Bitcoin Price Today Rebounds to $77,345 as Trump Announces Iran Peace Deal
Bitcoin price today trades at $77,345 (+0.48%) on Monday, recovering from a Saturday low of $74,192 after President Trump announced a “largely negotiated” Iran peace deal on Truth Social late Saturday afternoon. The spike triggered roughly $180 million in crypto short liquidations. Oil fell about 5% Sunday (WTI to $91.65) as Trump signalled negotiations were “constructive” but warned he would not rush. Net move from Friday’s $75,174 close: +2.9% over the weekend, recovering most of the Warsh-era opening losses.
The Big Three
Bitcoin trades at $77,345 (+0.48%) on Monday morning per Bitstamp, range $76,833–$77,554. Late Friday into early Saturday, BTC crumbled about 4% to the Saturday low at $74,192. Trump’s Saturday evening Truth Social post — “An Agreement has been largely negotiated, subject to finalization between the United States, the Islamic Republic of Iran, and various other Countries” — spiked BTC from $74,192 to $77,303 within minutes, with roughly $180M in crypto short liquidations.
ETF flows are the bearish overhang. Spot Bitcoin ETFs bled $1.26B in the past week (six-day loss streak per Cointelegraph), $2.26B over two weeks. Ether ETFs lost $216M; Solana ETFs took +$15.6M; XRP ETFs +$22M. The leveraged-bear setup was overextended into the Trump headline.
The altcoin tape is mixed Monday. Ether underperforms at $2,107 (−0.77%); Solana $85.63 (−0.62%); HYPE +0.91% to $61.92 holds record region. Zcash (ZEC) +4.69% to $657.27 is the breakout as privacy-coin bid resumes. Nasdaq filed for Bitcoin options listing pending CFTC approval.
02 Weekend Tape
| Asset | Price | 24h | Note |
|---|---|---|---|
| Bitcoin (BTC) | $77,345 | +0.48% | Iran-deal bounce from $74,192 Sat low |
| Ether (ETH) | $2,106.77 | −0.77% | Underperforming, ETF outflows continue |
| Solana (SOL) | $85.63 | −0.62% | SOL ETFs took +$15.6M last week |
| HYPE | $61.92 | +0.91% | Holds record-region, AI/Hyperliquid theme |
| XRP | $1.354 | −0.39% | XRP ETFs took +$22M last week |
| Zcash (ZEC) | $657.27 | +4.69% | Privacy-coin breakout |
| Gold (XAU) | $4,557 | +0.24% | Cross-asset hedge bid easing |
| Silver (XAG) | $77.50 | +0.61% | Holding the elevated range |
Live Market IntelligenceCrypto — Live Market Board
Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence
Crypto — Live Market Board
-0.91%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 62,719 | -0.91% | -42.44% | 63,297 | 63,670 | 62,665 | 31,423,629,312 |
| ETH | 1,750 | -1.03% | -33.07% | 1,769 | 1,782 | 1,746 | 10,181,161,984 |
| SOL | 78.65 | -2.48% | -48.17% | 80.65 | 80.64 | 78.42 | 2,460,821,504 |
| XRP | 1.09 | -1.55% | -52.62% | 1.11 | 1.11 | 1.09 | 1,466,257,792 |
| BNB | 568.49 | -1.44% | -13.96% | 576.80 | 578.10 | 568.38 | 1,108,862,464 |
| ADA | 0.17 | -2.23% | -71.01% | 0.17 | 0.18 | 0.17 | 358,431,584 |
| DOGE | 0.07 | -2.20% | -57.57% | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 638,094,272 |
| AVAX | 6.39 | -4.47% | -65.20% | 6.69 | 6.69 | 6.38 | 253,150,480 |
| LINK | 7.69 | -2.15% | -44.95% | 7.86 | 7.88 | 7.68 | 219,346,256 |
| DOT | 0.83 | -2.19% | -75.85% | 0.85 | 0.86 | 0.83 | 86,430,408 |
| LTC | 43.44 | -1.05% | -50.46% | 43.90 | 43.94 | 43.44 | 237,282,752 |
| BCH | 236.37 | -1.30% | -52.86% | 239.47 | 241.19 | 236.37 | 119,108,536 |
| TRX | 0.33 | -0.32% | +14.94% | 0.33 | 0.33 | 0.33 | 483,211,104 |
| XLM | 0.19 | -1.46% | -28.46% | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 213,290,832 |
| HBAR | 0.07 | -0.95% | -56.31% | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 57,849,944 |
| NEAR | 1.92 | -2.54% | -14.11% | 1.98 | 1.99 | 1.89 | 259,246,192 |
| ATOM | 1.56 | -0.68% | -62.14% | 1.57 | 1.58 | 1.56 | 26,463,934 |
| AAVE | 87.96 | -2.20% | -70.01% | 89.94 | 89.94 | 87.96 | 233,006,176 |
03 What Drove the Bounce
Local Driver: Trump Iran deal headline triggers $180M short squeeze
Saturday’s Truth Social post hit a market positioning short on the Warsh handoff and six-day ETF outflow streak. The unwind was mechanical: $180M in shorts liquidated as BTC ran from $74,192 to $77,303. Sunday’s Trump caveat that he “won’t rush” capped further upside but did not reverse the squeeze. Polymarket’s US-Iran permanent peace contracts hit $154M total volume with December 2026 at 91% odds.
External Trigger: Oil collapses 5% as Hormuz reopening prices in
WTI fell about 5% Sunday to $91.65, Brent to $98.30, on Trump’s “constructive negotiations” framing. The Hormuz blockade nominally remains until a deal is finalised, but oil markets are now pricing reopening as the base case. The flow-through to crypto is straightforward: lower oil eases the inflation-overhang case that supported the Warsh-hawkish-hold thesis, which loosens the dollar-strength setup that hit BTC into Friday. Wall Street closed at records into Memorial Day; Monday is a US holiday with reduced liquidity.
§04 · Market Commentary
The weekend reversal is real but the structural picture is unchanged. ETF outflows mean institutional positioning is still de-risking; the Trump-Iran short squeeze was a leveraged-bear unwind, not a fresh institutional bid. The split inside the ETF complex is the cleanest read: BTC and ETH funds bleeding, SOL and XRP funds adding — capital is rotating within crypto, not exiting.
Two macro overlays matter. Kevin Warsh enters his first FOMC June 17–18 with $131M+ in personal crypto holdings, the most crypto-literate Fed chair ever; Polymarket prices a 52% hike chance. The Iran-deal pathway determines whether the bounce sustains. $74,192 defines the weekend reversal; $80,000 is the resistance that has held since early May.
05 Technical Snapshot
BTC $77,345 sits just above the Kijun cluster at $76,952 with the 200-DMA at $78,513 as the immediate overhead resistance — the same line that capped the post-Warsh recovery attempts. The MACD remains bearish on the daily (line below signal) but the histogram is narrowing significantly from Friday’s deeper red, consistent with a single-day reversal that the slower-moving indicator has not yet caught up to. RSI 49.03/48.42 sits right at the midline, recovering off oversold. A daily close above $78,843 reopens $80,407 and the $82,765 region; a fade back below $74,920 (BB lower) negates the weekend bounce.
06 Forward Look
07 Questions & Answers
Verdict
Bitcoin’s weekend reversal recovered most of the Warsh-era opening losses on a Trump-Iran headline that triggered a leveraged-bear unwind. The institutional picture is unchanged — ETF outflows continue, BTC and ETH funds still bleeding while SOL and XRP add. The bounce needs an ETF-flow turn to confirm. $74,192 is the line that defines the weekend reversal; $80,000 is the resistance that has held since early May.
Related: CoinDesk: Trump Iran post · Sat May 23 Warsh shock · Fri May 22 setup.
The squeeze ran; the flows haven’t turned. ETF data is the confirmation tell.
Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Cryptocurrencies are highly volatile; consult a licensed professional before trading.
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