Peru Maintains Interest Rate at 4.75% Amid Inflation Control and Steady Growth

The Central Reserve Bank of Peru (BCRP) held its benchmark interest rate at 4.75% in February 2025, following a reduction in January.

This decision aligns with the bank’s cautious approach as inflation remains within its target range of 1% to 3%. The current rate, the lowest since April 2022, reflects a gradual easing of monetary policy after reaching a peak of 7.75% in early 2023.

Inflation in Peru has slowed significantly, reaching 1.85% in January, down from 1.97% in December. Declines in food and transportation costs have driven this trend, keeping inflation below the midpoint of the target range. This has persisted for nearly a year.

Core inflation, which excludes volatile items like food and energy, also dropped to 2.4%, its lowest level in over three years. The central bank expects inflation to approach the lower end of its target range in the coming months as supply-side pressures ease further.

Policymakers project inflation will stabilize near 2% by year-end, supporting a consistent monetary policy stance. Peru’s economy continues to grow steadily, operating near its potential output level.

GDP grew by an estimated 3.1% in 2024, with a forecasted expansion of 2.7% for 2025. While domestic infrastructure projects support growth, risks from global trade tensions and geopolitical conflicts remain.

The BCRP’s decision underscores its focus on balancing inflation control with economic stability. Analysts suggest the current rate is close to neutral, providing flexibility for future adjustments if needed.

Peru’s low benchmark interest rate and controlled inflation position it as one of Latin America’s most stable economies. This stability offers valuable insights into market trends and policy impacts, particularly for investors and policymakers navigating uncertain global conditions.