Brazil elections 2022: Lulistas thinking about not voting are twice as many as Bolsonaristas

In the electorate that does not know whether to vote in the elections, the number of those who plan to vote for Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva (PT, left) is more than double the number of those who prefer Jair Bolsonaro (PL, right).

The data comes from a survey conducted by PoderData from September 4 to 6, 2022.

To obtain this information, PoderData asked, “Do you think you will leave your house to vote on Election Day?

The respondent could answer that they 1) will definitely vote, 2) may vote but is not sure, 3) will not vote, or 4) do not know.

Then he ticked the answers to vote in the first round of the presidential election.

Of the voters unsure if they would vote, 49% would vote for Lula da Silva, while 22% would vote for Bolsonaro.

Among citizens sure they will vote, 43% say they will vote for Lula da Silva and 40% for Bolsonaro.

Regarding voting intentions among the general population, Lula da Silva is at 43% versus 37% for Bolsonaro in the first round simulation.

The figures show an asymmetry between the two candidates’ voters regarding their intentions to vote on October 2.

They show a difference in commitment between Bolsonaro’s supporters (more enthusiastic) and Lula da Silva’s supporters (more hesitant).

A close election like the current one can make all the difference.

The poll shows that 87% of respondents will leave their homes to vote on October 2.

Only 2% say they will not vote. Those who may go but are not sure are 10%.

Respondents’ answers indicate that abstention in Brazil will be low in the 2022 elections.

It should be noted, however, that the question measures voters’ perceptions about the possibility of voting, not the behavior itself.

In Brazil, voting is mandatory, and many prefer not to disclose their intention not to vote.

The fact is that the abstention rate has historically been around 20%.

In the first round of the 2018 elections, the abstention rate was 20.3%. Compared to the previous year, the number of absentees increased slowly: in

People from the northern region and those who have completed higher education are most likely to vote. Read the percentages by demographic group below.

With information from Poder360