ▼ 3.16% CREDICORP 389.22 ▼ 2.89% SOUTHERN COPPER 174.53 ▼ 0.74% BUENAVENTURA 29.82 ▼ 0.60% MERCADOLIBRE 1,867 ▲ 0.81% NUBANK 13.67 ▼ 0.65% XP 16.37 ▼ 3.25% PAGSEGURO 9.28 ▲ 0.32% STONE 11.15 ▼ 0.54% GLOBANT 32.12 ▲ 7.21% TECNOGLASS 42.84 ▼ 2.41% GAP AIRPORT 232.77 ▼ 1.22% ASUR 278.66 ▼ 2.27% OMA AIRPORT 106.13 ▼ 1.77% AMX ADR 26.02 ▲ 0.04% FEMSA ADR 129.01 ▲ 1.06% CEMEX ADR 12.45 ▼ 0.24% PETROBRAS ADR 17.88 ▲ 3.23% VALE ADR 14.18 ▼ 1.94% ITAU ADR 8.47 ▼ 1.74% SANTANDER BR 5.34 ▼ 1.02% AMBEV ADR 3.06 ▼ 0.33% CSN 1.03 ▲ 1.49% GERDAU 4.49 ▼ 0.22% LATAM ADR 53.33 ▼ 5.53% BTC 62,618 ▲ 0.61% ETH 1,786 ▲ 0.70% SOL 75.04 ▲ 0.24% XRP 1.07 ▲ 0.29% BNB 569.64 ▲ 0.53% ADA 0.16 ▲ 0.87% DOGE 0.07 ▲ 0.36% AVAX 6.48 ▲ 0.56% LINK 7.93 ▲ 0.77% DOT 0.85 ▲ 1.13% LTC 43.75 ▲ 0.60% BCH 236.34 ▲ 0.04% TRX 0.32 ▲ 0.17% XLM 0.18 ▼ 1.33% HBAR 0.07 ▼ 0.82% NEAR 1.99 ▲ 3.51% ATOM 1.52 ▼ 0.98% AAVE 96.08 ▲ 1.82% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 83.01 ▼ 1.88% EMBRAER ADR 64.48 ▼ 2.32% JBS 11.80 ▼ 0.92% JBS BDR 60.61 ▼ 0.28% MBRF3 15.72 ▲ 1.09% MBRFY 3.03 ▲ 0.33% INTER 5.65 ▼ 2.92% IBOV 175,739 ▼ 1.20% IPSA 10,928 ▼ 1.17% IPC MEX 65,973 ▼ 0.79% MERVAL 3,235,295 ▼ 1.37% COLCAP 2,307.67 — UNCH BVL PERÚ 56,917.82 ▼ 0.86% USD/BRL 5.13 ▼ 0.12% USD/MXN 17.51 ▼ 0.12% USD/CLP 932.70 ▼ 0.02% USD/COP 3,245 ▼ 0.56% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.23% USD/ARS 1,482 ▼ 0.07% USD/UYU 40.22 ▲ 0.96% USD/PYG 6,045 ▲ 1.22% USD/BOB 10.35 ▲ 6.04% USD/DOP 58.37 ▲ 0.49% USD/CRC 448.53 ▲ 1.22% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.07% USD/HNL 26.73 ▲ 1.41% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.63% USD/VES 722.19 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.69 ▲ 0.70% USD/TTD 6.74 ▲ 1.05% EUR/BRL 5.85 ▲ 0.49% BRENT 86.74 ▲ 4.13% WTI 80.57 ▲ 3.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.39 ▲ 2.44% GOLD 4,028 ▲ 0.77% SILVER 58.40 ▲ 1.33% SOY 1,191 ▼ 0.96% CORN 459.00 ▲ 4.85% WHEAT 634.50 ▲ 1.20% COFFEE 336.00 ▼ 1.58% SUGAR 14.81 ▲ 0.41% ORANGE JUICE 137.15 ▼ 7.24% COTTON 82.00 ▲ 2.72% COCOA 5,766 ▲ 1.23% BEEF 230.83 ▼ 1.86% CATTLE 354.20 ▼ 0.11% LITHIUM 70.24 ▼ 2.88% PETR4 40.66 ▲ 2.55% VALE3 72.85 ▼ 1.79% ITUB4 43.52 ▼ 1.76% BBDC4 18.77 ▼ 0.48% ABEV3 15.83 ▲ 0.06% BBAS3 20.24 ▼ 1.65% B3SA3 15.12 ▼ 1.95% WEGE3 44.39 ▼ 4.56% PRIO3 57.20 ▲ 3.16% SUZB3 41.49 ▼ 0.14% RENT3 40.20 ▼ 2.19% AZZA3 19.22 ▲ 0.63% CSAN3 3.90 ▼ 4.18% RAIZ4 0.33 ▼ 5.71% PCAR3 2.59 ▼ 5.13% GMAT3 3.94 ▼ 0.76% PSSA3 54.04 ▼ 1.69% CVCB3 1.25 — 0.00% POSI3 3.99 ▲ 0.50% SLCE3 13.87 ▼ 1.07% NATU3 8.60 ▼ 0.92% BRKM5 6.94 ▲ 4.68% RANI3 7.95 ▼ 0.75% CSNA3 5.24 ▲ 1.16% CMIN3 5.45 ▲ 4.21% USIM5 8.38 ▼ 0.83% GGBR4 22.82 ▼ 0.83% ENEV3 26.88 ▼ 2.43% CPFE3 46.84 ▼ 2.15% CMIG4 11.07 ▼ 2.72% EQTL3 40.21 ▼ 1.71% LREN3 14.15 ▼ 3.21% VIVT3 34.73 ▼ 2.85% RAIL3 14.11 ▼ 1.74% KLABIN 17.48 ▼ 0.34% RAIA DROGASIL 18.20 ▼ 3.04% RDOR3 35.56 ▼ 1.28% HAPV3 10.46 ▼ 1.32% FLRY3 16.15 ▼ 1.64% SMTO3 16.37 — 0.00% UGPA3 30.93 ▲ 0.72% VBBR3 32.76 ▼ 0.73% BBSE3 40.28 ▼ 0.17% BPAC11 57.52 ▼ 2.06% CURY3 33.12 ▼ 3.19% AERI3 2.08 ▼ 0.48% VIVARA 23.11 ▼ 1.79% COMPASS 24.77 ▼ 2.86% VAMOS 3.02 ▼ 1.31% SANB11 27.37 ▼ 0.91% ASAI3 8.71 ▼ 1.80% SBSP3 30.37 ▼ 2.38% WALMEX 49.66 ▲ 0.69% GMEXICO 195.76 ▼ 1.74% FEMSA 225.36 ▲ 0.92% CEMEX 21.79 ▼ 0.32% GFNORTE 181.91 ▼ 2.51% BIMBO 55.97 ▼ 0.23% TELEVISA 9.58 ▼ 1.54% AMX 22.86 ▲ 0.70% GAP 407.66 ▼ 1.17% ASUR 278.66 ▼ 2.27% OMA 232.47 ▼ 1.70% KOF 181.26 ▲ 0.62% GRUMA 281.09 ▼ 0.87% KIMBER 38.20 ▲ 0.34% SQM-B 67,211 ▼ 0.80% COPEC 6,057 ▼ 1.33% BSANTANDER 78.20 ▼ 1.01% FALABELLA 5,905 — 0.00% ENELAM 84.20 ▼ 1.41% CENCOSUD 2,040 ▼ 0.25% CMPC 1,078 ▼ 2.80% BANCO CHILE 185.00 ▼ 2.05% LATAM AIR 24.90 ▼ 5.18% YPF 77,175 ▲ 3.73% GGAL 8,095 ▼ 2.88% PAMPA 5,225 ▲ 0.87% TXAR 661.50 ▼ 1.42% ALUAR 964.50 ▼ 1.13% TGS 9,580 ▼ 0.16% CEPU 2,324 ▼ 3.01% MIRGOR 17,050 ▼ 1.16% COME 44.85 ▼ 2.31% LOMA NEGRA 3,500 ▼ 2.30% BYMA 308.25 ▼ 1.83% TELECOM ARG 4,248 ▲ 0.06% ECOPETROL 15.88 ▲ 1.93% BANCOLOMBIA 80.42 ▼ 3.05% GRUPO AVAL 4.91 ▼ 3.16% CREDICORP 389.22 ▼ 2.89% SOUTHERN COPPER 174.53 ▼ 0.74% BUENAVENTURA 29.82 ▼ 0.60% MERCADOLIBRE 1,867 ▲ 0.81% NUBANK 13.67 ▼ 0.65% XP 16.37 ▼ 3.25% PAGSEGURO 9.28 ▲ 0.32% STONE 11.15 ▼ 0.54% GLOBANT 32.12 ▲ 7.21% TECNOGLASS 42.84 ▼ 2.41% GAP AIRPORT 232.77 ▼ 1.22% ASUR 278.66 ▼ 2.27% OMA AIRPORT 106.13 ▼ 1.77% AMX ADR 26.02 ▲ 0.04% FEMSA ADR 129.01 ▲ 1.06% CEMEX ADR 12.45 ▼ 0.24% PETROBRAS ADR 17.88 ▲ 3.23% VALE ADR 14.18 ▼ 1.94% ITAU ADR 8.47 ▼ 1.74% SANTANDER BR 5.34 ▼ 1.02% AMBEV ADR 3.06 ▼ 0.33% CSN 1.03 ▲ 1.49% GERDAU 4.49 ▼ 0.22% LATAM ADR 53.33 ▼ 5.53% BTC 62,618 ▲ 0.61% ETH 1,786 ▲ 0.70% SOL 75.04 ▲ 0.24% XRP 1.07 ▲ 0.29% BNB 569.64 ▲ 0.53% ADA 0.16 ▲ 0.87% DOGE 0.07 ▲ 0.36% AVAX 6.48 ▲ 0.56% LINK 7.93 ▲ 0.77% DOT 0.85 ▲ 1.13% LTC 43.75 ▲ 0.60% BCH 236.34 ▲ 0.04% TRX 0.32 ▲ 0.17% XLM 0.18 ▼ 1.33% HBAR 0.07 ▼ 0.82% NEAR 1.99 ▲ 3.51% ATOM 1.52 ▼ 0.98% AAVE 96.08 ▲ 1.82% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 83.01 ▼ 1.88% EMBRAER ADR 64.48 ▼ 2.32% JBS 11.80 ▼ 0.92% JBS BDR 60.61 ▼ 0.28% MBRF3 15.72 ▲ 1.09% MBRFY 3.03 ▲ 0.33% INTER 5.65 ▼ 2.92%
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Will She Surprise Us?

By · November 9, 2010 · 3 min read

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Opinion by Samantha Barthelemy

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – One week after Brazil’s presidential elections, history is somewhat still waiting to be made. On October 31st, 55.7 million Brazilians didn’t just elect their first female president, a laudable and historic feat. They voted for condoning the corruption entrenched in the Workers’ Party (PT) government.

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Samantha Barthelemy, Carioca in New York specializing in International Security Policy, Brazilian Studies and Communications.
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It is easy to understand how Dilma Rousseff won – she now has outgoing president Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva to thank for his role as her campaigner-in-chief – but it remains difficult to grasp why Brazil did not vote against the eight-year-long fraudulent rule of the PT.

Ranked 69 out of 180 countries surveyed in Transparency International’s 2010 Corruption Perception Index, corruption is endemic in Brazil. Even though no political party can claim a monopoly over the practice, the Workers’ Party and its allies have been connected to all major scandals in recent years.

Amongst the most notorious is the 2005 Mensalão (“big monthly payment”), involving allegations that the PT paid a number of congressmen monthly allowances of around R$30,000 (roughly US$17,900) to secure votes for legislation. In June 2006, Rousseff, then Minister of Energy and Mines, was appointed Chief of Staff when her predecessor, José Dirceu, once da Silva’s likely successor, was forced to resign for his orchestration of the Congress vote-buying scheme.

Brazil’s Supreme Court indicted 40 people in 2007, on charges of corruption, racketeering and money laundering arisen from the Mensalão. Brazil’s attorney-general said Dirceu, the “scheme’s architect”, ran a “sophisticated criminal organization” to buy votes. Although, according to The Economist, nearly half of Congress was turned out, a dozen individuals involved in the scheme remained in the legislature. Dirceu, who was stripped of his political rights for eight years, has been playing a central role in Rousseff’s team.

In early September 2010, members of Rousseff’s Workers’ Party were implicated in the illegal access of the tax records of José Serra’s daughter, the defeated presidential candidate, and of PSDB members, including the party’s vice-president, Eduardo Jorge Caldas Pereira.

Erenice Guerra, da Silva’s former Chief of Staff who took over when Rousseff stepped down to campaign for president, resigned in mid-September amidst allegations of taking bribes to procure government contracts for businesses. This tarnished Rousseff’s image who, albeit not directly linked to the accusations, had a long-standing personal relationship with Guerra, often referred to as “Dilma’s right hand woman”.

Rousseff’s ratings wavered slightly in the polls which, analysts say, pushed her once certain first round victory on October 3rd to the runoff on October 31st.

Whether the newly elected president is involved in corruption is hard to tell. What we can do with certainty is hope that Rousseff, who has never held elected office, will surprise us by making a clear commitment to clean her government and distance herself from dubious characters, namely José Dirceu. She has to.

Fears of Brazil’s legacy of corruption are amplified by the discovery of deep-sea oil reserves (known as pré-sal), which have a habit of providing a lucrative means of rewarding party and president loyalty.

It will take a very determined and skilled president to push the much-needed political reforms through a system run on whims of special interests. It is too early to know whether Rousseff will have the strength and desire required to do so, or whether her powers will be constrained from within. Unlike the outgoing president, Rousseff did not rise through the PT. Her unexpected candidacy was imposed on the Workers’ Party by da Silva, once his most likely successors were directly implicated in corruption scandals.

We can also be certain that, if Rousseff decides to take on this challenge, she will have a tough time. As Dirceu told a group of PT members in September, whereas da Silva is “twice as big as [the Workers’] Party”, he expects the party to be even more powerful under Dilma Rousseff. Will she be up to the task?

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A Belgian-Brazilian native of Rio de Janeiro and former United Nations journalist, Samantha Barthelemy is a dual degree Masters of International Affairs student with Columbia University and the Paris Institute of Political Studies, specializing in International Policy, Brazilian Studies and Communications. http://samanthabarthelemy.blogspot.com

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