Oil Markets Rally Then Retreat After Trump Extends EU Tariff Deadline
Oil futures experienced volatile trading Monday as President Donald Trump’s decision to postpone European Union tariffs to July 9 triggered initial gains before prices retreated from early highs.
Brent crude currently trades at $63.85 per barrel, up marginally by 0.02 percent, while West Texas Intermediate sits at $60.63, down 0.11 percent according to TradingView data from 05:43 UTC.
The energy complex initially surged following Trump’s Sunday announcement extending the EU tariff deadline from June 1 to July 9. Brent crude futures spiked 37 cents to reach $64.30 per barrel during Asian trading hours, while WTI climbed 34 cents to $61.87.
Trump agreed to the extension after European Commission President Ursula von der Leyen requested additional time to finalize trade negotiations. Market analyst Tony Sycamore from IG noted the positive momentum in crude oil and US equity futures following Trump‘s deadline extension.
The tariff postponement eased concerns about potential trade disruptions that could damage global economic growth and fuel demand. Von der Leyen described their conversation as a good call, stating Europe stands ready to advance talks swiftly and decisively.
However, the initial rally proved short-lived as prices retreated from morning highs. Technical analysis reveals both benchmarks remain trapped within established trading ranges despite the geopolitical catalyst.
Brent Crude Struggles Below Key Resistance
Brent crude continues trading below key moving averages, with the 50-day exponential moving average acting as resistance around $64.75. Support levels emerge near $63.50 for Brent and $60.00 for WTI based on recent price action.
The Bollinger Bands indicate continued volatility with prices oscillating near the lower band, suggesting oversold conditions. Relative Strength Index readings hover in neutral territory around 45-50, indicating balanced momentum after previous oversold conditions.
Volume patterns remain subdued following the Memorial Day holiday weekend in the United States. OPEC+ supply concerns continue weighing on sentiment ahead of Sunday’s production meeting.
The organization plans to discuss another 411,000 barrel per day output increase for July, following similar additions in May and June. Warren Patterson from ING Groep expects the group will opt for significant supply increases to ensure adequate market provision during the second half of 2025.
US crude inventories rose 2.5 million barrels last week according to API data, contradicting expectations for seasonal draws during peak driving season.
Baker Hughes reported US firms reduced active oil rigs by eight to 465 units, marking the lowest count since November 2021 as operators respond to price pressures.
The tariff extension provides temporary relief from trade tensions that have pressured oil prices since January. Trump’s extensive tariff policies and retaliatory measures have clouded demand forecasts throughout 2025.
European stock futures jumped significantly following the announcement, with Euro Stoxx 600 gaining 1.54 percent and DAX surging 1.35 percent.
Nuclear discussions between the United States and Iran showed limited progress over the weekend, reducing fears about additional Iranian oil supplies entering global markets.
Trade and tariff developments will likely drive crude oil prices and risk sentiment throughout the week as markets assess the sustainability of current geopolitical arrangements.
Live Market IntelligenceCommodities — Live Market Board
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Commodities — Live Market Board
-0.03%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| GOLD | 4,461 | +1.78% | +33.20% | 4,383 | 4,503 | 4,421 | 139,824 |
| SILVER | 65.59 | +1.26% | +73.05% | 64.77 | 66.98 | 64.81 | 46,406 |
| BRENT | 88.88 | -0.03% | +34.42% | 88.91 | 90.07 | 88.12 | 29,713 |
| WTI | 83.11 | -0.11% | +31.57% | 83.20 | 84.35 | 82.40 | 166,848 |
| COPPER | 6.61 | +0.03% | +46.70% | 6.61 | 6.71 | 6.61 | 39,543 |
| LITHIUM | 75.20 | +1.47% | +62.95% | 74.11 | 75.80 | 75.08 | 89,275 |
| IRON ORE | 161.91 | — | +58.10% | 161.91 | 161.91 | 1 | |
| SOY | 1,184 | +3.20% | +17.05% | 1,148 | 1,199 | 1,168 | 163,179 |
| CORN | 480.50 | +10.02% | +29.34% | 436.75 | 480.75 | 459.50 | 341,248 |
| WHEAT | 655.00 | +3.93% | +29.70% | 630.25 | 657.75 | 631.50 | 128,793 |
| COFFEE | 317.25 | -5.51% | +0.67% | 335.75 | 321.20 | 313.55 | 21,747 |
| SUGAR | 16.43 | -1.79% | -3.01% | 16.73 | 17.11 | 16.22 | 171,992 |
| COCOA | 5,719 | +3.18% | -34.96% | 5,543 | 5,779 | 5,574 | 26,773 |
| ORANGE JUICE | 138.55 | -0.47% | -45.38% | 139.20 | 141.05 | 137.50 | 703 |
| COTTON | 85.03 | +2.33% | +26.78% | 83.09 | 82.90 | 81.96 | 16,546 |
| BEEF | 223.60 | -3.93% | -5.18% | 232.75 | 226.40 | 223.00 | 16,126 |
| CATTLE | 339.10 | -3.16% | -1.82% | 350.17 | 345.50 | 338.60 | 10,164 |
| USD/BRL | 5.16 | +0.01% | -5.13% | 5.16 | 5.18 | 5.14 | — |
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