LatAm and Africa Prediction Markets, Week of 19 Oct
Polymarket odds on Mexico’s 2026 inflation jumped from 33.9% to 69.8% in a week, while Brazil, South Africa, Mali and...
October 19, 2026Topic
Mali
Sahel Jihadist Rivalry Becomes a Regional War in 2026
The Sahel jihadist rivalry between al-Qaeda's JNIM and Islamic State Sahel has killed 2,200 since 2019 and is now spreading...
October 17, 2026
Who Backs Whom in Africa 2026: China, Russia, US, Gulf
China's US$348 billion trade, Russia's Africa Corps, US arms and Gulf ports: who backs whom in Sudan, the Sahel and...
October 16, 2026
Africa’s Critical Minerals 2026: Who Holds What and Why
Congo mines 73% of the world's cobalt and caps exports at 96,600 tonnes a year. See who holds Africa's critical...
October 16, 2026
Côte d’Ivoire’s port lifeline to Mali and Burkina Faso grows despite rift
Sahel cargo through Côte d’Ivoire’s port of Abidjan jumped 34% in 2025, and a Mali border deal followed, though leaders...
September 30, 2026
Mali’s Army and Russia’s Wagner Killed and Tortured Civilians, Amnesty Says
Amnesty says Mali's army and Russia's Wagner Group killed at least 34 civilians and tortured detainees, five of whom died,...
September 29, 2026
Mali Junta Holds Crisis Meeting as Jihadist Attacks Surge in the Centre
Mali's junta leader Assimi Goïta held a crisis meeting after jihadists killed about 100 soldiers at Dioura and struck the...
September 21, 2026
ECOWAS and France Discuss Terrorism Challenges Across West Africa
ECOWAS and France are exchanging views on terrorism in West Africa after more than 1,800 attacks in early 2023 killed...
September 20, 2026
Attack on Mali Army Camp at Dioura Kills at Least 100 Soldiers
JNIM's 10 September attack on Mali's Dioura army camp killed at least 100 soldiers and five Russian Africa Corps personnel,...
September 20, 2026