Uruguayan Peso Remains Strong Against Dollar Despite Regional Trends
The Uruguayan peso maintained its strength against the U.S. dollar early July 29, 2025, trading steadily at approximately 40.10 per dollar.
The stability contrasts with other Latin American currencies, like those in Brazil, Chile, Colombia, and Mexico, where the dollar recently reversed its downtrend.
According to recent market developments, including BTG Pactual’s strategic acquisition of HSBC’s Uruguayan branch, investors recognize Uruguay’s stable economic fundamentals.
Inflation is under control, holding steady around 4.6%, while the Central Bank of Uruguay recently trimmed interest rates to 9%, reinforcing investor confidence.
Analyzing recent technical indicators provides a clearer understanding. On the daily chart, the U.S. dollar is trading below key moving averages—particularly the 50-day at about 40.68 and the 200-day around 41.30—signaling sustained bearish sentiment.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI), sitting below the midpoint at approximately 42, indicates weak dollar momentum without clear signs of oversold conditions yet.

The Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) on the daily timeframe remains bearish, emphasizing the lack of immediate upward momentum.
Bollinger Bands tightened, signifying low volatility, indicating that significant short-term swings are unlikely without a strong external catalyst.
Volume data confirms the market’s cautious stance, showing limited transactions without notable inflows or outflows from major ETFs. This calm reflects investor prudence amid regional volatility.
Contrasting regional developments, Uruguay‘s sound economic management and controlled monetary policy keep its currency resilient.
The Global Liquidity Index, indicated by the yellow line, suggests ample liquidity but limited demand for dollar-denominated assets domestically.
This unique scenario, shaped by prudent macroeconomic decisions and stable inflation, underscores why the peso remains resilient.
Despite a regional trend favoring dollar strength elsewhere, Uruguay’s disciplined fiscal policy and economic stability have created a secure environment for investors, maintaining the peso’s steady position.
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