IBOV 175,664.62 ▲ 0.30% IPSA 11,445.90 ▼ 0.22% IPC MEX 65,484.32 ▼ 0.53% MERVAL 2,979,472 ▼ 0.72% COLCAP 2,457.87 ▼ 1.28% BVL PERÚ 60,779.49 ▼ 1.40% USD/BRL5.21▲ 0.39% USD/MXN17.03▲ 0.26% USD/CLP930.58— 0.00% USD/COP3,202▲ 2.39% USD/PEN3.35▼ 0.07% USD/ARS1,512— 0.00% USD/UYU40.27▲ 1.50% USD/PYG5,900▲ 0.50% USD/BOB11.78▲ 3.59% USD/DOP58.61▲ 0.96% USD/CRC446.65▲ 0.98% USD/GTQ7.62▲ 2.25% USD/HNL26.84▲ 0.40% USD/NIO36.62▼ 0.02% USD/VES789.69▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD6.72▲ 0.77% EUR/BRL6.01▲ 0.17% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73% IBOV 175,664.62 ▲ 0.30% IPSA 11,445.90 ▼ 0.22% IPC MEX 65,484.32 ▼ 0.53% MERVAL 2,979,472 ▼ 0.72% COLCAP 2,457.87 ▼ 1.28% BVL PERÚ 60,779.49 ▼ 1.40% USD/BRL 5.16 ▲ 0.01% USD/MXN 17.06 ▼ 0.24% USD/CLP 913.98 ▲ 0.04% USD/COP 3,140 ▲ 0.03% USD/PEN 3.36 ▼ 0.66% USD/ARS 1,493 ▲ 0.10% USD/UYU 40.27 ▲ 1.24% USD/PYG 5,939 ▲ 1.68% USD/BOB 11.64 ▼ 0.76% USD/DOP 58.34 ▲ 1.25% USD/CRC 445.92 ▲ 0.89% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.21% USD/HNL 26.79 ▲ 1.57% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.69% USD/VES 762.44 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.28 — 0.00% USD/TTD 6.70 ▲ 0.61% EUR/BRL 5.95 ▲ 1.01% BRENT 88.88 ▼ 0.03% WTI 83.11 ▼ 0.11% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.61 ▲ 0.03% GOLD 4,461 ▲ 1.78% SILVER 65.59 ▲ 1.26% SOY 1,184 ▲ 3.20% CORN 480.50 ▲ 10.02% WHEAT 655.00 ▲ 3.93% COFFEE 317.25 ▼ 5.51% SUGAR 16.43 ▼ 1.79% ORANGE JUICE 138.55 ▼ 0.47% COTTON 85.03 ▲ 2.33% COCOA 5,719 ▲ 3.18% BEEF 223.60 ▼ 3.93% CATTLE 339.10 ▼ 3.16% LITHIUM 75.20 ▲ 1.47% PETR4 41.64 ▼ 0.05% VALE3 72.97 ▲ 0.83% ITUB4 38.60 ▼ 1.03% BBDC4 16.85 ▲ 0.36% ABEV3 14.89 ▼ 0.80% BBAS3 19.37 ▲ 0.47% B3SA3 14.26 ▼ 0.21% WEGE3 47.59 ▲ 0.49% PRIO3 59.14 ▼ 0.19% SUZB3 41.33 ▲ 2.35% RENT3 34.68 ▼ 0.09% AZZA3 15.89 ▼ 2.63% CSAN3 3.22 ▼ 1.83% RAIZ4 0.25 — 0.00% PCAR3 2.75 ▼ 0.36% GMAT3 3.65 ▼ 1.08% PSSA3 48.13 ▼ 0.54% CVCB3 1.33 ▼ 2.92% POSI3 3.36 ▲ 2.44% SLCE3 13.34 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.14 ▼ 0.73%
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Opinion: The Curmudgeon on Illation and Premium Delation

By · September 9, 2014 · 3 min read

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Opinion, by Michael Royster

RIO DE JANEIRO, BRAZIL – The Curmudgeon, who likes to think of himself as a polyglot, has been humbled. Last week, broad circulation newspapers use two words which the Curmudgeon knew not. The first was “ilação”, a word used by a former rubber tapper in reaction to an accusation made by a former executive, who perpetrated “delação premiada”.

The Curmudgeon, Brazil, Opinion
The Curmudgeon, also known as Michael Royster.
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Illation is an obsolete word usually translated “inference”. One definition calls it “the reasoning involved in drawing a conclusion or making a logical judgment on the basis of circumstantial evidence and prior conclusions rather than on the basis of direct observation.” Marina Silva, her party’s candidate for President after her running mate Eduardo Campos died in a plane crash, was using it in this sense, as we shall see further on.

In Scottish law, to delate is to inform against, denounce or accuse. Its Latin roots mean that a delator is seeking to “bring down” someone, usually a criminal accomplice. In English, the common slang terms are stool pigeon, rat or fink. In Portuguese, it’s “dedo-duro” because the fink “fingers” someone else.

Since 1999 Brazilian penal law has permitted “delação premiada”—first offender criminals can win a “prêmio” or prize for voluntarily fingering their accomplices and other culprits. The prize can be a reduction of a sentence, or even a “get out of jail free” card. To grant a reprieve, the judge must consider the “nature, circumstances, gravity and societal repercussion” of the crime.

The “informant of the month” is Paulo Roberto Costa, for many years the Petrobras Director of Supplies. He has reportedly fingered some 61 personages, including some very high-ranking politicians. His “delations” are connected with two highly visible Petrobras refinery scandals: Pasadena, Texas and Abreu e Lima, Pernambuco, with billions of dollars of cost overruns. Those are numbers that definitely have societal repercussions.

According to the denunciation, for over a decade (if not more) 3% of every significant Petrobras project was siphoned off, through over-pricing and money laundering, into the accounts of politicos and their parties, so as to finance election campaigns. The principal source is government-owned companies (e.g. Petrobras) and private companies that depend upon winning government contracts for their business.

Back to “illation”. One huge project mentioned by Mr. Costa was the Abreu e Lima Refinery. According to Marina Silva, just because the refinery was built in Pernambuco, when Eduardo Campos was Governor, is not proof of anything, and it would be wrong to infer his involvement based on circumstantial evidence and prior assumptions.

The police investigation, called “Lava Jato” (“Car Wash”?), has focused on money laundering. It resulted in several imprisonments, including Mr. Costa and a famous “doleiro”. It is still ongoing, and is sealed, so no one knows the truth of Mr. Costa’s allegations. All those supposedly named by Mr. Costa have protested their innocence.

The Curmudgeon believes that if Mr. Costa is guaranteed no jail time, lots of prominent politicos will be shaking in their boots. This is because the Ministério Público, the independent public prosecutor’s office, will have approved it, and they are serious about prosecuting anyone, no matter how important. One initial indicator of how politically damaging this could be is that the Presidents of Brazil’s Senate and Chamber of Deputies, both fingered by Mr. Costa, chose not to appear at the annual 7 de Setembro parade in Brazil, for the first time in decades.

The Curmudgeon hopes that Operation Car-Wash does not turn into Operation Eye-Wash—something done only to impress an observer; as Brazilians say, “para inglês ver”.


Michael Royster, aka THE CURMUDGEON first saw Rio forty-plus years ago, fetched up on these shores exactly 36 years ago, still loves it, notwithstanding being a charter member of the most persecuted minority in (North) America today, the WASPs (google it!)(get over it!)

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