Goldman sees recovery of Latin American capital markets in 2023
Latin America’s capital markets are expected to rebound in the last two quarters of 2023 because interest rates could start to drop in some countries, Goldman Sachs Group Inc.’s head of that business for the region said.
“I think there is going to be a lot of activity in the second half of 2023,” Facundo Vázquez said in an interview from New York. “The region is in a better position to take advantage of interest rate cuts because it started raising rates more than a year ago, before the United States, and in certain countries inflation is peaking or even starting to decline.”
Sales of Latin American shares have plummeted 63% so far this year to US$11.6 billion, according to data compiled by Bloomberg.
After Brazilian companies raised more than US$16 billion through initial public offerings in 2021, the number dropped to zero this year. Mexican companies have not completed an IPO since January 2018, Vázquez said.
Russia’s invasion of Ukraine has also brought “competitive advantages” to Latin American nations, as many benefit from higher prices for commodities like oil, soybeans, and metals, and may also see inflows of investment that were previously headed for Russia or China.
“What also makes me a bit optimistic for the next couple of years is that when we have these commodity super cycles, emerging markets tend to do well, and obviously you see capital flowing into the region,” Vázquez said.
With information from Bloomberg
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Brazil — Live Market Board
+0.74%
186,595.60
+0.74%
63,133.88
-0.38%
11,357.82
-0.21%
2,998,956
-0.76%
2,565.55
+0.68%
59,344.04
+0.31%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| IBOV | 186,595.60 | +0.74% | +21.85% | 185,229.17 | 168,310 | 167,142 | — |
| USD/BRL | 5.16 | +0.01% | -5.13% | 5.16 | 5.18 | 5.14 | — |
| SELIC | 14.00% | — | — | — | — | — | |
| PETR4 | 41.64 | -0.05% | +35.19% | 41.66 | 41.97 | 41.15 | 41,499,400 |
| VALE3 | 72.97 | +0.83% | +30.75% | 72.37 | 73.54 | 72.66 | 17,658,000 |
| ITUB4 | 38.60 | -1.03% | +4.57% | 39.00 | 39.34 | 38.39 | 29,487,800 |
| BBDC4 | 16.85 | +0.36% | +3.50% | 16.79 | 16.90 | 16.67 | 19,416,900 |
| BBAS3 | 19.37 | +0.47% | +0.73% | 19.28 | 19.44 | 19.16 | 11,069,200 |
| B3SA3 | 14.26 | -0.21% | +12.73% | 14.29 | 14.47 | 14.11 | 33,037,800 |
| ABEV3 | 14.89 | -0.80% | +21.91% | 15.01 | 15.07 | 14.81 | 16,453,100 |
| WEGE3 | 47.59 | +0.49% | +29.99% | 47.36 | 48.08 | 47.36 | 3,364,600 |
| PRIO3 | 59.14 | -0.19% | +50.67% | 59.25 | 59.81 | 58.74 | 3,325,600 |
| SUZB3 | 41.33 | +2.35% | -23.55% | 40.38 | 41.48 | 40.35 | 3,914,900 |
| RENT3 | 34.68 | -0.09% | +0.84% | 34.71 | 34.96 | 34.35 | 7,979,100 |
| AZZA3 | 15.89 | -2.63% | -53.76% | 16.32 | 16.42 | 15.82 | 1,330,300 |
| CSNA3 | 4.30 | +0.47% | -42.65% | 4.28 | 4.41 | 4.26 | 10,076,100 |
| GGBR4 | 24.69 | +2.19% | +51.38% | 24.16 | 24.85 | 24.18 | 7,047,600 |
| ENEV3 | 24.21 | -1.38% | +70.49% | 24.55 | 24.64 | 23.99 | 9,297,000 |
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