Brazil elections 2022: Bolsonaro now has 62% of evangelical votes, up from just 44% 15 days ago

Conservative president Jair Bolsonaro has 62% voting intentions among evangelicals in the first round, which shows a PoderData poll conducted July 31-August 2, 2022. This figure is a significant advance from 15 days earlier when 44% of this religious segment’s supporters declared their intention to re-elect the president.

In contrast, former President leftist Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva scored 22% among evangelicals. In the last round, held July 17-19, 2022, the PT candidate had 35%.

The evangelical vote is a decisive factor for Bolsonaro’s campaign. The president consistently does better in the religious segment. In the general electorate, the president ranks second in the first-round simulation with 35%, while Lula da Silva leads with 43%.

Among Catholics, Bolsonaro lost 9 percentage points in two weeks. He is now at 26%, while Lula da Silva has 50% of the electoral vote.

In this group, the other contenders have a combined 17%. Undecided Catholics make up 2%. Those who cast no vote or an invalid vote together account for 5%.

The poll’s margin of error is higher when a subgroup of the population is considered separately. Among evangelicals, the gap is 3.1 percentage points. For Catholics, it is 2.5 percentage points.

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