Bitcoin Price Today Rebounds to $77,345 as Trump Announces Iran Peace Deal
Bitcoin price today trades at $77,345 (+0.48%) on Monday, recovering from a Saturday low of $74,192 after President Trump announced a “largely negotiated” Iran peace deal on Truth Social late Saturday afternoon. The spike triggered roughly $180 million in crypto short liquidations. Oil fell about 5% Sunday (WTI to $91.65) as Trump signalled negotiations were “constructive” but warned he would not rush. Net move from Friday’s $75,174 close: +2.9% over the weekend, recovering most of the Warsh-era opening losses.
The Big Three
Bitcoin trades at $77,345 (+0.48%) on Monday morning per Bitstamp, range $76,833–$77,554. Late Friday into early Saturday, BTC crumbled about 4% to the Saturday low at $74,192. Trump’s Saturday evening Truth Social post — “An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and various other Countries” — spiked BTC from $74,192 to $77,303 within minutes, with roughly $180M in crypto short liquidations.
ETF flows are the bearish overhang. Spot Bitcoin ETFs bled $1.26B in the past week (six-day loss streak per Cointelegraph), $2.26B over two weeks. Ether ETFs lost $216M; Solana ETFs took +$15.6M; XRP ETFs +$22M. The leveraged-bear setup was overextended into the Trump headline.
The altcoin tape is mixed Monday. Ether underperforms at $2,107 (−0.77%); Solana $85.63 (−0.62%); HYPE +0.91% to $61.92 holds record region. Zcash (ZEC) +4.69% to $657.27 is the breakout as privacy-coin bid resumes. Nasdaq filed for Bitcoin options listing pending CFTC approval.
02 Weekend Tape
| Asset | Price | 24h | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $77,345 | +0.48% | Iran-deal bounce from $74,192 Sat low |
| Ether (ETH) | $2,106.77 | −0.77% | Underperforming, ETF outflows continue |
| Solana (SOL) | $85.63 | −0.62% | SOL ETFs took +$15.6M last week |
| HYPE | $61.92 | +0.91% | Holds record-region, AI/Hyperliquid theme |
| XRP | $1.354 | −0.39% | XRP ETFs took +$22M last week |
| Zcash (ZEC) | $657.27 | +4.69% | Privacy-coin breakout |
| Gold (XAU) | $4,557 | +0.24% | Cross-asset hedge bid easing |
| Silver (XAG) | $77.50 | +0.61% | Holding the elevated range |
Live Market IntelligenceCrypto — Live Market Board
Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence
Crypto — Live Market Board
-0.26%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 63,384 | -0.26% | -47.24% | 63,552 | 64,346 | 63,305 | 22,774,743,040 |
| ETH | 1,886 | +0.26% | -58.90% | 1,881 | 1,920 | 1,879 | 7,916,475,392 |
| SOL | 75.89 | -0.40% | -60.44% | 76.20 | 76.99 | 75.39 | 1,473,821,056 |
| XRP | 1.01 | -1.15% | -69.07% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1,144,044,416 |
| BNB | 609.60 | -1.12% | -26.81% | 616.50 | 619.30 | 609.23 | 1,266,706,432 |
| ADA | 0.18 | -1.98% | -78.22% | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 238,085,632 |
| DOGE | 0.07 | -1.56% | -70.00% | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 553,256,192 |
| AVAX | 6.38 | +1.04% | -74.11% | 6.32 | 6.42 | 6.21 | 248,470,560 |
| LINK | 8.77 | -0.06% | -62.73% | 8.77 | 8.87 | 8.68 | 317,054,880 |
| DOT | 0.78 | -0.75% | -81.11% | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 43,490,492 |
| LTC | 45.08 | -0.85% | -65.45% | 45.47 | 45.59 | 44.98 | 143,727,712 |
| BCH | 213.85 | +0.10% | -65.44% | 213.64 | 215.69 | 212.54 | 137,956,688 |
| TRX | 0.34 | +0.28% | -4.73% | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 436,576,064 |
| XLM | 0.16 | -1.33% | -64.46% | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 89,559,864 |
| HBAR | 0.07 | -0.53% | -74.67% | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 22,546,186 |
| NEAR | 1.65 | +2.42% | -40.55% | 1.62 | 1.68 | 1.61 | 187,591,264 |
| ATOM | 1.40 | -2.36% | -70.15% | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 18,626,964 |
| AAVE | 89.06 | +0.93% | -72.33% | 88.24 | 90.20 | 88.19 | 129,099,704 |
03 What Drove the Bounce
Local Driver: Trump Iran deal headline triggers $180M short squeeze
Saturday’s Truth Social post hit a market positioning short on the Warsh handoff and six-day ETF outflow streak. The unwind was mechanical: $180M in shorts liquidated as BTC ran from $74,192 to $77,303. Sunday’s Trump caveat that he “won’t rush” capped further upside but did not reverse the squeeze. Polymarket’s US-Iran permanent peace contracts hit $154M total volume with December 2026 at 91% odds.
External Trigger: Oil collapses 5% as Hormuz reopening prices in
WTI fell about 5% Sunday to $91.65, Brent to $98.30, on Trump’s “constructive negotiations” framing. The Hormuz blockade nominally remains until a deal is finalised, but oil markets are now pricing reopening as the base case. The flow-through to crypto is straightforward: lower oil eases the inflation-overhang case that supported the Warsh-hawkish-hold thesis, which loosens the dollar-strength setup that hit BTC into Friday. Wall Street closed at records into Memorial Day; Monday is a US holiday with reduced liquidity.
Key Facts
— The weekend reversal is real but the structural picture is unchanged. ETF outflows mean institutional positioning is still de-risking; the Trump-Iran short squeeze was a leveraged-bear unwind, not a fresh institutional bid. The split inside the ETF complex is the cleanest read: BTC and ETH funds bleeding, SOL and XRP funds adding — capital is rotating within crypto, not exiting.
— Two macro overlays matter. Kevin Warsh enters his first FOMC June 17–18 with $131M+ in personal crypto holdings, the most crypto-literate Fed chair ever; Polymarket prices a 52% hike chance. The Iran-deal pathway determines whether the bounce sustains. $74,192 defines the weekend reversal; $80,000 is the resistance that has held since early May.
05 Technical Snapshot
BTC $77,345 sits just above the Kijun cluster at $76,952 with the 200-DMA at $78,513 as the immediate overhead resistance — the same line that capped the post-Warsh recovery attempts. The MACD remains bearish on the daily (line below signal) but the histogram is narrowing significantly from Friday’s deeper red, consistent with a single-day reversal that the slower-moving indicator has not yet caught up to. RSI 49.03/48.42 sits right at the midline, recovering off oversold. A daily close above $78,843 reopens $80,407 and the $82,765 region; a fade back below $74,920 (BB lower) negates the weekend bounce.
06 Forward Look
07 Questions & Answers
Key Facts
— Bitcoin’s weekend reversal recovered most of the Warsh-era opening losses on a Trump-Iran headline that triggered a leveraged-bear unwind. The institutional picture is unchanged — ETF outflows continue, BTC and ETH funds still bleeding while SOL and XRP add. The bounce needs an ETF-flow turn to confirm. $74,192 is the line that defines the weekend reversal; $80,000 is the resistance that has held since early May.
— Related: CoinDesk: Trump Iran post · Sat May 23 Warsh shock · Fri May 22 setup.
— The squeeze ran; the flows haven’t turned. ETF data is the confirmation tell.
Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile; consult a licensed professional before trading.
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