Bitcoin Holds Ground After Record Monthly Close as Market Eyes ETF Flows and Technical Barriers

Bitcoin entered July 2025 with a measured tone, holding near $107,000 after closing June at its highest monthly level ever. Official trading data shows Bitcoin traded at $107,143 on July 1, down 1.53% over 24 hours.

The price fluctuated between $107,143 and a high of $108,000, reflecting a modest correction after the record close. Market capitalization stands at $2.13 trillion, with 24-hour trading volume up 12% to $42.17 billion.

ETF activity shaped sentiment as BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF broke a four-week volume slump, posting a 22.2% increase and $1.31 billion in net inflows last week.

All eleven U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs combined attracted over $4 billion in June inflows. This strong institutional demand provided a backstop, even as on-chain data revealed increased selling from miners and long-term holders.

CryptoQuant data confirmed that buyer activity failed to keep pace with new supply, signaling a possible cap on further upside. Technical analysis of the daily and 4-hour charts reveals a market in consolidation.

On the daily chart, Bitcoin remains above key moving averages and the Ichimoku cloud, with the 200-day moving average acting as robust support.

The daily RSI sits at 52.58, indicating a neutral stance, while MACD shows a flattening trend, suggesting the recent rally is losing momentum.

The 4-hour chart shows Bitcoin rebounding off the lower Bollinger Band and the Ichimoku cloud, with the RSI at 47.74, just below the neutral threshold, and the MACD histogram narrowing. These signals point to a short-term stabilization but lack a clear bullish impulse.

Bollinger Bands on both timeframes indicate reduced volatility after the June surge, while support levels at $106,466 and $105,454 remain intact. Resistance persists near $107,213 and $107,033, with price action struggling to break higher.

Volume analysis confirms that recent rebounds lack conviction, as no major spike accompanied the latest bounce. Macroeconomic factors also influence the market.

The first half of 2025 saw Bitcoin gain 13%, while Ethereum and Solana posted double-digit losses. The broader crypto market increased just 3% amid global economic uncertainty, including trade tensions and shifting U.S. policy expectations.

Despite these headwinds, institutional flows into ETFs and optimism over regulatory clarity supported Bitcoin’s resilience. In summary, Bitcoin’s technical and fundamental landscape shows a market at a crossroads.

Institutional inflows and strong ETF demand provide support, while increased selling from miners and long-term holders tempers bullish enthusiasm. The charts signal consolidation, with key support levels holding but momentum indicators suggesting caution.

Traders now watch for a decisive move above $107,200 or a breakdown below $106,000 to set the next direction.

LatAm Markets: Live Signals → — real-time movers, turnover leaders and FX across Latin America.