The International Monetary Fund’s July 2025 review makes its message clear: Argentina has made real progress, but danger remains. Net reserves are still critically low—about minus $6 billion by official figures—far short of what experts say is safe.
This makes it hard for the country to pay debts and cover imports. The IMF urges more effort to rebuild reserves and stick to strong financial discipline.
Yet the last year brought striking change. President Javier Milei’s team cut government spending sharply and delivered Argentina’s first run of monthly budget surpluses in more than ten years.
Inflation, once running above 200% a year, slowed to around 30% by mid-2025, based on government and IMF data. The gap between the official and black market dollar rates narrowed as the peso was allowed to move more freely.
Investment has started to rise, particularly in energy and mining. Exports in those sectors and agriculture now bring in more dollars, and Argentina’s trade balance is positive again.
The IMF responded by supporting a $20 billion loan program, with $12 billion released up front to help steady the economy. Large risks remain as Argentina’s reserves need substantial rebuilding.
Still, the progress over one year has been noteworthy. With tighter budgets, fewer controls, and a more open market approach, Argentina is showing the world it has a real chance to move from crisis toward real recovery—if reforms continue and confidence grows.
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