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since 2009
Wednesday, October 21, 2026

Brazil Brazil Elections 2026

Brazil Court Asks Prosecutors About Meta

By · October 21, 2026 · 5 min read
A white dome and the dark glass tower of the Superior Electoral Court in Brasilia seen from beneath the building's concrete canopy
The dome and glass tower of the Superior Electoral Court in Brasília (file photo; Photo: Luiz Roberto/TSE, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons)

BRAZIL · ELECTIONS

Published Wednesday, 21 October, 10:52 a.m. ET · Source: Brazil’s electoral court (TSE), as reported by CNN Brasil, InfoMoney and Correio Braziliense

Key Facts

  • The country Brazil, Latin America’s largest country, elects its president in a runoff on Sunday 25 October.
  • What happened On Wednesday 21 October, an electoral court judge gave election prosecutors 24 hours to review Meta’s steps.
  • The dispute Lula’s campaign says Meta, owner of Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, favours Flávio Bolsonaro; Meta denies it.
  • Power Index Brazil ranks 1st of 14 in The Rio Times Latin America Power Index, with 75.0 points (October 2026 edition).
  • Prediction markets Polymarket gives Flávio Bolsonaro a 77.8% chance of winning the runoff and Lula 22.5% (21 October, 10:49 a.m. ET). Polymarket puts Flávio Bolsonaro’s chance of winning at 78% and Kalshi at 79% (Lula: 23% and 23%), as of 21 October, 11:20 am ET; prices are bets, not polls.
  • Still open The prosecutors’ opinion is due within 24 hours and its content is not yet public.

Runoff · Sunday, 25 October

Brazil Runoff 2026: Lula vs Flávio

Date, polls, debates, odds and how the runoff works, updated every day.

Read our Brazil election 2026 runoff guide →

Brazil election 2026 · Brazil election polls · Who will win: Brazil election odds · Brazil runoff date and results start · Brazil election results · Brazil election poll data (CSV) · All election stories

Brazil’s electoral court gave the country’s election prosecutors 24 hours on Wednesday 21 October to give an opinion on the steps Meta took to treat both runoff campaigns equally. Minister Marco Aurélio Bellizze, the judge handling the case at the Superior Electoral Court (TSE), made the request, CNN Brasil reported.

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Runoff poll average: Flávio Bolsonaro 51.1%, Lula 48.9%
33 national polls from 19 pollsters since 4 October, updated hourly. Every poll, free to download.
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The Brazil election 2026 runoff on Sunday 25 October pits President Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva against Senator Flávio Bolsonaro of Rio de Janeiro. Meta is the US owner of Facebook, Instagram and WhatsApp, so the ruling matters to American readers who follow tech regulation and election integrity.

What the Court Asked the Prosecutors to Do

The Electoral Public Ministry is the branch of Brazil’s prosecution service that acts in election cases. Bellizze asked it to assess whether Meta’s measures meet the court’s order for equal treatment of both candidacies on digital platforms, InfoMoney reported.

The request followed a meeting on Tuesday 20 October, when Bellizze received Meta representatives after the company sent information to the court, InfoMoney reported. The court will now weigh the prosecutors’ view before the runoff.

A hand presses the green confirm key on a Brazilian electronic voting machine
A hand presses the confirm key on a Brazilian electronic voting machine. File photo, 2021. (Photo: Superior Electoral Court of Brazil, public domain, via Wikimedia Commons)
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What Meta and the Campaigns Say

Meta denies interfering in the election or favouring any candidate and blames the problems on technical failures, according to InfoMoney. It told the court its systems apply the same criteria to both candidacies and filed technical documents to back that up.

Lula’s campaign says it had trouble boosting posts and that Meta’s AI tool made images of Flávio but refused similar requests about the president, InfoMoney reported.

A voter's hand on the keypad of a Brazilian electronic voting machine whose screen reads Presidente
A voter casts a presidential ballot on an electronic voting machine in Brasília. File photo, 2014. (Photo: Marri Nogueira/Agência Senado, CC BY 2.0, via Wikimedia Commons)

The Fine and the Earlier Deadline

Earlier this week the court had set a daily fine of R$500,000 (about US$100,000) and warned it could double to R$1 million (about US$200,000) if Meta did not prove compliance within 24 hours, Gazeta SP reported. Bellizze also rejected Meta’s attempt to replace a 72-hour deadline with a longer one of its own choosing.

Meta’s independent Oversight Board has also pointed to weak enforcement of the company’s own rules during elections and too little transparency, InfoMoney reported. Conversions use the EODHD rate of about R$5.02 per US$ on 21 October.

What It Means for US Readers

If you use Meta’s apps or own its shares, Brazil is a test of how a large democracy polices the reach of US platforms in the last days of a race.

For investors in Brazilian assets, the dispute adds to runoff uncertainty. The Brazil election odds page tracks how betting prices move with the news.

What Prediction Markets Say

On Polymarket, an online prediction market, traders price Flávio Bolsonaro at 77.8% and Lula at 22.5% to win the 25 October runoff (21 October, 10:49 a.m. ET). The “Brazil Presidential Election” market has about US$190.4 million in total trading volume.

Prices are bets, not polls, and Kalshi, the other major platform, is regulated in the US by the CFTC. Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

Prediction markets · who wins the runoff

Implied chance of winning Brazil’s presidency on 25 October, from traders’ prices.

Polymarket

Flávio Bolsonaro 77.6% · Lula 22.5% (US$190 million traded)

Kalshi (regulated in the US by the CFTC)

Flávio Bolsonaro 79% · Lula 23%

As of 21 October, 11:20 am ET (16:20 Lisbon), updated every 20 minutes. Prices are bets, not polls, and can move fast.

Why we show this: prediction markets turn real-money bets into a live probability that moves within minutes of the news, which is why investors, campaigns and newsrooms in the United States now follow them closely. We show them next to polls and official results, never instead of them.

What Is Not Known

The exact hour the 24-hour deadline ends has not been reported, and the prosecutors’ opinion is not public. Reports differ on whether the higher R$1 million daily fine is already in force, and it is not known whether the court will order new changes at Meta.

Why did Brazil’s electoral court ask prosecutors about Meta?

Judge Marco Aurélio Bellizze wants the Electoral Public Ministry to say whether Meta’s steps meet the court’s equal-treatment order. He set a 24-hour deadline on Wednesday 21 October.

What does Lula’s campaign accuse Meta of?

It says Meta favoured Flávio Bolsonaro, citing trouble boosting posts and an AI tool that made images of Flávio but not of Lula. Meta denies it and blames technical failures.

What is the Electoral Public Ministry?

It is the part of Brazil’s prosecution service that works on election cases. Here it advises the electoral court.

How much could Meta be fined?

The court set a daily fine of R$500,000 (about US$100,000) and warned it could double to R$1 million (about US$200,000). Reports differ on whether the higher fine already applies.

When is Brazil’s runoff?

Brazilians vote on Sunday 25 October between President Lula and Senator Flávio Bolsonaro.

Sources: CNN Brasil, 21 October 2026; InfoMoney, 21 October 2026; Correio Braziliense, 21 October 2026; Gazeta SP.

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated newsroom system. How we use AI · Report an error · Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Editor-in-Chief

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