
CUBA · TRAVEL · US RULES
Americans can still go to Cuba legally, but not as tourists, and new US Treasury rules from 30 September 2026 closed two common routes.
Americans can still travel to Cuba in 2026, but only for one of 12 purposes allowed by the US Treasury, and tourism remains banned under US law. New rules that took effect on 30 September ended group “people-to-people” tours and the general permission to attend professional meetings on the island.
The trip itself has become harder, with daily power cuts, scarce fuel and a State Department advisory telling Americans to exercise increased caution. This guide explains who can still go, what changed and what to check before booking, while our explainer on Cuba-US tensions covers the wider standoff.
Key Facts
- —Tourism Tourist travel to Cuba is illegal for Americans; every trip must fit one of 12 categories.
- —New rules Since 30 September group people-to-people tours no longer qualify, and professional meetings need a special licence.
- —Still open Family visits and “support for the Cuban people” trips need no licence application.
- —Safety The State Department rates Cuba Level 2, exercise increased caution, citing crime and power cuts.
- —Hotels Americans may not stay at hotels on the State Department’s Cuba Prohibited Accommodations List.
- —Prediction markets US strike on Cuban soil by 31 December: 8.5% (Polymarket, 21 October, 10:31 a.m. ET)
- —Power Index Cuba ranks 14th of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 22.5 points (October 2026 edition).
In Plain English
- OFAC: the US Treasury’s sanctions office, which writes the Cuba travel rules.
- General licence: a standing permission; if your trip fits it, you simply go and keep records.
- Specific licence: a written permission you must request from OFAC before you travel.
- Casa particular and paladar: a privately owned guesthouse and a privately owned restaurant.
- ESTA: the online US travel authorisation used by visitors from Visa Waiver countries such as Britain.
Who Can Still Travel to Cuba
US law treats Cuba differently from any other holiday destination, because the Treasury’s sanctions office regulates travel there by every US citizen and resident, wherever they live. The rules list 12 categories of permitted travel, and the regulations state plainly that nothing in them authorises tourist travel.
If a trip fits one of the categories covered by a general licence, the traveller does not need to apply for permission in advance. The traveller must still make sure the whole trip fits the rules and keep records, and anything outside those categories needs a specific licence from the Treasury.
The 12 Permitted Categories
- Family visits
- Official business of the US government, foreign governments and some international bodies
- Journalism
- Professional research and professional meetings (meetings now need a specific licence)
- Educational activities (tightened on 30 September)
- Religious activities
- Public performances, clinics, workshops, sports competitions and exhibitions
- Support for the Cuban people
- Humanitarian projects
- Activities of private foundations and research or educational institutes
- Export, import or transmission of information materials
- Certain authorised export transactions
What Changed on 30 September
A Treasury rule published and in force on 30 September 2026 removed the permission for group “people-to-people” educational trips, the organised cultural tours run by US-based groups. Travellers who had already booked or paid for at least one part of such a trip, such as a flight or a room, before 30 September may still go.
The same rule ended the general permission to attend or organise professional meetings and conferences in Cuba. People who were already in Cuba for a meeting on 30 September may continue their trip but must leave by 30 October, and the Treasury will now consider meeting trips only case by case through a specific licence.
Educational travel was also tightened, so most trips must now run under a US sponsoring organisation whose representative travels with the group. Accredited US universities that grant degrees, their students and their full-time staff can still carry out some educational activities without that escort.
The rule also extends the existing ban on direct payments to companies on the State Department’s Cuba Restricted List to indirect payments, and the list targets businesses linked to Cuba’s military and security services. Travellers should check hotels, tour operators and shops against that list before paying them.
How “Support for the Cuban People” Works
The category most independent travellers now rely on is “support for the Cuban people”. It requires a full-time schedule of activities that strengthen contact with Cubans or support civil society and lead to meaningful interaction with people on the island, with no more free time than a full working schedule allows.
Staying in a casa particular, eating at paladares and shopping at stores run by self-employed Cubans all count as examples of qualifying activity. On their own they are not enough to fill the full-time schedule, so travellers need a planned day of further activities and records to show for it.

Is It Safe to Travel to Cuba?
The State Department rates Cuba at Level 2, “exercise increased caution”, in an advisory last reissued on 7 May 2025. It warns of petty crime such as pickpocketing and car break-ins, and says violent crime, including armed robbery and homicide, is on the rise.
The advisory says scheduled and unscheduled power cuts of up to 12 hours a day hit Havana, and longer ones hit the rest of the country. Hotels and hospitals use generators, but the State Department warns they may struggle to keep them running because fuel is scarce.
UN News reported in May that blackouts lasted as long as 20 hours in some areas, and hospitals have faced shortages of medicine. The advisory also notes that US embassy staff must follow a special notification process with the Cuban government to travel outside Havana, which can slow help for Americans in an emergency.
Free speech and peaceful assembly are not protected rights in Cuba, and the State Department tells Americans to avoid protests. Prediction markets see a US military strike on Cuba this year as unlikely, but the card below shows how traders rate the risk.
What Prediction Markets Say
On 21 October at 9:38 a.m. ET, Polymarket traders priced a US strike on Cuban soil by 31 December at 8.5%, on US$5.4 million of bets. They put a US invasion of Cuba in 2026 at 5.5%.
Prediction markets · Cuba and the United States
Implied chances from traders’ prices on Polymarket and Kalshi.
Will the US attack Cuba?
Polymarket: US$5.4 million, US$3.6 million and US$283,000 traded. A strike counts only if a US air, drone or missile attack hits Cuban soil.
Will Cuba’s government fall?
Polymarket: US$1.8 million and US$755,000 traded. The first bet pays out only if the Communist Party loses control of the government.
Raúl Castro and the US charges
Polymarket: US$34,000 and US$41,000 traded. Raúl Castro lives in Cuba, out of reach of US courts.
Will Washington and Havana make a deal?
Polymarket: US$35,000 traded.
Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC): Trump announces a trade or economic deal with Cuba before 1 January 2027, 13% (68,407 contracts traded, each paying US$1 if right).
As of 21 October, 10:31 a.m. ET (15:31 Lisbon), updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.
Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
What It Means for You
If you are a US citizen or resident, pick your category before you book, build a full daily schedule if you travel under “support for the Cuban people”, and keep receipts and notes. Check that your hotel is not on the Prohibited Accommodations List and that your hosts and tour operators are not on the Cuba Restricted List.
If you hold a British, German or other Visa Waiver passport, a visit to Cuba on or after 12 January 2021 means you generally can no longer use ESTA to enter the United States. US Customs and Border Protection says such travellers must apply for a US visa instead.
If you have family in Cuba, you can still send them money, because US rules continue to allow family remittances. Confirm your flight with the airline shortly before departure, and plan for power cuts by carrying a torch, a power bank and enough cash for the trip.
What Is Not Known
It is not known whether Washington will cut further travel categories or add more hotels and companies to its lists. Nor is it clear how long Cuba’s power and fuel shortages will last, which matters more for a visit than any rule.
Follow our dossier on Cuba under pressure from Washington for each new step. Readers planning a longer stay can read our guide to moving to Cuba in 2026 and our Cuba news page.
Frequently Asked Questions
Can Americans travel to Cuba as tourists?
No, because US rules state that nothing in them authorises tourist travel to Cuba. Americans may go only if the trip fits one of 12 permitted categories, such as family visits or support for the Cuban people.
What changed for Cuba travel on 30 September 2026?
A Treasury rule ended group people-to-people tours and the general permission to attend professional meetings in Cuba. It also tightened educational travel and banned indirect payments to companies on the Cuba Restricted List.
What does support for the Cuban people mean?
It is a travel category that requires a full-time schedule of activities that bring travellers into meaningful contact with Cubans. Staying in a casa particular and eating at paladares count, but are not enough on their own.
Is it safe for Americans to travel to Cuba?
The State Department rates Cuba Level 2, exercise increased caution, because of rising crime and unreliable electricity. Power cuts last for hours each day, so travellers should plan for blackouts and avoid protests.
Can Europeans who visit Cuba still use ESTA to enter the US?
Generally no, because travellers from Visa Waiver countries who have visited Cuba on or after 12 January 2021 cannot use ESTA, with limited exceptions. US Customs and Border Protection says they must apply for a US visa instead.
Sources: Federal Register, Cuban Assets Control Regulations (30 September 2026); 31 CFR 515.560 (travel categories); 31 CFR 515.574 (support for the Cuban people); State Department, Cuba travel advisory (7 May 2025); US Customs and Border Protection, Visa Waiver Program FAQ; UN News (15 May 2026); Polymarket market data (21 October 2026).
Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief · Editorial standards · Report an error
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