According to a Central Bank of Argentina survey, the country’s economy is expected to grow 4.2% in 2025, rebounding from a 3% decline in 2024. This forecast signals a potential end to the country’s economic woes.
The BCRA’s report indicates that the economy began its recovery in the third quarter of 2024. A 3.4% increase in activity compared to the previous quarter marks the start of this upward trend. This growth comes after a sharp downturn in the first half of the year.
Inflation remains a key concern for Argentina. The survey projects a year-end inflation rate of 118.8% for 2024. This figure represents a slight decrease from earlier predictions. Monthly inflation rates are expected to stay below 3% in November and December.
These projections align with President Javier Milei’s economic goals. His administration aims to curb inflation and stabilize the economy. The survey’s findings suggest some progress towards these objectives.
The job market faces challenges in the coming months. Analysts predict unemployment will rise to 7.8% in the third quarter. By year-end, it may reach 8%. These figures reflect the ongoing economic adjustments.
On a positive note, the fiscal outlook appears promising. The BCRA survey indicates a primary fiscal surplus for both 2024 and 2025. This projection suggests improved financial management and economic stability.
Argentina’s economic journey remains complex. The expected growth in 2025 offers hope after years of struggle. However, high inflation and unemployment continue to pose challenges. The coming months will be crucial in determining the success of current economic policies.
Argentina’s Economy Set for 4.2% Growth in 2025 After 2024 Slump