UNITED STATES · ANALYSIS
Key Facts
- —Why it matters The Supreme Court ruled on February 20, 2026 that IEEPA does not authorise presidential tariffs, making duties collected under the invalidated authority legally vulnerable.
- —What to watch Whether the Department of Justice appeals succeed in narrowing refund eligibility, and whether non-plaintiff importers obtain any broader administrative remedy.
- —What it means for you If your company paid IEEPA duties but did not file a Court of International Trade case, you are not eligible for the October 6 Phase 3 process and may need your own legal action.
For U.S. businesses that sued, this is the first practical route to recover duties on finally liquidated entries; for everyone else, the door remains closed.
The United States is now unwinding one of the largest tariff experiments in its modern history. This analysis explains who can claim refunds, how much money is at stake, and what the October 6 opening means for importers, exporters in Latin America and Africa, and the prices American consumers pay. It draws on the USA & Canada Intelligence Brief published today by The Rio Times.
What the IEEPA Tariffs Were
The International Emergency Economic Powers Act of 1977 gives the president broad authority to regulate economic transactions after declaring a national emergency. The Trump administration used IEEPA to impose tariffs on imports from multiple trading partners, citing fentanyl, migration, trade deficits and other asserted emergencies.
The legal foundation collapsed on February 20, 2026, when the U.S. Supreme Court ruled 6–3 in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump that IEEPA does not authorise the president to impose tariffs. The ruling did not create a refund mechanism by itself, but it made every dollar collected under the invalidated authority legally vulnerable.
The scale is enormous.

The Court Path to Refunds
The refund process developed through several stages.
The system opened in phases: first for unliquidated entries, then for liquidated but not-yet-final entries, and now for finally liquidated entries held by court plaintiffs.
CBP had said it lacked unilateral authority to reopen finally liquidated entries.
Who Can Claim Refunds Now
The Phase 3 process is narrow. It covers only importers of record that are plaintiffs in cases coordinated on Judge Eaton’s docket.
To use Phase 3, an importer must be the importer of record for the relevant entries, have filed an IEEPA refund action at the Court of International Trade, be included among the cases assigned to Judge Eaton’s coordinated proceedings, and have provided CBP with their importer-of-record identification number.
This is not an automatic refund. The importer must still complete the required CAPE declaration and provide accurate entry information through the prescribed process. CBP can accept, reject or seek clarification of individual entries.
The Money at Stake
The figures reported in connection with the refund programme indicate an exceptionally large exposure.
These are not necessarily the final amounts every claimant will receive. A claim may include entries that are ineligible, duplicated, incorrectly documented or affected by other customs adjustments. The final refund can also differ from the initial estimated deposit.
The Bureau of Economic Analysis classifies the payments as a capital transfer from the federal government, not as current-period production or import activity. BEA recorded the legal obligation in the first quarter of 2026, even though cash payments may occur later.
What Happens to Importers That Did Not Sue
For now, importers that paid IEEPA duties but did not file a Court of International Trade case are not eligible for Phase 3. The July 17 order is case-linked and applies only to the plaintiffs whose entries are before Judge Eaton.
The government has argued in related proceedings that importers outside the litigation may need to pursue their own legal remedy. At the same time, earlier CIT orders directed CBP to provide broader refunds for unliquidated and non-final entries, creating an unresolved tension between the court’s refund rulings and the government’s position on final entries.
A company that did not sue may have to wait for a broader court order, a government-created administrative refund process, a successful appeal or clarification of existing orders, or its own action at the CIT. Whether a new lawsuit remains available depends on entry dates, liquidation status, prior notices and applicable court deadlines.
The Actors and What Each Wants
Judge Richard K. Eaton of the U.S. Court of International Trade has driven the refund process forward. His orders have directed CBP to reliquidate entries without IEEPA duties, including finally liquidated entries that CBP said it could not reopen on its own.
U.S. Customs and Border Protection administers the CAPE system. CBP’s interest is in processing an enormous workload without administrative collapse.
The Department of Justice represents the United States in the litigation and has appealed aspects of the CIT’s refund orders. The DOJ has disputed whether some court orders require refunds for all finalised entries or only for parties that brought qualifying litigation.
The Treasury Department, led by Secretary Scott K. Bessent, receives certified refund amounts from CBP and disburses them electronically through Automated Clearing House payments. Federal non-tax payments are generally required to be made electronically by EFT, including ACH where applicable, while paper checks remain available only under specific exceptions or waivers authorized by 31 CFR part 208.
Economic and Business Stakes
For eligible importers, the immediate task is administrative. Companies must confirm they are the importer of record, match importer-of-record numbers to relevant entries, verify liquidation status, submit the CAPE Phase 3 declaration, and reconcile refunds against customs records and financial statements.
The financial effect extends beyond the face value of the duty. Refunds may improve working capital and reduce the effective landed cost of goods. For companies that passed the tariffs through to customers, however, the commercial question is more complicated: the importer may receive the government refund while retailers, manufacturers or consumers bore some or all of the original price increase.
A refund will not necessarily produce an immediate or one-for-one fall in retail prices. Importers may have already sold the goods, contracts may have allocated tariff costs to customers, the refund may arrive months after the sale, and businesses may retain the refund to restore margins or working capital.
What It Means for Latin American and African Exporters
The direct legal claimant is generally the U.S. importer of record, not the foreign exporter. Latin American and African producers therefore normally cannot apply directly through CAPE simply because their goods were subject to the tariffs.
The commercial effects can nevertheless be substantial. U.S. buyers may regain bargaining room after receiving refunds. Importers may revise purchase prices or seek retroactive contractual adjustments. Exporters may face requests to share refunds where tariff costs were embedded in negotiated prices.
Foreign exporters should distinguish between legal entitlement and commercial benefit. A refund paid by CBP to a U.S. importer does not automatically create a payment obligation to the overseas supplier. The outcome depends on the sales contract, tariff-allocation clauses, pricing history and whether the exporter ultimately bore the duty economically.
What It Means for You
If your company is a plaintiff in one of the Court of International Trade cases, the Phase 3 opening is your operational start date. Confirm your importer-of-record status, match your identification number to the relevant entries, and submit the CAPE Phase 3 declaration without delay.
If your company paid IEEPA duties but did not sue, you are not eligible for Phase 3. You should evaluate your own entries, liquidation status and legal options now. Do not assume that a future nationwide remedy will automatically protect every historical payment.
If you are a U.S. consumer, do not expect immediate price relief. Refunds may improve importer balance sheets and working capital, but retail prices are determined by broader competition, demand and supply-chain conditions.
What Is Not Known
Several major issues remain unresolved as Phase 3 begins. Will non-plaintiffs receive a broader remedy? The current process excludes importers that did not sue, but the litigation includes competing positions over the scope of relief.
Will the government’s appeals change the refund framework? Appeals challenging broad refund orders could affect the treatment of entries outside the plaintiff group. The DOJ has disputed whether some court orders require refunds for all finalised entries or only for parties that brought qualifying litigation.
Will refunds include interest? The reported materials establish the refund process and duty amounts but do not establish a universal interest payment for every claimant. How CBP will handle incomplete or disputed entry data also remains to be seen.
What to Watch
Watch for appellate rulings on the DOJ’s challenges to the CIT’s refund orders. Any narrowing of the court’s authority could affect the treatment of finally liquidated entries and the position of non-plaintiffs.
Watch for any administrative or legislative action creating a broader refund process for importers that did not sue. The current Phase 3 is a court-linked mechanism, not a general public application window.
Frequently Asked Questions
Who is eligible for IEEPA tariff refunds on October 6, 2026?
Only importers of record that are plaintiffs in cases before the U.S. Court of International Trade, are included in Judge Richard K. Eaton’s coordinated refund proceedings, and provided CBP with their importer-of-record identification number.
What happens to importers that did not sue for IEEPA tariff refunds?
They are not eligible for the October 6 Phase 3 process. They may need to wait for a broader court order, a government-created administrative process, or pursue their own action at the Court of International Trade, subject to jurisdictional and deadline issues.
Can Latin American or African exporters claim IEEPA tariff refunds directly?
No. The direct legal claimant is generally the U.S. importer of record, not the foreign exporter. Exporters may benefit commercially through renegotiated prices or improved demand, but they cannot apply directly through CAPE.
When did the Supreme Court rule on IEEPA tariffs?
The U.S. Supreme Court ruled on February 20, 2026, in Learning Resources, Inc. v. Trump, that IEEPA does not authorise the president to impose tariffs.
Will IEEPA tariff refunds include interest?
The reported materials establish the refund process and duty amounts but do not establish a universal interest payment for every claimant. Interest treatment remains an open question.
How are IEEPA tariff refunds paid?
Refunds are issued electronically through Automated Clearing House payments. Federal non-tax payments are generally required to be made electronically by EFT, including ACH where applicable, while paper checks remain available only under specific exceptions or waivers authorized by 31 CFR part 208.
Sources: riotimesonline.com, troutman.com, troutman.com, thompsonhinesmartrade.com, politico.com, corp-intl.com. Retrieved 6 October 2026.
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief