Global Economy News Briefing for September 11, 2025

Global markets on Thursday were shaped by fresh U.S. inflation figures, the ECB’s steady hand on policy, and weakening industrial activity in key emerging economies.

In the United States, consumer prices rose 0.4% month-on-month in August, lifting the annual rate to 2.9%. Core inflation held steady at 3.1%. Producer prices unexpectedly fell 0.1% on the month, with annual growth slowing to 2.6%.

Real earnings declined 0.1%, underlining pressure on households. Labor data showed initial jobless claims climbing to 263,000, while continuing claims remained stable near 1.94 million.

Treasury auctions drew demand, with the 10-year yield down to 4.03%, as oil data showed crude inventories up nearly 4 million barrels. In Europe, the ECB kept policy rates unchanged, with President Christine Lagarde stressing inflation vigilance despite uneven growth.

Italian bond auctions cleared at lower yields, with the seven-year falling to 2.76% from 3.17%. Germany’s current account surplus narrowed to €14.8 billion, while confidence indexes across the eurozone remained subdued, particularly in France at just 39.9.

Brazil reported modest improvement, with retail sales up 1% year-on-year in July and consumer inflation easing slightly to 5.13%. The IPCA index turned slightly negative at -0.04%, while capital flows registered a net inflow.

South Africa’s external position deteriorated, with the Q2 current account deficit widening to 1.1% of GDP. Mining output grew 4.4% in July but gold slipped, and manufacturing output contracted 0.7% year-on-year.

Mexico meanwhile posted a sharp fall in industrial production, down 2.7% annually. In the UK, consumer sentiment slipped to 49.9, reflecting household caution.

Across Asia-Pacific, confidence surveys showed weakness, while Australia’s inflation expectations rose. Norway’s CPI held steady at 3.5% year-on-year, though prices fell on the month.

Overall, the day highlighted a U.S. economy facing sticky inflation and soft labor signals, a cautious ECB balancing growth risks, and fragile conditions in emerging markets from South Africa to Mexico.

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