As of 12:35 a.m. US Eastern Time (ET) · 1:35 a.m. Brasília, Saturday 24 October 2026 · storm advisory to 11:00 p.m. ET Friday, rates to the latest published fixing, prediction markets at 12:31 a.m. ET
The Short Version
In short: Brazil votes in its presidential runoff tomorrow, Sunday, and Hurricane Vance is sending dangerous surf toward Mexico’s southern Pacific coast this weekend. Colombia’s permanent-visa transfer must be done before 31 October.
01
Brazil: the runoff is tomorrow. Polls are open from 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET, and most foreign residents cannot vote. Visas, Residency and Tax
02
Mexico: Hurricane Vance is near major-hurricane strength. It has winds of 110 mph (175 km/h) about 385 miles (615 km) south-southwest of Acapulco, and no coastal watches or warnings are in effect. Weather Watch
03
Brazil: prediction markets still favour Flávio Bolsonaro. Kalshi prices his runoff win at 78.0%, against 22.0% for Lula. What Prediction Markets Say
What changed since yesterday: The Brazilian runoff moved from two days away to one, and the Colombian peso firmed on the new weekend rate, as Money Today shows. Hurricane Vance is now near major-hurricane strength, according to the latest advisory.
00Do Today
Countries are sorted by urgency, and each checklist runs visa, weather, authorities, then money. Every item links to the block with the details.
Brazil 1 Day Left
AuthoritiesThe runoff is Sunday 25 October, with polls open 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET; most foreign residents cannot vote. Visas, Residency and Tax
MoneyThe real was almost unchanged against the dollar on Friday. Money Today
Mexico Today
WeatherOn the southern Pacific coast, expect life-threatening surf and rip currents this weekend, and check local weather-office notices. Weather Watch
MoneyThe peso was firmer at Friday’s market close. Money Today
Colombia Before 31 Oct
VisaTransfer an older permanent-resident visa before 31 October 2026, online. Visas, Residency and Tax
MoneyThe official weekend rate is lower than Friday’s, so the peso is firmer. Money Today
Argentina Note
MoneyOfficial and blue (informal) dollar rates were unchanged on Friday. Money Today
AuthoritiesThe country-risk gauge rose 3 points on Friday. Status Board
01Weather Watch
Hurricane Vance South of Mexico Hurricane: 110 mph (175 km/h)
PositionAbout 385 miles (615 km) south-southwest of Acapulco and 495 miles (800 km) south-southeast of Manzanillo
StrengthMaximum sustained winds of 110 mph (175 km/h), moving north-northwest at 7 mph (11 km/h)
ForecastSome more strengthening is possible through early Saturday, and gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Saturday
Next update5:00 a.m. ET · 3:00 a.m. Mexico City, Saturday
The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) said no coastal watches or warnings were in effect. Swells from Vance are expected to reach southern and southwestern Mexico this weekend and continue into next week, with life-threatening surf and rip currents.
Source: US National Hurricane Center, Public Advisory 11, 11:00 p.m. ET Friday 23 October 2026
Atlantic Basin Quiet
The hurricane center’s Atlantic outlook says tropical cyclone formation is not expected during the next 7 days. That covers the Caribbean Sea and the Gulf of America.
Outlook issued 8:00 p.m. ET Friday 23 October 2026
02Today’s Clock
Every time is shown in US Eastern Time first, then in local time. Saturday has no scheduled data releases for our countries, so the clock follows the hurricane bulletins.
PTAX sell rate (the central bank’s reference dollar rate), Fri 23 Oct
−0.0006 (−0.01%) vs 5.0383 on Thu 22 Oct · real firmer
R$1,000 ≈ US$199
Source: Banco Central do Brasil, 23 Oct 2026
Mexican Peso MXN
18.6500pesos per US$1
Market close, Fri 23 Oct, not the central bank’s official FIX rate
−0.0625 (−0.33%) vs 18.7125 on Thu 22 Oct · peso firmer
MXN 10,000 ≈ US$536
Source: RT market data, 23 Oct 2026
Colombian Peso COP
3,158.43pesos per US$1
TRM (Colombia’s official reference rate) for Sat 24 to Mon 26 Oct
−26.58 (−0.83%) vs 3,185.01 for Fri 23 Oct · peso firmer
COP 1,000,000 ≈ US$317
Source: Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia via datos.gov.co, read 24 Oct 2026
Peruvian Sol PEN
3.4458soles per US$1
Market close, Fri 23 Oct; the central bank’s interbank rate could not be read
+0.0102 (+0.30%) vs 3.4356 on Thu 22 Oct · sol weaker
PEN 1,000 ≈ US$290
Market close, 23 Oct 2026, same provider as the peso card
Argentine Peso ARS
1,550pesos per US$1
Official sell rate (Banco Nación), updated Fri 23 Oct; blue (informal) 1,565 sell and CCL (dollars obtained by trading securities) 1,654 sell, both updated Fri 23 Oct
Unchanged vs 1,550 on Thu 22 Oct · blue unchanged at 1,565, CCL +14.5 vs 1,639.5 · wholesale reference rate 1,529.5 on Fri 23 Oct vs 1,528 on Thu 22 Oct
ARS 1,000,000 ≈ US$645 at the official sell rate, US$605 at the CCL sell rate
Source: DolarApi, read 24 Oct 2026; wholesale rate from the Banco Central de la República Argentina
Chilean Peso CLP
986.58pesos per US$1
Dólar observado (the central bank’s official daily rate) for Fri 23 Oct; the next fixing is Monday
+9.76 (+1.00%) vs 976.82 on Thu 22 Oct · peso weaker
CLP 1,000,000 ≈ US$1,014
Source: Banco Central de Chile via mindicador.cl, read 24 Oct 2026
The Mexican peso, the Colombian peso and the Brazilian real were firmer, while the Peruvian sol and the Chilean peso were weaker. The Mexican and Peruvian figures are market closes, not official fixings.
04Status Board
Brazil Runoff Countdown
2 days left (Fri 23 Oct)1 day left (Sat 24 Oct)Closer
Brazil’s presidential runoff is on Sunday 25 October 2026, and most foreign residents cannot vote. Voting runs from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Brasília time, which is 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET.
Source: Tribunal Superior Eleitoral (TSE), electoral calendar
Colombia Before 31 October
Holders of a permanent-resident visa issued under the earlier rules must transfer it before 31 October 2026, under Resolution 9316 of 2024. The transfer is required for the foreigner ID card from Migración Colombia and is done online.
Source: Cancillería de Colombia (Foreign Ministry), notice on the visa transfer deadline
File photo: a Brazilian UE2020 electronic voting machine, the type used in elections.
RT
Ask Rio Times
Straight answers about living in Latin America, from our reporting.
As of 12:31 a.m. ET (1:31 a.m. Brasília), 24 October 2026
Brazil Presidential ElectionKalshi (regulated in the US by the Commodity Futures Trading Commission): Flávio Bolsonaro 78.0%, Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva 22.0%; the market settles on the winner of the election. 8,521,463 contracts traded.
Bank of Mexico Decision in NovemberPolymarket: no change 79.0%, a 0.25-point cut 20.3%. US$98,721 traded.
How to Read ThisPrices are real-money bets, not polls, and each price is the implied probability of that outcome.
Why We Show ThisPrediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.
Source: Kalshi and Polymarket, 24 Oct 2026
07The Calendar Ahead
Sun 25 Oct
7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET · 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Brasília Brazil: presidential runoff voting hours
Tue 27 Oct
5:00 p.m. ET · 6:00 p.m. Santiago Chile: central bank rate decision; the previous rate was 4.5%
Thu 29 Oct
7:00 a.m. ET · 8:00 a.m. Brasília Brazil: IGP-M inflation for October (a price index); forecast 1.7% vs 1.57% before
Thu 29 Oct
8:00 a.m. ET · 9:00 a.m. Santiago Chile: unemployment for July to September; forecast 9.6%, unchanged
Fri 30 Oct
8:00 a.m. ET · 9:00 a.m. Brasília Brazil: unemployment for the July to September quarter; forecast 5.5% vs 5.3% before
Fri 30 Oct
11:00 a.m. ET · 10:00 a.m. Bogotá Colombia: September unemployment; forecast 9.2% vs 9.4% before
Fri 30 Oct
Hour not confirmed Colombia: central bank rate decision, as listed by the Rio Times economic calendar
Sat 31 Oct
Hour not confirmed Colombia: the Foreign Ministry’s notice says the visa transfer must be done before this date
Sun 1 Nov
Early morning United States: clocks go back one hour, so the time gap between Eastern Time and our countries changes by an hour
Forecasts: Rio Times economic calendar, 24 Oct 2026; Brazil voting hours: TSE
08Frequently Asked Questions
How Strong Is Hurricane Vance Now?
The US National Hurricane Center (NHC) reported maximum sustained winds of 110 mph (175 km/h) at 11:00 p.m. ET on Friday, with the storm about 385 miles (615 km) south-southwest of Acapulco. No coastal watches or warnings were in effect, and gradual weakening is forecast to begin on Saturday.
When Are the Polls Open for Brazil’s Runoff?
Voting is on Sunday 25 October 2026 from 8:00 a.m. to 5:00 p.m. Brasília time, which is 7:00 a.m. to 4:00 p.m. ET. Most foreign residents cannot vote.
How Long Do I Have to Transfer a Colombian Permanent Visa?
Holders of a permanent-resident visa issued under the earlier rules must transfer it before 31 October 2026, which is less than a week after Saturday 24 October. Colombia’s Foreign Ministry says the process is done online.
Sources: US National Hurricane Center; Banco Central do Brasil; RT market data; Superintendencia Financiera de Colombia; DolarApi; Banco Central de la República Argentina; Banco Central de Chile; ArgentinaDatos; Kalshi; Polymarket; Cancillería de Colombia; Tribunal Superior Eleitoral; Rio Times economic calendar.
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