IBOV 170,840.84 ▼ 0.71% IPC MEX 72,006.05 ▲ 0.16% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL5.65▲ 1.18% USD/MXN18.61▲ 0.02% USD/CLP994.68▲ 1.21% USD/COP3,305▼ 0.07% USD/PEN3.40▼ 0.24% USD/ARS1,545▲ 0.03% USD/UYU40.52▲ 3.32% USD/PYG6,185▲ 3.33% USD/BOB11.60▲ 0.86% USD/DOP 60.45 — 0.00% USD/CRC445.25▲ 1.62% USD/GTQ7.65▲ 3.31% USD/HNL26.90▲ 3.30% USD/NIO36.62▲ 2.73% USD/VES902.19▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.09▲ 2.15% USD/TTD6.71▲ 2.19% EUR/BRL6.25▲ 0.26% BRENT 96.03 ▲ 3.53% WTI 88.96 ▲ 2.81% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.19 ▼ 1.28% GOLD 3,889 ▼ 2.80% SILVER 50.07 ▼ 3.50% SOY 1,220 ▼ 0.77% CORN 442.25 ▼ 1.28% WHEAT 582.50 ▼ 2.84% COFFEE 275.10 ▲ 2.27% SUGAR 18.22 ▼ 1.41% ORANGE JUICE 140.60 ▼ 3.53% COTTON 78.56 ▲ 0.05% COCOA 5,187 ▲ 5.71% BEEF 223.05 ▲ 1.86% CATTLE 331.80 ▼ 0.25% LITHIUM 59.45 ▼ 2.65% PETR4 44.89 ▲ 3.08% VALE3 64.12 ▼ 0.48% ITUB4 41.37 ▼ 0.84% BBDC4 14.17 ▼ 1.12% ABEV3 15.72 ▼ 0.82% BBAS3 15.53 ▼ 8.05% B3SA3 14.61 ▼ 1.28% WEGE3 51.49 ▼ 0.23% PRIO3 63.78 ▲ 3.76% SUZB3 55.55 ▲ 3.25% RENT3 29.30 ▼ 3.11% AZZA3 16.49 ▲ 7.29% CSAN3 2.85 ▼ 5.94% RAIZ4 0.30 ▼ 98.60% PCAR3 2.42 ▼ 4.72% GMAT3 3.89 ▼ 4.66% PSSA3 45.71 ▼ 0.59% CVCB3 0.83 ▼ 3.49% POSI3 3.41 ▲ 2.71% SLCE3 18.22 ▲ 6.86% NATU3 5.30 ▼ 5.69% BRKM5 2.96 ▲ 1.37% RANI3 8.17 ▼ 2.62% CSNA3 4.23 ▼ 6.42% IBOV 170,840.84 ▼ 0.71% IPC MEX 72,006.05 ▲ 0.16% MERVAL 2,848,945 — — USD/BRL 5.65 ▲ 1.22% USD/MXN 18.60 ▲ 0.02% USD/CLP 994.76 ▲ 1.22% USD/COP 3,305 ▼ 0.08% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.24% USD/ARS 1,545 ▲ 0.03% USD/UYU 40.52 ▲ 3.32% USD/PYG 6,185 ▲ 3.33% USD/BOB 11.60 ▲ 0.86% USD/DOP 60.45 — 0.00% USD/CRC 445.25 ▲ 1.62% USD/GTQ 7.65 ▲ 3.31% USD/HNL 26.90 ▲ 3.30% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 2.73% USD/VES 902.19 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.09 ▲ 2.15% USD/TTD 6.71 ▲ 2.19% EUR/BRL 6.25 ▲ 0.25% BRENT 96.03 ▲ 3.53% WTI 88.96 ▲ 2.81% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.19 ▼ 1.28% GOLD 3,889 ▼ 2.80% SILVER 50.07 ▼ 3.50% SOY 1,220 ▼ 0.77% CORN 442.25 ▼ 1.28% WHEAT 582.50 ▼ 2.84% COFFEE 275.10 ▲ 2.27% SUGAR 18.22 ▼ 1.41% ORANGE JUICE 140.60 ▼ 3.53% COTTON 78.56 ▲ 0.05% COCOA 5,187 ▲ 5.71% BEEF 223.05 ▲ 1.86% CATTLE 331.80 ▼ 0.25% LITHIUM 59.45 ▼ 2.65% PETR4 44.89 ▲ 3.08% VALE3 64.12 ▼ 0.48% ITUB4 41.37 ▼ 0.84% BBDC4 14.17 ▼ 1.12% ABEV3 15.72 ▼ 0.82% BBAS3 15.53 ▼ 8.05% B3SA3 14.61 ▼ 1.28% WEGE3 51.49 ▼ 0.23% PRIO3 63.78 ▲ 3.76% SUZB3 55.55 ▲ 3.25% RENT3 29.30 ▼ 3.11% AZZA3 16.49 ▲ 7.29% CSAN3 2.85 ▼ 5.94% RAIZ4 0.30 ▼ 98.60% PCAR3 2.42 ▼ 4.72% GMAT3 3.89 ▼ 4.66% PSSA3 45.71 ▼ 0.59% CVCB3 0.83 ▼ 3.49% POSI3 3.41 ▲ 2.71% SLCE3 18.22 ▲ 6.86% NATU3 5.30 ▼ 5.69% BRKM5 2.96 ▲ 1.37% RANI3 8.17 ▼ 2.62% CSNA3 4.23 ▼ 6.42%
since 2009
Thursday, November 12, 2026

Poland’s Key Election May Redefine Ties With the EU and Ukraine

By · · 2 min read

This Sunday, Poland’s pivotal election could reshape its ties with the European Union and neighboring Ukraine.

Polls suggest that the Law and Justice party (PiS), currently in power, is leading in votes. However, they might fall short of forming a majority government.

If that happens, the opposition, led by former European Council President Donald Tusk, could seize the opportunity.

Free daily brief — no card needed
Get every Europe and Russia story in one morning email
We build you a personalized brief around the topics you follow — free for 7 days. Love it? Your first month after that is US$1.

Voting centers open at 7 a.m. local time. After they close at 7 p.m. GMT, exit polls will be released.

A win for PiS could lead to strained relations with Brussels, the EU’s administrative center, and Kyiv, Ukraine’s capital.

The LatAm Brief

One email, every weekday morning. What moved in Latin American markets, politics and expat life.

Yesterday’s subject line: “Colombia's president announces a new cartel airstrike”

Furthermore, such a win could spark worries about the future of rule of law, freedom of the press, and the rights of women and immigrants in Poland.

Poland's Key Election May Redefine Ties With the EU and Ukraine.
Poland’s Key Election May Redefine Ties With the EU and Ukraine.
RT
Ask Rio Times
17 years of Latin America reporting, on demand.
Open the full Ask Rio Times →

Jaroslaw Kaczynski, the leader of PiS, focuses on national sovereignty within the EU. On the other hand, Tusk warns that PiS might have undisclosed plans to exit the EU.

He insists that Poland is heading in the wrong direction under PiS leadership. The ruling party vows to carry on with judicial reforms.

They argue these changes aim to eliminate corruption. However, the European Union views them as undermining democracy.

There’s talk of possible political alliances. PiS could collaborate with Confederation, a rightwing party.

Ideological Differences

But many analysts think that’s unlikely due to ideological differences. The centrist Civic Coalition, led by Tusk, hopes to secure enough votes.

Then, they could possibly form a government with the help of smaller parties like the Left and Third Way.

Also on the ballot is a referendum. It poses questions about immigration and the economy. Some political groups suggest boycotting it.

Supporters of PiS believe a victory would let them shape a stronger Poland, grounded in traditional values.

Lastly, the campaign has seen sharp personal attacks on Tusk. He’s been accused of serving the interests of Berlin, Moscow, and Brussels over Poland.

Both Western nations and Ukraine are keenly watching this election. It may have far-reaching consequences, affecting alliances and geopolitical strategies.

This article was produced by The Rio Times’ automated AI newsroom. Editorial responsibility: Matthias Camenzind, Publisher and Editor-in-Chief. The Rio Times also runs Ask Rio Times, which answers from 100,000+ of our own articles, the daily Latin America Power Map, and prediction-market odds on elections and markets.. How we use AI · Report an error

The Rio Times · Power Map
See who really holds power in Latin America
Click to open the Power Map →

Brazil runoff date: Sunday, October 25, poll closing times and when results start · Brazil runoff polls: Flávio 51%, Lula 49% · Kalshi and Polymarket odds

Rotate for Best Experience

This report is optimized for landscape viewing. Rotate your phone for the full experience.