IBOV 177,650 ▲ 0.17% IPSA 10,600 ▲ 2.40% IPC MEX 68,384 ▼ 0.74% MERVAL 2,877,439 ▲ 3.19% COLCAP 2,118 ▼ 0.22% BVL PERÚ 19,767 ▲ 0.37% USD/BRL 5.00 ▼ 0.06% USD/MXN 17.33 ▲ 0.15% USD/CLP 899.00 ▲ 0.07% USD/COP 3,682 ▼ 1.16% USD/PEN 3.41 ▼ 0.06% USD/ARS 1,390 ▼ 0.55% USD/UYU 40.02 ▲ 0.53% USD/PYG 6,151 ▲ 2.28% USD/BOB 6.86 ▲ 1.79% USD/DOP 58.79 ▲ 0.32% USD/CRC 449.53 ▲ 2.06% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.26% USD/HNL 26.61 ▲ 1.69% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.26% USD/VES 525.55 ▲ 0.48% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.17% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 1.60% USD/JMD 156.99 ▲ 0.18% USD/TTD 6.73 ▲ 1.16% EUR/BRL 5.81 ▼ 0.27% BRENT 105.79 ▲ 3.13% WTI 98.82 ▲ 2.56% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.37 ▲ 1.84% GOLD 4,523 ▼ 0.37% SILVER 76.23 ▼ 0.24% SOY 1,199 ▲ 0.40% CORN 464.75 ▲ 0.54% WHEAT 648.25 ▲ 0.12% COFFEE 264.95 ▼ 3.09% SUGAR 14.80 ▼ 0.67% ORANGE JUICE 166.90 ▲ 6.34% COTTON 78.69 ▲ 0.91% COCOA 3,814 ▼ 1.93% BEEF 240.15 ▼ 5.18% CATTLE 356.53 ▼ 3.83% LITHIUM 84.38 ▲ 1.07% PETR4 44.95 ▲ 0.78% VALE3 82.63 ▲ 0.77% ITUB4 40.12 ▲ 1.13% BBDC4 17.90 ▲ 0.22% ABEV3 16.40 ▲ 1.11% BBAS3 20.82 ▲ 0.58% B3SA3 17.02 ▲ 1.37% WEGE3 42.47 ▼ 0.26% PRIO3 68.00 ▼ 0.92% SUZB3 42.26 ▲ 0.14% RENT3 44.04 ▼ 0.97% AZZA3 19.95 ▲ 1.79% CSAN3 4.40 ▲ 1.85% RAIZ4 0.39 ▼ 7.14% PCAR3 2.11 ▼ 2.77% GMAT3 4.43 ▲ 0.23% PSSA3 49.46 ▲ 0.49% CVCB3 1.78 ▼ 1.11% POSI3 4.09 ▼ 1.92% SLCE3 16.50 ▼ 0.12% NATU3 10.20 ▲ 2.00% BRKM5 12.03 ▼ 1.23% RANI3 8.06 ▲ 1.26% CSNA3 6.34 ▲ 3.43% CMIN3 4.43 ▼ 1.56% USIM5 9.80 ▲ 1.98% GGBR4 23.50 ▲ 0.13% ENEV3 25.52 ▲ 1.23% NEOE3 33.80 — 0.00% CPFE3 43.70 ▼ 1.51% CMIG4 11.36 ▼ 1.47% EQTL3 38.14 ▼ 1.06% LREN3 14.85 ▲ 1.02% VIVT3 35.29 ▼ 0.31% RAIL3 14.67 ▼ 2.33% KLABIN 16.51 ▼ 0.06% RAIA DROGASIL 18.65 ▼ 2.51% RDOR3 34.59 ▼ 1.14% HAPV3 12.34 ▼ 7.01% FLRY3 15.69 ▼ 0.70% SMTO3 17.64 ▼ 2.38% UGPA3 29.15 ▲ 0.45% VBBR3 33.41 ▲ 0.21% BBSE3 34.74 ▲ 0.09% BPAC11 54.37 ▲ 0.31% CURY3 31.20 ▼ 0.32% AERI3 2.28 — 0.00% VIVARA 22.32 ▼ 1.50% COMPASS 27.01 ▲ 1.35% VAMOS 3.37 ▼ 1.17% SANB11 27.59 ▲ 0.51% ASAI3 8.48 ▼ 1.51% SBSP3 28.62 ▼ 1.82% WALMEX 55.16 ▼ 0.88% GMEXICO 203.15 ▲ 0.00% FEMSA 210.09 ▲ 0.33% CEMEX 21.72 ▼ 0.69% GFNORTE 186.81 ▼ 1.09% BIMBO 58.04 ▼ 2.88% TELEVISA 9.68 ▼ 1.33% AMX 22.82 ▼ 1.30% GAP 420.74 ▼ 2.86% ASUR 308.72 ▼ 0.57% OMA 225.94 ▼ 0.43% KOF 185.08 ▲ 0.43% GRUMA 294.49 ▲ 0.08% KIMBER 38.08 ▼ 1.68% SQM-B 72,900 ▼ 0.40% COPEC 6,425 ▲ 0.39% BSANTANDER 70.10 ▲ 2.71% FALABELLA 5,600 ▲ 2.85% ENELAM 76.20 ▲ 0.26% CENCOSUD 2,180 ▲ 5.24% CMPC 1,095 ▲ 2.82% BANCO CHILE 171.90 ▲ 3.24% LATAM AIR 22.57 ▲ 7.22% YPF 70,850 ▲ 1.50% GGAL 6,505 ▲ 4.33% PAMPA 4,838 ▲ 1.79% TXAR 635.00 ▲ 2.67% ALUAR 929.00 ▲ 1.53% TGS 8,825 ▲ 3.64% CEPU 2,150 ▲ 3.66% MIRGOR 16,275 ▲ 0.31% COME 44.94 ▲ 1.90% LOMA NEGRA 3,350 ▲ 4.44% BYMA 276.50 ▼ 0.54% TELECOM ARG 3,530 ▲ 1.15% ECOPETROL 13.86 ▲ 1.02% BANCOLOMBIA 66.32 ▲ 1.19% GRUPO AVAL 4.26 ▲ 0.71% CREDICORP 344.00 ▲ 3.22% SOUTHERN COPPER 179.12 ▲ 2.89% BUENAVENTURA 33.66 ▼ 0.68% MERCADOLIBRE 1,678 ▲ 1.62% NUBANK 13.16 ▲ 2.89% XP 17.92 ▲ 1.30% PAGSEGURO 9.32 — 0.00% STONE 11.10 ▲ 0.45% GLOBANT 40.63 ▼ 2.78% TECNOGLASS 41.20 ▲ 0.78% GAP AIRPORT 244.11 ▼ 2.68% ASUR 308.72 ▼ 0.57% OMA AIRPORT 104.65 ▼ 0.46% AMX ADR 26.33 ▼ 1.31% FEMSA ADR 121.40 ▼ 0.12% CEMEX ADR 12.58 ▼ 0.71% PETROBRAS ADR 20.03 ▲ 1.01% VALE ADR 16.47 ▲ 0.73% ITAU ADR 8.01 ▲ 0.82% SANTANDER BR 5.56 ▲ 0.54% AMBEV ADR 3.27 ▲ 1.24% CSN 1.28 ▲ 2.40% GERDAU 4.70 ▲ 0.21% LATAM ADR 50.94 ▲ 1.13% BTC 77,178 ▼ 0.47% ETH 2,120 ▼ 0.54% SOL 87.05 ▼ 0.12% XRP 1.36 ▼ 0.79% BNB 658.24 ▲ 0.14% ADA 0.25 ▲ 0.38% DOGE 0.11 ▲ 0.19% AVAX 9.50 ▲ 0.62% LINK 9.78 ▲ 0.46% DOT 1.32 ▲ 2.58% LTC 54.23 ▲ 0.18% BCH 378.37 ▼ 0.57% TRX 0.36 ▼ 0.10% XLM 0.15 ▲ 0.50% HBAR 0.09 ▲ 0.15% NEAR 2.27 ▲ 18.02% ATOM 2.14 ▲ 4.35% AAVE 87.97 ▼ 0.02% SELIC 14.50% EMBRAER 70.81 ▲ 0.61% EMBRAER ADR 56.52 ▲ 0.07% JBS 13.28 ▲ 2.95% JBS BDR 65.95 ▲ 2.93% MBRF3 17.30 ▼ 2.09% MBRFY 3.33 ▼ 6.46% INTER 6.40 ▲ 3.56% IBOV 177,650 ▲ 0.17% IPSA 10,600 ▲ 2.40% IPC MEX 68,384 ▼ 0.74% MERVAL 2,877,439 ▲ 3.19% COLCAP 2,118 ▼ 0.22% BVL PERÚ 19,767 ▲ 0.37% USD/BRL 5.00 ▼ 0.06% USD/MXN 17.33 ▲ 0.15% USD/CLP 899.00 ▲ 0.07% USD/COP 3,682 ▼ 1.16% USD/PEN 3.41 ▼ 0.06% USD/ARS 1,390 ▼ 0.55% USD/UYU 40.02 ▲ 0.53% USD/PYG 6,151 ▲ 2.28% USD/BOB 6.86 ▲ 1.79% USD/DOP 58.79 ▲ 0.32% USD/CRC 449.53 ▲ 2.06% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.26% USD/HNL 26.61 ▲ 1.69% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.26% USD/VES 525.55 ▲ 0.48% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.17% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 1.60% USD/JMD 156.99 ▲ 0.18% USD/TTD 6.73 ▲ 1.16% EUR/BRL 5.81 ▼ 0.27% BRENT 105.79 ▲ 3.13% WTI 98.82 ▲ 2.56% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.37 ▲ 1.84% GOLD 4,523 ▼ 0.37% SILVER 76.23 ▼ 0.24% SOY 1,199 ▲ 0.40% CORN 464.75 ▲ 0.54% WHEAT 648.25 ▲ 0.12% COFFEE 264.95 ▼ 3.09% SUGAR 14.80 ▼ 0.67% ORANGE JUICE 166.90 ▲ 6.34% COTTON 78.69 ▲ 0.91% COCOA 3,814 ▼ 1.93% BEEF 240.15 ▼ 5.18% CATTLE 356.53 ▼ 3.83% LITHIUM 84.38 ▲ 1.07% PETR4 44.95 ▲ 0.78% VALE3 82.63 ▲ 0.77% ITUB4 40.12 ▲ 1.13% BBDC4 17.90 ▲ 0.22% ABEV3 16.40 ▲ 1.11% BBAS3 20.82 ▲ 0.58% B3SA3 17.02 ▲ 1.37% WEGE3 42.47 ▼ 0.26% PRIO3 68.00 ▼ 0.92% SUZB3 42.26 ▲ 0.14% RENT3 44.04 ▼ 0.97% AZZA3 19.95 ▲ 1.79% CSAN3 4.40 ▲ 1.85% RAIZ4 0.39 ▼ 7.14% PCAR3 2.11 ▼ 2.77% GMAT3 4.43 ▲ 0.23% PSSA3 49.46 ▲ 0.49% CVCB3 1.78 ▼ 1.11% POSI3 4.09 ▼ 1.92% SLCE3 16.50 ▼ 0.12% NATU3 10.20 ▲ 2.00% BRKM5 12.03 ▼ 1.23% RANI3 8.06 ▲ 1.26% CSNA3 6.34 ▲ 3.43% CMIN3 4.43 ▼ 1.56% USIM5 9.80 ▲ 1.98% GGBR4 23.50 ▲ 0.13% ENEV3 25.52 ▲ 1.23% NEOE3 33.80 — 0.00% CPFE3 43.70 ▼ 1.51% CMIG4 11.36 ▼ 1.47% EQTL3 38.14 ▼ 1.06% LREN3 14.85 ▲ 1.02% VIVT3 35.29 ▼ 0.31% RAIL3 14.67 ▼ 2.33% KLABIN 16.51 ▼ 0.06% RAIA DROGASIL 18.65 ▼ 2.51% RDOR3 34.59 ▼ 1.14% HAPV3 12.34 ▼ 7.01% FLRY3 15.69 ▼ 0.70% SMTO3 17.64 ▼ 2.38% UGPA3 29.15 ▲ 0.45% VBBR3 33.41 ▲ 0.21% BBSE3 34.74 ▲ 0.09% BPAC11 54.37 ▲ 0.31% CURY3 31.20 ▼ 0.32% AERI3 2.28 — 0.00% VIVARA 22.32 ▼ 1.50% COMPASS 27.01 ▲ 1.35% VAMOS 3.37 ▼ 1.17% SANB11 27.59 ▲ 0.51% ASAI3 8.48 ▼ 1.51% SBSP3 28.62 ▼ 1.82% WALMEX 55.16 ▼ 0.88% GMEXICO 203.15 ▲ 0.00% FEMSA 210.09 ▲ 0.33% CEMEX 21.72 ▼ 0.69% GFNORTE 186.81 ▼ 1.09% BIMBO 58.04 ▼ 2.88% TELEVISA 9.68 ▼ 1.33% AMX 22.82 ▼ 1.30% GAP 420.74 ▼ 2.86% ASUR 308.72 ▼ 0.57% OMA 225.94 ▼ 0.43% KOF 185.08 ▲ 0.43% GRUMA 294.49 ▲ 0.08% KIMBER 38.08 ▼ 1.68% SQM-B 72,900 ▼ 0.40% COPEC 6,425 ▲ 0.39% BSANTANDER 70.10 ▲ 2.71% FALABELLA 5,600 ▲ 2.85% ENELAM 76.20 ▲ 0.26% CENCOSUD 2,180 ▲ 5.24% CMPC 1,095 ▲ 2.82% BANCO CHILE 171.90 ▲ 3.24% LATAM AIR 22.57 ▲ 7.22% YPF 70,850 ▲ 1.50% GGAL 6,505 ▲ 4.33% PAMPA 4,838 ▲ 1.79% TXAR 635.00 ▲ 2.67% ALUAR 929.00 ▲ 1.53% TGS 8,825 ▲ 3.64% CEPU 2,150 ▲ 3.66% MIRGOR 16,275 ▲ 0.31% COME 44.94 ▲ 1.90% LOMA NEGRA 3,350 ▲ 4.44% BYMA 276.50 ▼ 0.54% TELECOM ARG 3,530 ▲ 1.15% ECOPETROL 13.86 ▲ 1.02% BANCOLOMBIA 66.32 ▲ 1.19% GRUPO AVAL 4.26 ▲ 0.71% CREDICORP 344.00 ▲ 3.22% SOUTHERN COPPER 179.12 ▲ 2.89% BUENAVENTURA 33.66 ▼ 0.68% MERCADOLIBRE 1,678 ▲ 1.62% NUBANK 13.16 ▲ 2.89% XP 17.92 ▲ 1.30% PAGSEGURO 9.32 — 0.00% STONE 11.10 ▲ 0.45% GLOBANT 40.63 ▼ 2.78% TECNOGLASS 41.20 ▲ 0.78% GAP AIRPORT 244.11 ▼ 2.68% ASUR 308.72 ▼ 0.57% OMA AIRPORT 104.65 ▼ 0.46% AMX ADR 26.33 ▼ 1.31% FEMSA ADR 121.40 ▼ 0.12% CEMEX ADR 12.58 ▼ 0.71% PETROBRAS ADR 20.03 ▲ 1.01% VALE ADR 16.47 ▲ 0.73% ITAU ADR 8.01 ▲ 0.82% SANTANDER BR 5.56 ▲ 0.54% AMBEV ADR 3.27 ▲ 1.24% CSN 1.28 ▲ 2.40% GERDAU 4.70 ▲ 0.21% LATAM ADR 50.94 ▲ 1.13% BTC 77,178 ▼ 0.47% ETH 2,120 ▼ 0.54% SOL 87.05 ▼ 0.12% XRP 1.36 ▼ 0.79% BNB 658.24 ▲ 0.14% ADA 0.25 ▲ 0.38% DOGE 0.11 ▲ 0.19% AVAX 9.50 ▲ 0.62% LINK 9.78 ▲ 0.46% DOT 1.32 ▲ 2.58% LTC 54.23 ▲ 0.18% BCH 378.37 ▼ 0.57% TRX 0.36 ▼ 0.10% XLM 0.15 ▲ 0.50% HBAR 0.09 ▲ 0.15% NEAR 2.27 ▲ 18.02% ATOM 2.14 ▲ 4.35% AAVE 87.97 ▼ 0.02% SELIC 14.50% EMBRAER 70.81 ▲ 0.61% EMBRAER ADR 56.52 ▲ 0.07% JBS 13.28 ▲ 2.95% JBS BDR 65.95 ▲ 2.93% MBRF3 17.30 ▼ 2.09% MBRFY 3.33 ▼ 6.46% INTER 6.40 ▲ 3.56%
since 2009
Friday, May 22, 2026

Markets Crypto

Bitcoin Price Today Slips to $77,332 as Cuban Sells and HYPE Hits Record

By · May 22, 2026 · 4 min read
Summary

Bitcoin price today sits at $77,332 (−0.29%) after Thursday brought a controlled leverage flush, Mark Cuban disclosed he sold most of his BTC, and Hyperliquid’s HYPE printed a record near $62. The Ichimoku cluster at 77,970 caps every rally; the $75K–77K HashKey support line decides the next move. Long-term-holder supply just hit 16.3M.

The Big Three

1.
BTC closed Thursday at $77,332 (−0.29%), low $77,266, after CoinDesk-tracked leverage flushed both longs and shorts in the 76,685–78,124 band. HashKey’s Tim Sun flagged $75K–77K as the line that decides whether this is a flush or the start of a deeper move; funding stayed subdued through the wash, signalling de-risking, not capitulation.
2.
MACD histogram flipped red at −560 with line 96 cutting below signal 656 — the first clean bearish cross since the May 4 breakout above $80K. RSI fast 46.81 is below the slow 53.55, and the Kijun/cloud cluster at 77,970/78,873/78,948 is now a wall of overhead supply. The 200-DMA at 79,354 is the bigger pivot.
3.
Cuban sold most of his Bitcoin, telling Front Office Sports that BTC “lost the plot” as gold ran to $4,548 and BTC fell 38.4% from its $126,080 October ATH. Counter-signal: CheckOnChain shows long-term-holder supply has surged past 16.3M BTC, breaking a multi-year downtrend — retail capitulates, conviction holders accumulate.
BTC/USD
$77,332
−0.29%
ETH/USD
$2,130.87
−0.66%
HYPE
$57.92
ATH $62.14
MACD HIST
−560
Bearish cross

02 Perpetuals Board

Pair Price 24h Volume
BTCUSDT 77,476.3 −0.77% $2.57B
ETHUSDT 2,130.87 −0.66% $1.56B
HYPEUSDT 57.92 −1.10% $355M
SOLUSDT 87.28 +0.24% $282M
XAUUSDT 4,532.21 −0.11% $260M
XAGUSDT 76.26 +0.94% $210M
ZECUSDT 653.48 −2.32% $77M
NEARUSDT 2.27 +29.6% $102M
Source: Bybit perpetuals feed, CoinDesk, TradingView. Snapshot: May 22, 2026 06:43 UTC.
Live Market IntelligenceCrypto — Live Market BoardInside: market breadth, the sector heatmap, currencies & rates, the Latin America scoreboard and the full instrument board.

Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence

Crypto — Live Market Board

Digital assets
May 22, 2026 · 06:22

Bitcoin · benchmark
77,178
-0.47%
L 77,238day rangeH 77,808

-30.91% over 12 months

Market breadth · 17 names
65% advancing

11 ▲ advancing6 declining ▼

Currencies, rates & key inputs
Ethereum
2,120
-0.54%

Solana
87.05
-0.12%

Gold
4,523
-0.37%

USD / BRL
5.00
-0.06%

Full instrument board
Instrument Last Change YoY Prev. High Low Volume
BTC 77,178 -0.47% -30.91% 77,539 77,808 77,238 26,106,742,784
ETH 2,120 -0.54% -20.45% 2,131 2,138 2,121 13,682,777,088
SOL 87.05 -0.12% -51.57% 87.16 87.37 86.51 3,658,630,400
XRP 1.36 -0.79% -43.99% 1.37 1.37 1.36 1,753,225,216
BNB 658.24 +0.14% -4.03% 657.35 660.18 655.12 1,260,467,584
ADA 0.25 +0.38% -68.92% 0.25 0.25 0.25 400,593,920
DOGE 0.11 +0.19% -56.88% 0.11 0.11 0.10 769,207,808
AVAX 9.50 +0.62% -62.36% 9.44 9.55 9.38 306,795,648
LINK 9.78 +0.46% -41.56% 9.74 9.85 9.71 331,268,000
DOT 1.32 +2.58% -73.29% 1.29 1.33 1.28 159,090,976
LTC 54.23 +0.18% -45.92% 54.13 54.47 54.02 272,056,320
BCH 378.37 -0.57% -14.72% 380.53 380.47 377.30 397,179,520
TRX 0.36 -0.10% +32.40% 0.37 0.37 0.36 811,317,504
XLM 0.15 +0.50% -51.58% 0.15 0.15 0.15 98,788,080
HBAR 0.09 +0.15% -56.05% 0.09 0.09 0.09 55,311,984
NEAR 2.27 +18.02% -26.33% 1.92 2.27 1.92 962,283,200
ATOM 2.14 +4.35% -59.00% 2.05 2.16 2.04 53,091,212
AAVE 87.97 -0.02% -65.75% 87.99 88.32 87.42 188,598,448

Largest moves today
NEAR
2.27
+18.02%
ATOM
2.14
+4.35%
DOT
1.32
+2.58%
XRP
1.36
-0.79%
AVAX
9.50
+0.62%
BCH
378.37
-0.57%
ETH
2,120
-0.54%
XLM
0.15
+0.50%

The session read
The Bitcoin eased 0.47%, with breadth positive — 11 of 17 names higher. NEAR led, while XRP lagged.

03 Why It Slipped

Local Driver: Cuban capitulation lands as long-term holders accumulate

Mark Cuban’s admission that he sold most of his BTC — delivered on the Front Office Sports “Portfolio Players” podcast Thursday — crystallised the lost-decade narrative: gold ran to $4,548, BTC fell 38.4% off its $126,080 October ATH, and the hedge thesis broke. Harvard liquidated its ETH stake the same day. Yet CheckOnChain’s long-term-holder supply just crossed 16.3M BTC, breaking a multi-year downtrend and signalling that conviction money is buying the headlines retail sells.

External Trigger: 30Y above 5%, Fed hike odds at 52%, fresh Iran deal report

The US 30-year yield broke above 5% and Polymarket-implied 2026 Fed hike odds reached 52% — a regime under which BTC has historically struggled. Axios reported another Iran peace-deal draft Thursday; Brent at $98 reflects the cooling oil-shock premium. The mix — sticky long rates, hot CPI, fading geopolitical risk — drains the liquidity-easing narrative BTC needs to retake the $80K breakout zone.

§04 · Market Commentary

The session was textbook dispersion. BTC and ETH drifted sub-1%, gold barely moved, and the alt board fractured: HYPE roared to a record $62.14 on $25.5M of US spot-ETF inflows, NEAR ripped +29.6% on protocol news, ZEC and QRL surged 25% on quantum-attack fears after a privacy-chain startup proposed a soft fork to freeze Satoshi’s dormant 1.1M BTC. The Block flagged HYPE as the day’s best-performing top-100 token by a wide margin — narrative leadership is rotating decisively away from BTC into perp-DEX and privacy names.

The structural read is harder. Deribit’s BTC open interest now exceeds BlackRock’s IBIT at $31.3B as traders crowd into $82K calls ahead of the May 29 expiry, with $75K max-pain pulling the other way — a $6B showdown. Coinbase premium hit a monthly low on institutional selling, Blockchain.com filed for IPO, and Binance launched SpaceX pre-IPO perps. Plumbing builds out while spot sells off; that is what a leverage-flush bottom looks like, but never feels like.

05 Technical Snapshot

BTC/USD daily chart, Bitstamp: close $77,332 (-0.29%), low 77,266, sitting at Ichimoku/Kijun cluster 77,970, 200-DMA 79,354 overhead, MACD histogram -560 bearish cross (line 96, signal 656), RSI fast 46.81 / slow 53.55.

BTC/USD daily, Bitstamp. TradingView · May 22, 2026 06:43 UTC

BTC at 77,332 sits inside the dense Kijun/cloud-top stack at 77,970/78,873/78,948 — the wall that capped Wednesday’s rejection and now sits as overhead supply. The 200-DMA at 79,354 is the structural pivot a recovery has to reclaim. Lower-cloud edge 76,425 and 50-DMA 75,968 mark the immediate floor; HashKey’s 75K–77K band is the line of last defense before 74,265 BB-lower opens up. MACD histogram −560 with line below signal is a fresh bearish cross.

Resistance: 77,970 (Kijun) · 78,873/78,948 (cloud top, BB mid) · 79,354 (200-DMA) · 80,795 (May 4 breakout)
Support: 76,425 (cloud bottom) · 75,968 (50-DMA) · 75K (HashKey line) · 74,265 (BB lower)
Invalidation: Daily close below 74,265 opens the February low $65–68K zone.

06 Forward Look

Today · US data & Fed-speak
Existing-home sales and three Fed speakers; any hawkish dissent puts 5%+ on the 30Y back in play.
May 29 · Deribit $6B BTC options expiry
$82K call wall vs $75K max pain — the binary that decides the May tape.
Rolling · Iran one-page deal
Axios-reported draft pulls oil; durable de-escalation reduces gold’s share of the hedge bid.
June 17–18 · FOMC
Polymarket odds for a hike sit at 52%; a hold-with-hawkish-dots is the most likely outcome.

07 Questions & Answers

Is the Cuban sale a bottom signal?
Historically, high-profile billionaire capitulations have clustered near interim lows, but never on the day itself. The signal is sentiment, not price.
Why is HYPE rallying while BTC drifts?
Bitwise BHYP and 21Shares THYP spot ETFs pulled $25.5M Wednesday — the largest day since their May 12 launch — on real perp-DEX revenue, not hype.
What invalidates the leverage-flush thesis?
A daily close below 74,265 with funding flipping deeply negative would reframe the move as the start of a deeper trend, not a flush.

Verdict

BTC is range-bound between HashKey’s $75K–$77K support and the Kijun/200-DMA wall at $77,970–$79,354. Cuban’s sale is the loudest retail-grade capitulation since February, yet long-term-holder supply is at a multi-year high. HYPE’s record cements the rotation: capital is flowing to revenue-generative protocols, not hedge proxies. The May 29 Deribit expiry is the binary.

Related: May 19 BTC report · ETF outflow week · LATAM crypto guide.

Binary in 7 days: May 29 expiry, $75K vs $82K, settles the spring tape.

Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Markets carry risk; consult a licensed professional before trading.

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