Gold prices slipped slightly lower on the morning of July 25, 2025, trading near $3357 per ounce, reflecting easing tensions and weakened demand.
Recent optimism surrounding trade negotiations between the United States, European Union, and Japan diminished safe-haven interest. Reduced speculative activities further softened the market.
On the technical side, gold is struggling within tight boundaries. The four-hour chart indicates bearish pressure. Prices dropped below the 20, 50, and 100-period moving averages.
Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) hovered near 40, signaling weak momentum. The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) also showed a downward cross, suggesting further downside potential.
Similarly, the daily chart signals gold is trapped within a narrowing pattern. Prices have failed repeatedly to break strong resistance between $3440 and $3450. RSI remains below 50, highlighting weak buying interest.
The MACD confirms the loss of upward momentum, and any break below $3300 could trigger significant selling. The Global Liquidity Index (NDQ), represented by the yellow line, shows tightening liquidity.
Liquidity pressure is limiting the upside for gold, indicating lower market confidence and restrained buying power. Combined with weakened volatility indicated by tightening Bollinger Bands, gold traders are cautious and hesitant.
Fundamentally, global ETF inflows were strong during the first half of 2025, totaling nearly 397 tonnes, predominantly driven by North America and Asia. Despite this, the market has struggled since the late-April peak around $3500 per ounce.
Prices stagnated over three months, largely due to seasonal profit-taking, easing geopolitical tensions, and uncertainty around U.S. Federal Reserve policies.
Demand from China also paints a mixed picture. Chinese gold consumption decreased slightly by 3.5%, driven primarily by a notable 26% drop in jewelry sales due to high prices.
However, investment demand for gold bars and coins surged by 24%, revealing investors cautious sentiment toward economic uncertainty. Gold remains sensitive to macroeconomic indicators.
Traders await U.S. jobless claims, S&P Global PMI data, and central bank cues from the Federal Reserve and ECB. The soft U.S. dollar provided limited support for gold, but without fresh catalysts, prices remain range-bound.
Ultimately, unless clear fundamental shifts or renewed geopolitical risks emerge, gold may continue consolidating or drift lower. The market awaits new developments that could decisively break the ongoing technical deadlock.
This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated AI newsroom. Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Publisher and Editor-in-Chief. How we use AI · Report an error
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