Angola’s Q2 Trade Sees Export Drop, Import Boost

In the second quarter, Angola’s exports fell by 17.6%, landing at 4.8 billion kwanzas ($5.76 million).

Meanwhile, imports surged by 25.4%, reaching 2.3 billion kwanzas ($2.76 million). As a result, the trade balance stayed positive, totaling 2.5 billion kwanzas ($3 million).

Oil dominated the scene, constituting 95% of total exports. Precious stones and metals took up 3.4%, experiencing a 29% year-on-year decline.

China absorbed the lion’s share of Angola’s exports, claiming 57.8%. India followed at 6.2%, then the Netherlands at 4.3%, Spain at 3.9%, and Brazil at 3.5%.

For imports, China also held the top spot with 17.5%. Portugal came next at 12.7%, followed by the UAE at 8.4%, India at 8%, and Togo at 6.8%.

In terms of imported products, machinery led the way at 23.8%. Next were fuels and minerals at 18%, then vehicles at 10.9%.

Food products accounted for 8.4%, and basic metals made up 8.2%.

Background Angola Exports

One standout observation is the significant rise in imports, at 25.4%, compared to a decline in exports.

This gap could signify an increasing domestic demand, possibly fueled by stimulus measures.

Yet, it raises concerns about the long-term sustainability of a positive trade balance, especially given the dip in oil exports.

The reliance on China for both exports and imports is also noteworthy.

While it ensures a consistent market, it leaves Angola susceptible to any economic policy changes or slowdowns in the Chinese economy.

With 57.8% of exports heading to China, a diversified market would offer a more robust safety net.

Additionally, the types of products imported—mainly machinery and fuels—point to ongoing industrial activities, perhaps even expansion.

However, Angola should tread carefully. Increased imports without a corresponding rise in exports could lead to debt accumulation.

Finally, the decline in the export of precious stones and metals could be a missed diversification opportunity.

That is why in the second quarter, Angola’s exports fell by 17.6%, landing at 4.8 billion kwanzas ($5.76 million).

With a nearly 29% decrease, examining the cause could open doors for other non-oil sectors, ultimately contributing to a more resilient economy.