Opinion: India’s strategic calculations amidst US-China dynamics

(Opinion) Indian Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s recent visit to the United States is indicative of the complex play between India, China and the United States.

As the two most populous countries, India and China hold key positions in global affairs.

While some in the US express concerns over India’s democracy and human rights records, the US recognizes India’s significance as a counterweight to China.

Bilateral cooperation agreements have been signed, covering defense procurement, joint weapons production, and critical technology development.

India’s vulnerability is heightened by the diminishing weight of Russia and the potential consequences of the US making amends with China.

India’s economic and military ties with Japan, Vietnam, and South Korea further demonstrate its pursuit of alliances against China.

However, India’s ability to deliver, particularly in terms of infrastructure development, lags behind China’s impressive achievements.

China’s expanding global influence poses challenges to the US and India, which may face the repercussions of effective Chinese global policies.

China possesses three major strengths that complicate efforts to contain it: its exports, US Treasury bond purchases, and control over fentanyl exports.

While China relies on global markets for its goods and currency stability, it lacks a currency capable of replacing the US dollar.

Technologically, China is catching up but lacks exclusive vital technologies. These factors contribute to China’s belief that it can negotiate and wait for circumstances to change.

India, seeking to establish its role in the world before China’s potential rise, may seek a new deal with the US.

However, the game involves not only India and China but also America and Japan.

A potential agreement between China and India could significantly alter the political landscape.

India’s previous attempts to engage with China have been unsuccessful, leading it to explore alternative strategies.

Cozying up to America may be just one aspect of India’s broader plans, with both countries pursuing their respective interests in this intricate game.

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