IBOV 177,816 ▲ 0.91% IPSA 10,826 ▲ 2.48% IPC MEX 68,261 ▼ 0.11% MERVAL 2,846,220 ▼ 1.08% COLCAP 2,118 ▼ 0.22% BVL PERÚ 19,767 ▲ 0.37% USD/BRL 5.02 ▼ 0.00% USD/MXN 17.29 ▲ 0.07% USD/CLP 893.70 ▼ 0.20% USD/COP 3,632 ▼ 1.31% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.36% USD/ARS 1,399 ▼ 0.14% USD/UYU 39.96 ▲ 1.49% USD/PYG 6,158 ▲ 3.31% USD/BOB 6.86 ▲ 2.19% USD/DOP 58.67 ▲ 1.08% USD/CRC 449.07 ▼ 0.64% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.56% USD/HNL 26.62 ▲ 2.06% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 1.03% USD/VES 534.05 ▲ 0.79% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.57% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 2.00% USD/JMD 156.59 ▲ 0.54% USD/TTD 6.72 ▲ 1.24% EUR/BRL 5.84 ▼ 0.08% BRENT 96.53 ▼ 6.77% WTI 92.99 ▼ 3.74% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.39 ▲ 0.68% GOLD 4,525 ▲ 0.10% SILVER 76.42 ▲ 0.69% SOY 1,192 ▼ 0.40% CORN 461.50 ▼ 0.38% WHEAT 642.50 ▼ 0.58% COFFEE 262.95 ▼ 3.45% SUGAR 14.52 ▼ 1.22% ORANGE JUICE 166.80 ▲ 0.12% COTTON 78.37 ▲ 1.23% COCOA 3,939 ▲ 3.77% BEEF 239.60 ▼ 3.83% CATTLE 349.85 ▼ 5.22% LITHIUM 85.28 ▲ 1.07% PETR4 43.40 ▼ 2.43% VALE3 83.59 ▲ 0.59% ITUB4 40.32 ▲ 2.26% BBDC4 18.07 ▲ 2.55% ABEV3 16.40 ▲ 1.86% BBAS3 21.65 ▲ 3.39% B3SA3 17.26 ▲ 3.60% WEGE3 43.31 ▲ 1.36% PRIO3 64.31 ▼ 5.98% SUZB3 41.41 ▼ 0.70% RENT3 44.90 ▲ 3.58% AZZA3 20.89 ▲ 0.82% CSAN3 4.39 ▲ 2.33% RAIZ4 0.41 ▲ 5.13% PCAR3 2.07 ▼ 0.48% GMAT3 4.45 ▲ 1.37% PSSA3 49.24 ▲ 0.14% CVCB3 1.78 ▲ 0.57% POSI3 4.10 ▲ 0.99% SLCE3 16.22 ▲ 0.93% NATU3 10.53 ▲ 4.26% BRKM5 12.40 ▲ 3.59% RANI3 8.03 ▼ 0.62% CSNA3 6.72 ▼ 0.15% CMIN3 4.49 ▲ 0.22% USIM5 10.02 ▼ 3.19% GGBR4 24.18 ▲ 0.71% ENEV3 25.22 ▲ 1.04% NEOE3 33.80 — 0.00% CPFE3 43.30 ▼ 0.02% CMIG4 11.27 ▲ 0.45% EQTL3 38.50 ▲ 2.20% LREN3 15.41 ▲ 2.26% VIVT3 33.54 ▼ 0.05% RAIL3 14.36 ▲ 1.06% KLABIN 16.55 ▲ 0.55% RAIA DROGASIL 18.48 ▲ 1.59% RDOR3 34.51 ▲ 1.29% HAPV3 12.40 ▲ 2.90% FLRY3 15.92 ▲ 1.47% SMTO3 17.31 ▼ 1.65% UGPA3 28.44 ▼ 0.91% VBBR3 32.28 ▼ 1.44% BBSE3 34.62 ▲ 0.44% BPAC11 55.90 ▲ 3.65% CURY3 31.88 ▲ 4.42% AERI3 2.35 ▼ 2.08% VIVARA 22.73 ▲ 2.43% COMPASS 27.26 ▲ 1.34% VAMOS 3.37 ▲ 3.69% SANB11 27.64 ▲ 1.99% ASAI3 9.12 ▲ 8.06% SBSP3 29.10 ▲ 2.25% WALMEX 55.26 ▼ 0.52% GMEXICO 206.26 ▲ 0.59% FEMSA 210.75 ▲ 0.33% CEMEX 22.08 ▲ 1.28% GFNORTE 189.00 ▼ 0.92% BIMBO 57.81 ▼ 0.41% TELEVISA 9.65 ▼ 1.13% AMX 22.25 ▼ 2.15% GAP 426.00 ▲ 2.19% ASUR 301.76 ▼ 2.25% OMA 227.49 ▲ 2.33% KOF 187.98 ▲ 1.45% GRUMA 295.61 ▲ 0.96% KIMBER 37.65 ▲ 0.08% SQM-B 73,510 ▲ 2.17% COPEC 6,420 ▲ 0.32% BSANTANDER 71.58 ▲ 1.97% FALABELLA 5,929 ▲ 3.67% ENELAM 78.50 ▲ 1.95% CENCOSUD 2,200 ▲ 3.97% CMPC 1,145 ▲ 4.57% BANCO CHILE 172.21 ▲ 1.90% LATAM AIR 23.75 ▲ 5.14% YPF 71,025 — 0.00% GGAL 6,455 — 0.00% PAMPA 4,783 — 0.00% TXAR 634.00 — 0.00% ALUAR 938.50 — 0.00% TGS 8,685 — 0.00% CEPU 2,077 — 0.00% MIRGOR 16,350 — 0.00% COME 43.70 — 0.00% LOMA NEGRA 3,278 — 0.00% BYMA 285.25 — 0.00% TELECOM ARG 3,493 — 0.00% ECOPETROL 13.85 ▼ 0.07% BANCOLOMBIA 65.88 ▼ 0.66% GRUPO AVAL 4.23 ▼ 0.70% CREDICORP 334.30 ▼ 2.82% SOUTHERN COPPER 179.67 ▲ 0.31% BUENAVENTURA 33.46 ▼ 0.74% MERCADOLIBRE 1,664 ▼ 0.80% NUBANK 12.73 ▼ 3.27% XP 16.82 ▼ 6.14% PAGSEGURO 9.14 ▼ 1.93% STONE 11.00 ▼ 0.90% GLOBANT 40.13 ▼ 1.23% TECNOGLASS 41.16 ▼ 0.10% GAP AIRPORT 240.40 ▼ 1.52% ASUR 301.76 ▼ 2.25% OMA AIRPORT 103.21 ▼ 1.38% AMX ADR 26.14 ▼ 0.72% FEMSA ADR 121.28 ▼ 0.10% CEMEX ADR 12.56 ▼ 0.24% PETROBRAS ADR 19.90 ▼ 0.65% VALE ADR 16.48 ▲ 0.06% ITAU ADR 7.82 ▼ 2.25% SANTANDER BR 5.39 ▼ 3.06% AMBEV ADR 3.20 ▼ 2.14% CSN 1.35 ▲ 5.47% GERDAU 4.75 ▲ 1.06% LATAM ADR 49.89 ▼ 2.06% BTC 76,619 ▼ 0.86% ETH 2,095 ▼ 0.80% SOL 84.40 ▼ 0.72% XRP 1.34 ▼ 0.67% BNB 656.35 ▼ 0.90% ADA 0.24 ▼ 0.81% DOGE 0.10 ▼ 1.01% AVAX 9.27 ▼ 0.35% LINK 9.46 ▼ 0.36% DOT 1.26 ▼ 0.18% LTC 52.27 ▼ 0.73% BCH 348.63 ▼ 0.77% TRX 0.37 ▲ 0.64% XLM 0.15 ▼ 1.18% HBAR 0.09 ▼ 0.40% NEAR 2.70 ▼ 2.67% ATOM 2.16 ▲ 1.28% AAVE 86.43 ▲ 0.15% SELIC 14.50% EMBRAER 73.28 ▲ 1.31% EMBRAER ADR 57.58 ▲ 1.88% JBS 13.21 ▼ 0.53% JBS BDR 66.45 ▲ 0.32% MBRF3 16.24 ▼ 2.17% MBRFY 3.34 ▲ 0.30% INTER 6.16 ▼ 3.75% IBOV 177,816 ▲ 0.91% IPSA 10,826 ▲ 2.48% IPC MEX 68,261 ▼ 0.11% MERVAL 2,846,220 ▼ 1.08% COLCAP 2,118 ▼ 0.22% BVL PERÚ 19,767 ▲ 0.37% USD/BRL 5.02 ▼ 0.00% USD/MXN 17.29 ▲ 0.07% USD/CLP 893.70 ▼ 0.20% USD/COP 3,632 ▼ 1.31% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.36% USD/ARS 1,399 ▼ 0.14% USD/UYU 39.96 ▲ 1.49% USD/PYG 6,158 ▲ 3.31% USD/BOB 6.86 ▲ 2.19% USD/DOP 58.67 ▲ 1.08% USD/CRC 449.07 ▼ 0.64% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.56% USD/HNL 26.62 ▲ 2.06% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 1.03% USD/VES 534.05 ▲ 0.79% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.57% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 2.00% USD/JMD 156.59 ▲ 0.54% USD/TTD 6.72 ▲ 1.24% EUR/BRL 5.84 ▼ 0.08% BRENT 96.53 ▼ 6.77% WTI 92.99 ▼ 3.74% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.39 ▲ 0.68% GOLD 4,525 ▲ 0.10% SILVER 76.42 ▲ 0.69% SOY 1,192 ▼ 0.40% CORN 461.50 ▼ 0.38% WHEAT 642.50 ▼ 0.58% COFFEE 262.95 ▼ 3.45% SUGAR 14.52 ▼ 1.22% ORANGE JUICE 166.80 ▲ 0.12% COTTON 78.37 ▲ 1.23% COCOA 3,939 ▲ 3.77% BEEF 239.60 ▼ 3.83% CATTLE 349.85 ▼ 5.22% LITHIUM 85.28 ▲ 1.07% PETR4 43.40 ▼ 2.43% VALE3 83.59 ▲ 0.59% ITUB4 40.32 ▲ 2.26% BBDC4 18.07 ▲ 2.55% ABEV3 16.40 ▲ 1.86% BBAS3 21.65 ▲ 3.39% B3SA3 17.26 ▲ 3.60% WEGE3 43.31 ▲ 1.36% PRIO3 64.31 ▼ 5.98% SUZB3 41.41 ▼ 0.70% RENT3 44.90 ▲ 3.58% AZZA3 20.89 ▲ 0.82% CSAN3 4.39 ▲ 2.33% RAIZ4 0.41 ▲ 5.13% PCAR3 2.07 ▼ 0.48% GMAT3 4.45 ▲ 1.37% PSSA3 49.24 ▲ 0.14% CVCB3 1.78 ▲ 0.57% POSI3 4.10 ▲ 0.99% SLCE3 16.22 ▲ 0.93% NATU3 10.53 ▲ 4.26% BRKM5 12.40 ▲ 3.59% RANI3 8.03 ▼ 0.62% CSNA3 6.72 ▼ 0.15% CMIN3 4.49 ▲ 0.22% USIM5 10.02 ▼ 3.19% GGBR4 24.18 ▲ 0.71% ENEV3 25.22 ▲ 1.04% NEOE3 33.80 — 0.00% CPFE3 43.30 ▼ 0.02% CMIG4 11.27 ▲ 0.45% EQTL3 38.50 ▲ 2.20% LREN3 15.41 ▲ 2.26% VIVT3 33.54 ▼ 0.05% RAIL3 14.36 ▲ 1.06% KLABIN 16.55 ▲ 0.55% RAIA DROGASIL 18.48 ▲ 1.59% RDOR3 34.51 ▲ 1.29% HAPV3 12.40 ▲ 2.90% FLRY3 15.92 ▲ 1.47% SMTO3 17.31 ▼ 1.65% UGPA3 28.44 ▼ 0.91% VBBR3 32.28 ▼ 1.44% BBSE3 34.62 ▲ 0.44% BPAC11 55.90 ▲ 3.65% CURY3 31.88 ▲ 4.42% AERI3 2.35 ▼ 2.08% VIVARA 22.73 ▲ 2.43% COMPASS 27.26 ▲ 1.34% VAMOS 3.37 ▲ 3.69% SANB11 27.64 ▲ 1.99% ASAI3 9.12 ▲ 8.06% SBSP3 29.10 ▲ 2.25% WALMEX 55.26 ▼ 0.52% GMEXICO 206.26 ▲ 0.59% FEMSA 210.75 ▲ 0.33% CEMEX 22.08 ▲ 1.28% GFNORTE 189.00 ▼ 0.92% BIMBO 57.81 ▼ 0.41% TELEVISA 9.65 ▼ 1.13% AMX 22.25 ▼ 2.15% GAP 426.00 ▲ 2.19% ASUR 301.76 ▼ 2.25% OMA 227.49 ▲ 2.33% KOF 187.98 ▲ 1.45% GRUMA 295.61 ▲ 0.96% KIMBER 37.65 ▲ 0.08% SQM-B 73,510 ▲ 2.17% COPEC 6,420 ▲ 0.32% BSANTANDER 71.58 ▲ 1.97% FALABELLA 5,929 ▲ 3.67% ENELAM 78.50 ▲ 1.95% CENCOSUD 2,200 ▲ 3.97% CMPC 1,145 ▲ 4.57% BANCO CHILE 172.21 ▲ 1.90% LATAM AIR 23.75 ▲ 5.14% YPF 71,025 — 0.00% GGAL 6,455 — 0.00% PAMPA 4,783 — 0.00% TXAR 634.00 — 0.00% ALUAR 938.50 — 0.00% TGS 8,685 — 0.00% CEPU 2,077 — 0.00% MIRGOR 16,350 — 0.00% COME 43.70 — 0.00% LOMA NEGRA 3,278 — 0.00% BYMA 285.25 — 0.00% TELECOM ARG 3,493 — 0.00% ECOPETROL 13.85 ▼ 0.07% BANCOLOMBIA 65.88 ▼ 0.66% GRUPO AVAL 4.23 ▼ 0.70% CREDICORP 334.30 ▼ 2.82% SOUTHERN COPPER 179.67 ▲ 0.31% BUENAVENTURA 33.46 ▼ 0.74% MERCADOLIBRE 1,664 ▼ 0.80% NUBANK 12.73 ▼ 3.27% XP 16.82 ▼ 6.14% PAGSEGURO 9.14 ▼ 1.93% STONE 11.00 ▼ 0.90% GLOBANT 40.13 ▼ 1.23% TECNOGLASS 41.16 ▼ 0.10% GAP AIRPORT 240.40 ▼ 1.52% ASUR 301.76 ▼ 2.25% OMA AIRPORT 103.21 ▼ 1.38% AMX ADR 26.14 ▼ 0.72% FEMSA ADR 121.28 ▼ 0.10% CEMEX ADR 12.56 ▼ 0.24% PETROBRAS ADR 19.90 ▼ 0.65% VALE ADR 16.48 ▲ 0.06% ITAU ADR 7.82 ▼ 2.25% SANTANDER BR 5.39 ▼ 3.06% AMBEV ADR 3.20 ▼ 2.14% CSN 1.35 ▲ 5.47% GERDAU 4.75 ▲ 1.06% LATAM ADR 49.89 ▼ 2.06% BTC 76,619 ▼ 0.86% ETH 2,095 ▼ 0.80% SOL 84.40 ▼ 0.72% XRP 1.34 ▼ 0.67% BNB 656.35 ▼ 0.90% ADA 0.24 ▼ 0.81% DOGE 0.10 ▼ 1.01% AVAX 9.27 ▼ 0.35% LINK 9.46 ▼ 0.36% DOT 1.26 ▼ 0.18% LTC 52.27 ▼ 0.73% BCH 348.63 ▼ 0.77% TRX 0.37 ▲ 0.64% XLM 0.15 ▼ 1.18% HBAR 0.09 ▼ 0.40% NEAR 2.70 ▼ 2.67% ATOM 2.16 ▲ 1.28% AAVE 86.43 ▲ 0.15% SELIC 14.50% EMBRAER 73.28 ▲ 1.31% EMBRAER ADR 57.58 ▲ 1.88% JBS 13.21 ▼ 0.53% JBS BDR 66.45 ▲ 0.32% MBRF3 16.24 ▼ 2.17% MBRFY 3.34 ▲ 0.30% INTER 6.16 ▼ 3.75%
since 2009
Tuesday, May 26, 2026

Markets Crypto

Bitcoin Price Today Stalls Near $76,800 in Wait-and-See

By · May 26, 2026 · 4 min read

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Tuesday, May 26, 2026 · Covering the last 24 hours
Summary

Bitcoin price today: BTC is stalling near $76,800, down about 0.6%, as a quiet tape signals a macro wait-and-see mood rather than fresh selling. It has slipped back below $77,000, hemmed into a $76,000 to $82,000 range by a six-day run of ETF outflows against easing spot selling. The Doha talks are the swing factor, and a data-heavy week into the first Warsh-era Fed meeting keeps conviction low. The altcoin board is split, with NEAR and Worldcoin surging while privacy tokens slide.

The Big Three

1.
Bitcoin is range-bound and quiet. BTC trades near $76,800, off about 0.6%, after slipping under $77,000 and holding inside the $76,000 to $82,000 band that has framed it for weeks. As Enflux put it, the bid is there but no one is adding size — a market waiting rather than retreating.
2.
The overhang is institutional. US spot Bitcoin funds have logged a sixth straight session of outflows, roughly $1.26 billion in a single week, and Swissblock flagged a high-risk zone as the flows signal a step-back, though the longer run still reads as accumulation after a record April.
3.
The macro binary sits offshore. Iranian negotiators have arrived in Doha for talks on the Strait of Hormuz and highly enriched uranium, with Pakistan and Qatar mediating, and crypto ticked up as peace-deal odds climbed. A data-heavy US week into the first Fed meeting under new chair Kevin Warsh is the other half.
Bitcoin
$76,770
−0.63%
Ethereum
$2,097
−0.70%
ETF flows
−$1.26B
6-day streak
Range
76–82K
Weeks-long band

02 The Altcoin Tape

Asset Price 24h Note
Bitcoin (BTC) $76,635 −0.85% Range-bound, low volume
Ethereum (ETH) $2,096.51 −0.70% Buterin signals leaner Foundation
NEAR $2.72 +14.76% Cross-chain Intents flows
Worldcoin (WLD) $0.359 +21.51% Top major gainer
Render $2.36 +18.07% AI-compute name bid
Hyperliquid (HYPE) $59.66 −4.84% Faded after passing Dogecoin
XRP $1.341 −1.03% Triangle breakdown; $1.30 watch
Zcash (ZEC) $614.61 −6.86% Privacy tokens slid on Iran
Solana (SOL) $84.34 −1.62% Tracked the soft majors
Source: Bitstamp, perpetual-futures tape, CoinDesk, Cointelegraph, Glassnode. Snapshot: May 26, 2026 06:18 UTC. Crypto trades 24/7; prices intraday.
Live Market IntelligenceCrypto — Live Market BoardInside: market breadth, the sector heatmap, currencies & rates, the Latin America scoreboard and the full instrument board.

Rio Times · Live Market Intelligence

Live Company IntelligenceNEAR Protocol — the full investor dossierInside: live share price, market cap, three-year financials, valuation, ESG and peer benchmarks — plus the latest Rio Times coverage.
Rio Times · Live Ticker Intelligence
NEAR Protocol
NEAR · Latin American market listing
Share price · live
R$2.70
▼ -2.67% today
Market cap
P / E
Dividend yield
The company
Employees
Headquarters
Listed since
Website
Valuation & returns
EBITDA margin
Net margin
Return on equity
Price / book
Enterprise value
Revenue growth · YoY
Peers & comparators
IBOV
▲ +0.91%
Data: EODHD Fundamentals & live feed · The Rio Times Ticker Intelligence

Crypto — Live Market Board

Digital assets
May 26, 2026 · 07:04

Bitcoin · benchmark
76,619
-0.86%
L 76,472day rangeH 77,267

-29.99% over 12 months

Market breadth · 17 names
18% advancing

3 ▲ advancing14 declining ▼

Currencies, rates & key inputs
Ethereum
2,095
-0.80%

Solana
84.40
-0.72%

Gold
4,525
+0.10%

USD / BRL
5.02
0.00%

Full instrument board
Instrument Last Change YoY Prev. High Low Volume
BTC 76,619 -0.86% -29.99% 77,280 77,267 76,472 21,546,299,392
ETH 2,095 -0.80% -18.32% 2,111 2,111 2,084 10,190,613,504
SOL 84.40 -0.72% -51.73% 85.01 85.00 83.84 2,800,237,824
XRP 1.34 -0.67% -41.98% 1.35 1.35 1.33 1,254,988,032
BNB 656.35 -0.90% -2.68% 662.30 662.63 655.27 1,446,659,200
ADA 0.24 -0.81% -68.19% 0.24 0.24 0.24 316,477,312
DOGE 0.10 -1.01% -55.27% 0.10 0.10 0.10 547,756,608
AVAX 9.27 -0.35% -59.82% 9.30 9.31 9.17 273,842,368
LINK 9.46 -0.36% -39.05% 9.50 9.53 9.36 276,642,144
DOT 1.26 -0.18% -71.83% 1.26 1.26 1.24 114,238,480
LTC 52.27 -0.73% -44.98% 52.66 52.66 52.11 230,920,000
BCH 348.63 -0.77% -16.12% 351.34 351.67 344.35 116,012,552
TRX 0.37 +0.64% +36.37% 0.37 0.38 0.37 1,037,267,904
XLM 0.15 -1.18% -48.21% 0.15 0.15 0.15 86,720,864
HBAR 0.09 -0.40% -52.81% 0.09 0.09 0.09 47,760,580
NEAR 2.70 -2.67% -2.20% 2.78 2.78 2.67 1,225,676,800
ATOM 2.16 +1.28% -54.74% 2.14 2.18 2.12 58,441,936
AAVE 86.43 +0.15% -67.67% 86.30 86.50 85.09 193,203,248

Largest moves today
NEAR
2.70
-2.67%
ATOM
2.16
+1.28%
XLM
0.15
-1.18%
DOGE
0.10
-1.01%
BNB
656.35
-0.90%
BTC
76,619
-0.86%
ADA
0.24
-0.81%
ETH
2,095
-0.80%

The session read
The Bitcoin eased 0.86%, with breadth negative — 3 of 17 names higher. ATOM led, while NEAR lagged.

03 Why It Stalled

Crypto Driver: institutions step back while spot selling fades

The quiet is the story: Bitcoin is not falling so much as waiting. Institutions are trimming through the ETF channel, yet spot selling is easing and volumes sit near multi-month lows, which reads as fatigue rather than fear. The result is a market that has stopped falling without finding a reason to rise, stuck in its weeks-long range.

External Trigger: the Iran talks and a data-heavy week

The catalysts are offshore and on the calendar: the Doha talks that lifted Bitcoin off its weekend low, and a heavy US data run into the first Warsh-era Fed meeting. Until one resolves, traders have little reason to commit size.

§04 · Market Commentary

The cleanest read is that capital is rotating, not exiting. As the large caps drift, NEAR jumped almost 15% on its cross-chain Intents volume, with Worldcoin and Render leading the AI-and-infrastructure names. The losers tell the story in miniature, with privacy coins Zcash and Monero sliding on the renewed Middle East tension.

The structural backdrop keeps building: the stablecoin market has swelled to about $322 billion, more than the FX reserves of 95 countries. The week was not without loss, with tokenized-asset firm Ondo Finance announcing the death of its 32-year-old founder, while a Satoshi-era miner moved roughly $203 million to OTC desks, a supply signal worth watching in a thin tape.

05 Technical Snapshot

Bitcoin BTC/USD daily chart Bitstamp May 26: price 76,770 (-0.63%, -485) on a small candle ranging 76,382 to 77,281 from an open of 77,255. Price sits below the descending 200-DMA near 78,600 inside a dense moving-average cluster from 76,157 to 78,604, with 74,768 and 74,721 support below. MACD line -251 below signal +133 with a -384 histogram, soft and rolling near zero. RSI fast 46.11 below slow 48.05, slipping back under the midline.

Bitcoin / U.S. Dollar daily, Bitstamp. TradingView · May 26, 2026 06:18 UTC

Bitcoin at $76,770 sits just under the descending 200-day line near $78,600, pinned inside the moving-average cluster from $76,157 to $78,604 that has capped every push for weeks; the $74,250 weekend low is the line that must hold below. Momentum is soft but not broken: the MACD line at −251 sits under signal +133 with the histogram at −384, rolling gently negative, while RSI fast 46.11 has slipped under slow 48.05, back below the midline — a coiled, range-bound setup waiting on a macro spark.

Resistance: $78,513–78,604 (200-DMA) · $80,274 · $82,441 (range top)
Support: $76,157 · $74,768 · $74,721 · $74,250 (weekend low)
Invalidation: A daily close above $82,441 breaks the range higher; a close below $74,250 opens the $70,000s.

06 Forward Look

This week · PCE, jobless, housing
A heavy run of US data tests Fed-cut hopes; soft prints help risk assets, hot prints extend the wait.
Rolling · Iran talks in Doha
A signed framework on Hormuz and uranium is the upside catalyst; a stall reopens the oil risk-off.
Watch · ETF flows
A break in the six-day outflow streak would be the first sign buyers are stepping back in.
June 17–18 · First Warsh FOMC
The new chair’s first meeting; prediction markets put hike odds near even, a key swing for crypto.

07 Questions & Answers

Why is Bitcoin stuck near $76,800?
A macro wait-and-see mood. ETF outflows pull on one side and easing spot selling on the other, leaving BTC range-bound between $76,000 and $82,000 until the Iran talks or US data give a reason to commit.
Which coins are moving against the soft tape?
NEAR jumped nearly 15% on cross-chain Intents volume, while Worldcoin and Render led the AI-and-infrastructure names. Privacy tokens Zcash and Monero slid on renewed Middle East tension.
What would break Bitcoin out of its range?
A daily close above $82,441 breaks the range higher; a close below the $74,250 weekend low opens the $70,000s. An Iran deal or a dovish Fed signal is the likely trigger.

Verdict

Bitcoin is in a holding pattern, and the calm is doing real work. Six days of ETF outflows say institutions are cautious, but easing spot selling and a volume drought say the sellers are largely done too, leaving a coiled range, not a downtrend. BTC sits just under its 200-day line with soft momentum and a neutral RSI, waiting on the Doha talks and a heavy US data week into the first Warsh-era Fed meeting. The range breaks on a catalyst, not a candle, and the next one is on the calendar.

Related: Mon May 25 Iran-deal rebound · Warsh shock to $75,174 · May 22 HYPE record.

A quiet market is not an empty one; it is a loaded spring waiting for the news.

Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Markets carry risk; consult a licensed professional before trading.

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