Brazil: Haddad leads with 36%, Freitas has 21%, and Garcia 14% in São Paulo, says Ipec

São Paulo City’s former mayor Fernando Haddad (Workers’ Party – PT) leads the race for the São Paulo state government with 36% of voting intentions, according to research Ipec (formerly Ibope) hired by TV Globo released on Tuesday, September 6.

Supported by President Jair Bolsonaro (Liberal Party – PL), former minister Tarcisio de Freitas (Republicans) has 21%, and governor Rodrigo Garcia (PSDB), who is seeking reelection, appears with 14%.

Compared to the last survey, released on the 30th, all three have risen 4 points: Haddad had 32%, Tarcisio had 17% and Garcia, 10%. Blanks and null votes add up to 10%, and 12% could not answer.

Carol Vigliar (Popular Unity), Antonio Jorge (DC), Elvis Cezar (PDT), Altino Júnior (PSTU), Vinicius Poit (New), Gabriel Colombo (PCB) and Edson Dorta (PCO) each presented 1% of voting intentions.

SECOND ROUND

In an eventual second round, Haddad would win Tarcisio by 43% to 32%. He would also be ahead of Garcia (42% x 31%). In a scenario with Tarcísio and Garcia, the governor would have 32% and the former minister, 31%.

The Ipec survey heard 1,504 people between September 3 and 5 in 66 cities in the state of São Paulo. The margin of error is 3 percentage points higher or lower, considering a confidence level of 95%. The survey was registered with the Superior Electoral Court (TSE) under number SP-04493/2022.

With information from Exame