IBOV 173,371.35 ▼ 0.20% IPSA 10,896.87 ▲ 0.10% IPC MEX 66,122.78 ▼ 0.74% MERVAL 3,223,652 ▲ 0.74% COLCAP 2,298.34 — 0.00% BVL PERÚ 55,645.90 — — USD/BRL5.09▼ 0.38% USD/MXN17.40▼ 0.77% USD/CLP933.60▼ 0.15% USD/COP3,255▼ 0.08% USD/PEN3.39▲ 0.09% USD/ARS1,481▲ 0.17% USD/UYU40.19▼ 0.10% USD/PYG6,031▼ 0.03% USD/BOB10.75▲ 0.94% USD/DOP58.31▲ 0.12% USD/CRC447.35▲ 0.28% USD/GTQ7.62▼ 0.05% USD/HNL26.74— 0.00% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES735.09▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.79▲ 0.13% USD/TTD6.73▼ 0.21% EUR/BRL5.81▼ 0.55% BRENT 88.55 ▲ 0.51% WTI 82.31 ▼ 0.22% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.36 ▲ 2.28% GOLD 4,029 ▲ 0.39% SILVER 57.16 ▲ 1.99% SOY 1,223 ▲ 1.52% CORN 471.00 ▲ 5.90% WHEAT 675.25 ▼ 1.10% COFFEE 323.50 ▼ 1.51% SUGAR 14.81 ▼ 0.13% ORANGE JUICE 146.90 ▲ 6.30% COTTON 78.88 ▲ 2.35% COCOA 5,507 ▼ 0.47% BEEF 223.30 ▼ 0.50% CATTLE 346.78 ▲ 0.24% LITHIUM 66.92 ▼ 2.14% PETR4 41.15 ▲ 0.61% VALE3 71.93 ▼ 1.38% ITUB4 42.30 ▲ 0.81% BBDC4 18.41 ▲ 0.66% ABEV3 15.79 ▲ 1.02% BBAS3 20.17 ▼ 1.56% B3SA3 15.26 ▲ 0.39% WEGE3 43.13 ▼ 1.15% PRIO3 57.69 ▼ 0.28% SUZB3 41.89 ▼ 0.10% RENT3 37.49 ▼ 1.94% AZZA3 18.17 ▼ 2.26% CSAN3 3.82 ▼ 0.52% RAIZ4 0.27 ▼ 6.90% PCAR3 2.60 — 0.00% GMAT3 3.85 ▼ 0.77% PSSA3 54.20 ▼ 1.70% CVCB3 1.08 ▼ 11.48% POSI3 3.70 ▼ 2.63% SLCE3 13.57 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.63 ▲ 0.94% BRKM5 5.94 ▼ 4.04% RANI3 7.99 ▲ 0.50% CSNA3 5.07 ▲ 0.40% CMIN3 5.39 ▲ 1.13% USIM5 8.16 ▼ 0.85% GGBR4 23.62 ▼ 1.75% ENEV3 25.65 ▼ 0.12% CPFE3 46.32 ▼ 1.17% CMIG4 11.02 ▼ 0.90% EQTL3 39.29 ▼ 0.53% LREN3 13.31 ▼ 0.82% VIVT3 35.67 ▲ 0.42% RAIL3 13.57 ▼ 0.95% KLABIN 17.48 ▼ 0.57% RAIA DROGASIL 18.69 ▲ 0.75% RDOR3 35.45 ▼ 0.92% HAPV3 11.55 ▲ 1.49% FLRY3 16.56 ▼ 0.18% SMTO3 15.41 ▼ 0.26% UGPA3 31.70 ▼ 1.15% VBBR3 34.11 ▼ 2.32% BBSE3 41.05 ▼ 0.17% BPAC11 55.84 ▼ 0.61% CURY3 30.19 ▼ 1.57% AERI3 2.07 ▲ 2.48% VIVARA 21.96 ▼ 2.14% COMPASS 24.60 ▼ 1.13% VAMOS 3.09 ▼ 2.52% SANB11 27.01 ▲ 1.35% ASAI3 8.14 ▼ 4.24% SBSP3 28.98 ▼ 0.82% WALMEX 49.38 ▼ 0.22% GMEXICO 201.45 ▲ 0.42% FEMSA 226.85 ▲ 0.49% CEMEX 21.81 ▼ 4.05% GFNORTE 180.00 ▼ 0.74% BIMBO 59.31 ▲ 2.26% TELEVISA 9.71 ▲ 1.46% AMX 22.74 ▼ 1.13% GAP 378.19 ▼ 2.02% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA 226.42 ▼ 1.82% KOF 180.95 ▲ 0.11% GRUMA 287.60 ▲ 0.39% KIMBER 38.39 ▼ 0.72% SQM-B 63,400 ▼ 3.13% COPEC 6,345 ▲ 1.53% BSANTANDER 78.90 ▲ 2.47% FALABELLA 5,850 ▲ 0.26% ENELAM 84.67 ▲ 0.75% CENCOSUD 2,005 ▲ 0.50% CMPC 1,088 ▲ 1.68% BANCO CHILE 189.95 ▲ 0.77% LATAM AIR 24.36 ▼ 1.62% YPF 79,200 ▲ 1.67% GGAL 7,845 ▼ 0.19% PAMPA 5,270 ▲ 1.93% TXAR 675.00 ▲ 1.66% ALUAR 959.50 ▲ 1.05% TGS 9,500 ▲ 1.39% CEPU 2,289 ▲ 1.10% MIRGOR 17,125 ▲ 1.48% COME 42.95 ▼ 2.03% LOMA NEGRA 3,558 ▲ 0.99% BYMA 293.75 ▼ 1.34% TELECOM ARG 4,145 ▼ 0.12% ECOPETROL 16.04 ▼ 0.34% BANCOLOMBIA 80.82 ▲ 0.51% GRUPO AVAL 4.95 ▲ 0.61% CREDICORP 386.85 ▼ 0.96% SOUTHERN COPPER 175.07 ▲ 1.50% BUENAVENTURA 30.06 ▼ 0.60% MERCADOLIBRE 1,832 ▲ 1.02% NUBANK 13.99 ▲ 2.94% XP 16.80 ▲ 0.78% PAGSEGURO 9.29 ▲ 2.77% STONE 11.12 ▼ 0.27% GLOBANT 32.29 ▲ 0.19% TECNOGLASS 46.11 ▼ 0.80% GAP AIRPORT 217.12 ▼ 1.72% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA AIRPORT 104.01 ▼ 1.23% AMX ADR 26.10 ▼ 0.65% FEMSA ADR 130.01 ▲ 0.77% CEMEX ADR 12.49 ▼ 3.70% PETROBRAS ADR 18.19 ▲ 1.22% VALE ADR 14.10 ▼ 0.63% ITAU ADR 8.32 ▲ 1.46% SANTANDER BR 5.38 ▲ 2.67% AMBEV ADR 3.08 ▲ 1.65% CSN 1.01 ▲ 2.02% GERDAU 4.68 ▼ 0.85% LATAM ADR 51.74 ▼ 1.56% BTC 65,264 ▲ 0.89% ETH 1,907 ▲ 1.92% SOL 77.80 ▲ 1.89% XRP 1.11 ▲ 1.59% BNB 572.04 ▲ 0.29% ADA 0.17 ▲ 2.30% DOGE 0.07 ▼ 0.14% AVAX 6.60 ▲ 2.23% LINK 8.59 ▲ 2.58% DOT 0.83 ▲ 1.07% LTC 47.21 ▲ 0.36% BCH 220.87 ▲ 2.79% TRX 0.33 ▼ 0.39% XLM 0.19 ▼ 0.39% HBAR 0.07 ▲ 0.29% NEAR 1.99 ▲ 4.15% ATOM 1.49 ▲ 0.68% AAVE 90.38 ▲ 1.17% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 83.29 ▲ 1.88% EMBRAER ADR 65.93 ▲ 2.87% JBS 12.03 ▲ 1.01% JBS BDR 60.79 ▲ 0.98% MBRF3 14.52 ▼ 3.39% MBRFY 2.91 — 0.00% INTER 5.62 ▲ 4.66% IBOV 173,371.35 ▼ 0.20% IPSA 10,896.87 ▲ 0.10% IPC MEX 66,122.78 ▼ 0.74% MERVAL 3,223,652 ▲ 0.74% COLCAP 2,298.34 — 0.00% BVL PERÚ 55,645.90 — — USD/BRL 5.09 ▼ 0.38% USD/MXN 17.40 ▼ 0.77% USD/CLP 933.60 ▼ 0.15% USD/COP 3,255 ▼ 0.08% USD/PEN 3.39 ▲ 0.09% USD/ARS 1,481 ▲ 0.17% USD/UYU 40.19 ▼ 0.10% USD/PYG 6,031 ▼ 0.03% USD/BOB 10.75 ▲ 0.94% USD/DOP 58.31 ▲ 0.12% USD/CRC 447.35 ▲ 0.28% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▼ 0.05% USD/HNL 26.74 ▲ 0.00% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES 735.09 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.79 ▲ 0.49% USD/TTD 6.73 ▲ 0.96% EUR/BRL 5.81 ▼ 0.55% BRENT 88.55 ▲ 0.51% WTI 82.31 ▼ 0.22% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.36 ▲ 2.28% GOLD 4,029 ▲ 0.39% SILVER 57.16 ▲ 1.99% SOY 1,223 ▲ 1.52% CORN 471.00 ▲ 5.90% WHEAT 675.25 ▼ 1.10% COFFEE 323.50 ▼ 1.51% SUGAR 14.81 ▼ 0.13% ORANGE JUICE 146.90 ▲ 6.30% COTTON 78.88 ▲ 2.35% COCOA 5,507 ▼ 0.47% BEEF 223.30 ▼ 0.50% CATTLE 346.78 ▲ 0.24% LITHIUM 66.92 ▼ 2.14% PETR4 41.15 ▲ 0.61% VALE3 71.93 ▼ 1.38% ITUB4 42.30 ▲ 0.81% BBDC4 18.41 ▲ 0.66% ABEV3 15.79 ▲ 1.02% BBAS3 20.17 ▼ 1.56% B3SA3 15.26 ▲ 0.39% WEGE3 43.13 ▼ 1.15% PRIO3 57.69 ▼ 0.28% SUZB3 41.89 ▼ 0.10% RENT3 37.49 ▼ 1.94% AZZA3 18.17 ▼ 2.26% CSAN3 3.82 ▼ 0.52% RAIZ4 0.27 ▼ 6.90% PCAR3 2.60 — 0.00% GMAT3 3.85 ▼ 0.77% PSSA3 54.20 ▼ 1.70% CVCB3 1.08 ▼ 11.48% POSI3 3.70 ▼ 2.63% SLCE3 13.57 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.63 ▲ 0.94% BRKM5 5.94 ▼ 4.04% RANI3 7.99 ▲ 0.50% CSNA3 5.07 ▲ 0.40% CMIN3 5.39 ▲ 1.13% USIM5 8.16 ▼ 0.85% GGBR4 23.62 ▼ 1.75% ENEV3 25.65 ▼ 0.12% CPFE3 46.32 ▼ 1.17% CMIG4 11.02 ▼ 0.90% EQTL3 39.29 ▼ 0.53% LREN3 13.31 ▼ 0.82% VIVT3 35.67 ▲ 0.42% RAIL3 13.57 ▼ 0.95% KLABIN 17.48 ▼ 0.57% RAIA DROGASIL 18.69 ▲ 0.75% RDOR3 35.45 ▼ 0.92% HAPV3 11.55 ▲ 1.49% FLRY3 16.56 ▼ 0.18% SMTO3 15.41 ▼ 0.26% UGPA3 31.70 ▼ 1.15% VBBR3 34.11 ▼ 2.32% BBSE3 41.05 ▼ 0.17% BPAC11 55.84 ▼ 0.61% CURY3 30.19 ▼ 1.57% AERI3 2.07 ▲ 2.48% VIVARA 21.96 ▼ 2.14% COMPASS 24.60 ▼ 1.13% VAMOS 3.09 ▼ 2.52% SANB11 27.01 ▲ 1.35% ASAI3 8.14 ▼ 4.24% SBSP3 28.98 ▼ 0.82% WALMEX 49.38 ▼ 0.22% GMEXICO 201.45 ▲ 0.42% FEMSA 226.85 ▲ 0.49% CEMEX 21.81 ▼ 4.05% GFNORTE 180.00 ▼ 0.74% BIMBO 59.31 ▲ 2.26% TELEVISA 9.71 ▲ 1.46% AMX 22.74 ▼ 1.13% GAP 378.19 ▼ 2.02% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA 226.42 ▼ 1.82% KOF 180.95 ▲ 0.11% GRUMA 287.60 ▲ 0.39% KIMBER 38.39 ▼ 0.72% SQM-B 63,400 ▼ 3.13% COPEC 6,345 ▲ 1.53% BSANTANDER 78.90 ▲ 2.47% FALABELLA 5,850 ▲ 0.26% ENELAM 84.67 ▲ 0.75% CENCOSUD 2,005 ▲ 0.50% CMPC 1,088 ▲ 1.68% BANCO CHILE 189.95 ▲ 0.77% LATAM AIR 24.36 ▼ 1.62% YPF 79,200 ▲ 1.67% GGAL 7,845 ▼ 0.19% PAMPA 5,270 ▲ 1.93% TXAR 675.00 ▲ 1.66% ALUAR 959.50 ▲ 1.05% TGS 9,500 ▲ 1.39% CEPU 2,289 ▲ 1.10% MIRGOR 17,125 ▲ 1.48% COME 42.95 ▼ 2.03% LOMA NEGRA 3,558 ▲ 0.99% BYMA 293.75 ▼ 1.34% TELECOM ARG 4,145 ▼ 0.12% ECOPETROL 16.04 ▼ 0.34% BANCOLOMBIA 80.82 ▲ 0.51% GRUPO AVAL 4.95 ▲ 0.61% CREDICORP 386.85 ▼ 0.96% SOUTHERN COPPER 175.07 ▲ 1.50% BUENAVENTURA 30.06 ▼ 0.60% MERCADOLIBRE 1,832 ▲ 1.02% NUBANK 13.99 ▲ 2.94% XP 16.80 ▲ 0.78% PAGSEGURO 9.29 ▲ 2.77% STONE 11.12 ▼ 0.27% GLOBANT 32.29 ▲ 0.19% TECNOGLASS 46.11 ▼ 0.80% GAP AIRPORT 217.12 ▼ 1.72% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA AIRPORT 104.01 ▼ 1.23% AMX ADR 26.10 ▼ 0.65% FEMSA ADR 130.01 ▲ 0.77% CEMEX ADR 12.49 ▼ 3.70% PETROBRAS ADR 18.19 ▲ 1.22% VALE ADR 14.10 ▼ 0.63% ITAU ADR 8.32 ▲ 1.46% SANTANDER BR 5.38 ▲ 2.67% AMBEV ADR 3.08 ▲ 1.65% CSN 1.01 ▲ 2.02% GERDAU 4.68 ▼ 0.85% LATAM ADR 51.74 ▼ 1.56% BTC 65,264 ▲ 0.89% ETH 1,907 ▲ 1.92% SOL 77.80 ▲ 1.89% XRP 1.11 ▲ 1.59% BNB 572.04 ▲ 0.29% ADA 0.17 ▲ 2.30% DOGE 0.07 ▼ 0.14% AVAX 6.60 ▲ 2.23% LINK 8.59 ▲ 2.58% DOT 0.83 ▲ 1.07% LTC 47.21 ▲ 0.36% BCH 220.87 ▲ 2.79% TRX 0.33 ▼ 0.39% XLM 0.19 ▼ 0.39% HBAR 0.07 ▲ 0.29% NEAR 1.99 ▲ 4.15% ATOM 1.49 ▲ 0.68% AAVE 90.38 ▲ 1.17% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 83.29 ▲ 1.88% EMBRAER ADR 65.93 ▲ 2.87% JBS 12.03 ▲ 1.01% JBS BDR 60.79 ▲ 0.98% MBRF3 14.52 ▼ 3.39% MBRFY 2.91 — 0.00% INTER 5.62 ▲ 4.66%
since 2009
Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Markets Crypto

Bitcoin Price Today Slips to $77,332 as Cuban Sells and HYPE Hits Record

By · May 22, 2026 · 4 min read

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Summary

Bitcoin price today sits at $77,332 (−0.29%) after Thursday brought a controlled leverage flush, Mark Cuban disclosed he sold most of his BTC, and Hyperliquid’s HYPE printed a record near $62. The Ichimoku cluster at 77,970 caps every rally; the $75K–77K HashKey support line decides the next move. Long-term-holder supply just hit 16.3M.

The Big Three

1.
BTC closed Thursday at $77,332 (−0.29%), low $77,266, after CoinDesk-tracked leverage flushed both longs and shorts in the 76,685–78,124 band. HashKey’s Tim Sun flagged $75K–77K as the line that decides whether this is a flush or the start of a deeper move; funding stayed subdued through the wash, signalling de-risking, not capitulation.
2.
MACD histogram flipped red at −560 with line 96 cutting below signal 656 — the first clean bearish cross since the May 4 breakout above $80K. RSI fast 46.81 is below the slow 53.55, and the Kijun/cloud cluster at 77,970/78,873/78,948 is now a wall of overhead supply. The 200-DMA at 79,354 is the bigger pivot.
3.
Cuban sold most of his Bitcoin, telling Front Office Sports that BTC “lost the plot” as gold ran to $4,548 and BTC fell 38.4% from its $126,080 October ATH. Counter-signal: CheckOnChain shows long-term-holder supply has surged past 16.3M BTC, breaking a multi-year downtrend — retail capitulates, conviction holders accumulate.
BTC/USD
$77,332
−0.29%
ETH/USD
$2,130.87
−0.66%
HYPE
$57.92
ATH $62.14
MACD HIST
−560
Bearish cross

02 Perpetuals Board

Pair Price 24h Volume
BTCUSDT 77,476.3 −0.77% $2.57B
ETHUSDT 2,130.87 −0.66% $1.56B
HYPEUSDT 57.92 −1.10% $355M
SOLUSDT 87.28 +0.24% $282M
XAUUSDT 4,532.21 −0.11% $260M
XAGUSDT 76.26 +0.94% $210M
ZECUSDT 653.48 −2.32% $77M
NEARUSDT 2.27 +29.6% $102M
Source: Bybit perpetuals feed, CoinDesk, TradingView. Snapshot: May 22, 2026 06:43 UTC.
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Crypto — Live Market Board

Digital assets
Jul 20, 2026 · 23:26

Bitcoin · benchmark
65,264
+0.89%
L 65,152day rangeH 65,591

-44.43% over 12 months

Market breadth · 17 names
82% advancing

14 ▲ advancing3 declining ▼

Currencies, rates & key inputs
Ethereum
1,907
+1.92%

Solana
77.80
+1.89%

Gold
4,029
+0.39%

USD / BRL
5.09
-0.38%

Full instrument board
Instrument Last Change YoY Prev. High Low Volume
BTC 65,264 +0.89% -44.43% 64,691 65,591 65,152 30,590,232,576
ETH 1,907 +1.92% -49.32% 1,872 1,916 1,901 11,673,574,400
SOL 77.80 +1.89% -60.29% 76.36 78.18 77.67 2,008,418,176
XRP 1.11 +1.59% -68.68% 1.10 1.12 1.11 1,202,358,272
BNB 572.04 +0.29% -25.40% 570.40 573.38 570.66 1,076,841,728
ADA 0.17 +2.30% -80.93% 0.17 0.17 0.17 397,462,240
DOGE 0.07 -0.14% -73.44% 0.07 0.07 0.07 677,944,192
AVAX 6.60 +2.23% -74.07% 6.46 6.62 6.57 282,183,104
LINK 8.59 +2.58% -56.04% 8.37 8.62 8.57 235,680,912
DOT 0.83 +1.07% -81.66% 0.82 0.83 0.83 86,750,088
LTC 47.21 +0.36% -59.25% 47.04 47.42 47.15 295,131,360
BCH 220.87 +2.79% -57.82% 214.88 221.05 219.72 108,802,144
TRX 0.33 -0.39% +3.62% 0.33 0.33 0.33 404,405,792
XLM 0.19 -0.39% -60.44% 0.19 0.19 0.19 138,651,024
HBAR 0.07 +0.29% -75.43% 0.07 0.07 0.07 42,938,068
NEAR 1.99 +4.15% -34.13% 1.91 2.00 1.97 196,587,264
ATOM 1.49 +0.68% -71.40% 1.47 1.50 1.49 27,564,922
AAVE 90.38 +1.17% -71.97% 89.33 90.96 89.73 181,012,896

Largest moves today
NEAR
1.99
+4.15%
BCH
220.87
+2.79%
LINK
8.59
+2.58%
ADA
0.17
+2.30%
AVAX
6.60
+2.23%
ETH
1,907
+1.92%
SOL
77.80
+1.89%
XRP
1.11
+1.59%

The session read
The Bitcoin rose 0.89%, with breadth positive — 14 of 17 names higher. NEAR led, while TRX lagged.

03 Why It Slipped

Local Driver: Cuban capitulation lands as long-term holders accumulate

Mark Cuban’s admission that he sold most of his BTC — delivered on the Front Office Sports “Portfolio Players” podcast Thursday — crystallised the lost-decade narrative: gold ran to $4,548, BTC fell 38.4% off its $126,080 October ATH, and the hedge thesis broke. Harvard liquidated its ETH stake the same day. Yet CheckOnChain’s long-term-holder supply just crossed 16.3M BTC, breaking a multi-year downtrend and signalling that conviction money is buying the headlines retail sells.

External Trigger: 30Y above 5%, Fed hike odds at 52%, fresh Iran deal report

The US 30-year yield broke above 5% and Polymarket-implied 2026 Fed hike odds reached 52% — a regime under which BTC has historically struggled. Axios reported another Iran peace-deal draft Thursday; Brent at $98 reflects the cooling oil-shock premium. The mix — sticky long rates, hot CPI, fading geopolitical risk — drains the liquidity-easing narrative BTC needs to retake the $80K breakout zone.

§04 · Market Commentary

The session was textbook dispersion. BTC and ETH drifted sub-1%, gold barely moved, and the alt board fractured: HYPE roared to a record $62.14 on $25.5M of US spot-ETF inflows, NEAR ripped +29.6% on protocol news, ZEC and QRL surged 25% on quantum-attack fears after a privacy-chain startup proposed a soft fork to freeze Satoshi’s dormant 1.1M BTC. The Block flagged HYPE as the day’s best-performing top-100 token by a wide margin — narrative leadership is rotating decisively away from BTC into perp-DEX and privacy names.

The structural read is harder. Deribit’s BTC open interest now exceeds BlackRock’s IBIT at $31.3B as traders crowd into $82K calls ahead of the May 29 expiry, with $75K max-pain pulling the other way — a $6B showdown. Coinbase premium hit a monthly low on institutional selling, Blockchain.com filed for IPO, and Binance launched SpaceX pre-IPO perps. Plumbing builds out while spot sells off; that is what a leverage-flush bottom looks like, but never feels like.

05 Technical Snapshot

BTC/USD daily chart, Bitstamp: close $77,332 (-0.29%), low 77,266, sitting at Ichimoku/Kijun cluster 77,970, 200-DMA 79,354 overhead, MACD histogram -560 bearish cross (line 96, signal 656), RSI fast 46.81 / slow 53.55.

BTC/USD daily, Bitstamp. TradingView · May 22, 2026 06:43 UTC

BTC at 77,332 sits inside the dense Kijun/cloud-top stack at 77,970/78,873/78,948 — the wall that capped Wednesday’s rejection and now sits as overhead supply. The 200-DMA at 79,354 is the structural pivot a recovery has to reclaim. Lower-cloud edge 76,425 and 50-DMA 75,968 mark the immediate floor; HashKey’s 75K–77K band is the line of last defense before 74,265 BB-lower opens up. MACD histogram −560 with line below signal is a fresh bearish cross.

Resistance: 77,970 (Kijun) · 78,873/78,948 (cloud top, BB mid) · 79,354 (200-DMA) · 80,795 (May 4 breakout)
Support: 76,425 (cloud bottom) · 75,968 (50-DMA) · 75K (HashKey line) · 74,265 (BB lower)
Invalidation: Daily close below 74,265 opens the February low $65–68K zone.

06 Forward Look

Today · US data & Fed-speak
Existing-home sales and three Fed speakers; any hawkish dissent puts 5%+ on the 30Y back in play.
May 29 · Deribit $6B BTC options expiry
$82K call wall vs $75K max pain — the binary that decides the May tape.
Rolling · Iran one-page deal
Axios-reported draft pulls oil; durable de-escalation reduces gold’s share of the hedge bid.
June 17–18 · FOMC
Polymarket odds for a hike sit at 52%; a hold-with-hawkish-dots is the most likely outcome.

07 Questions & Answers

Is the Cuban sale a bottom signal?
Historically, high-profile billionaire capitulations have clustered near interim lows, but never on the day itself. The signal is sentiment, not price.
Why is HYPE rallying while BTC drifts?
Bitwise BHYP and 21Shares THYP spot ETFs pulled $25.5M Wednesday — the largest day since their May 12 launch — on real perp-DEX revenue, not hype.
What invalidates the leverage-flush thesis?
A daily close below 74,265 with funding flipping deeply negative would reframe the move as the start of a deeper trend, not a flush.

Verdict

BTC is range-bound between HashKey’s $75K–$77K support and the Kijun/200-DMA wall at $77,970–$79,354. Cuban’s sale is the loudest retail-grade capitulation since February, yet long-term-holder supply is at a multi-year high. HYPE’s record cements the rotation: capital is flowing to revenue-generative protocols, not hedge proxies. The May 29 Deribit expiry is the binary.

Related: May 19 BTC report · ETF outflow week · LATAM crypto guide.

Binary in 7 days: May 29 expiry, $75K vs $82K, settles the spring tape.

Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Markets carry risk; consult a licensed professional before trading.

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