IBOV 177,098 ▼ 1.80% IPSA 10,397 ▼ 2.29% IPC MEX 70,187 ▲ 0.22% MERVAL 2,738,355 ▼ 1.96% COLCAP 2,118 ▼ 0.22% BVL PERÚ 19,767 ▲ 0.37% USD/BRL 4.98 ▼ 0.53% USD/MXN 17.18 ▲ 0.02% USD/CLP 886.94 ▼ 1.06% USD/COP 3,778 ▼ 0.22% USD/PEN 3.42 ▼ 0.01% USD/ARS 1,392 ▼ 0.04% USD/UYU 39.81 ▲ 1.40% USD/PYG 6,089 ▲ 1.59% USD/BOB 6.86 ▲ 1.77% USD/DOP 59.08 ▲ 1.27% USD/CRC 452.75 ▲ 1.86% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.19% USD/HNL 26.59 ▲ 1.61% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.67% USD/VES 509.51 ▲ 1.94% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.16% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 1.59% USD/JMD 157.19 ▲ 0.44% USD/TTD 6.74 ▲ 1.23% EUR/BRL 5.84 ▲ 1.37% BRENT 106.31 ▲ 0.64% WTI 101.37 ▲ 0.35% COPPER 6.61 ▼ 0.40% GOLD 4,710 ▲ 0.26% SILVER 87.96 ▼ 1.04% SOY 1,221 ▲ 0.45% COFFEE 272.45 ▼ 8.03% SUGAR 15.29 ▼ 0.59% COCOA 4,502 ▼ 0.02% PETR4 44.57 ▼ 2.43% VALE3 84.30 ▲ 1.26% ITUB4 39.63 ▼ 0.60% BBDC4 17.65 ▼ 1.73% ABEV3 15.91 ▼ 1.36% BBAS3 20.76 ▼ 2.63% B3SA3 16.64 ▼ 3.82% WEGE3 43.31 ▼ 0.18% PRIO3 65.45 ▲ 1.27% SUZB3 43.00 ▲ 0.75% RENT3 43.13 ▼ 6.40% WALMEX 55.53 ▼ 0.32% GMEXICO 215.21 ▲ 2.44% FEMSA 211.52 ▼ 1.38% CEMEX 22.73 ▲ 0.04% GFNORTE 192.92 ▲ 0.43% BIMBO 58.34 ▼ 0.85% TELEVISA 9.85 ▼ 0.51% SQM-B 81,340 ▼ 4.08% COPEC 6,100 ▼ 1.29% BSANTANDER 66.80 ▼ 2.14% FALABELLA 5,380 ▼ 2.80% ENELAM 78.01 ▼ 2.49% CENCOSUD 2,082 ▲ 1.31% CMPC 1,100 ▼ 0.90% BANCO CHILE 155.20 ▼ 2.24% LATAM AIR 21.20 ▼ 2.97% YPF 64,525 ▼ 2.93% GGAL 6,195 ▼ 0.64% PAMPA 4,733 ▼ 2.92% TXAR 625.50 ▼ 1.73% ALUAR 945.00 ▲ 2.00% TGS 8,755 ▼ 1.35% CEPU 2,106 ▼ 1.13% MIRGOR 17,850 ▼ 3.38% ECOPETROL 12.86 ▼ 1.68% BANCOLOMBIA 63.67 ▼ 1.04% GRUPO AVAL 4.22 ▼ 4.52% CREDICORP 317.62 ▼ 1.91% SOUTHERN COPPER 191.89 ▲ 1.07% BUENAVENTURA 38.47 ▲ 1.00% MERCADOLIBRE 1,562 ▼ 1.06% NUBANK 12.82 ▼ 3.39% XP 17.29 ▼ 6.79% PAGSEGURO 8.63 ▼ 11.76% STONE 9.69 ▼ 6.65% GLOBANT 32.75 ▼ 8.29% TECNOGLASS 38.54 ▲ 1.37% GAP AIRPORT 244.62 ▼ 0.41% ASUR 305.21 ▼ 1.32% OMA AIRPORT 105.86 ▼ 1.05% AMX ADR 27.12 ▼ 0.11% FEMSA ADR 123.03 ▼ 1.47% CEMEX ADR 13.25 ▲ 0.61% PETROBRAS ADR 19.59 ▼ 4.44% VALE ADR 16.85 ▼ 1.06% ITAU ADR 7.85 ▼ 3.09% SANTANDER BR 5.42 ▼ 4.33% AMBEV ADR 3.15 ▼ 3.37% CSN 1.29 ▼ 5.84% GERDAU 4.68 ▼ 2.30% LATAM ADR 47.74 ▼ 2.49% BTC 79,871 ▲ 0.75% ETH 2,269 ▲ 0.52% SELIC 14.50% IBOV 177,098 ▼ 1.80% IPSA 10,397 ▼ 2.29% IPC MEX 70,187 ▲ 0.22% MERVAL 2,738,355 ▼ 1.96% COLCAP 2,118 ▼ 0.22% BVL PERÚ 19,767 ▲ 0.37% USD/BRL 4.98 ▼ 0.53% USD/MXN 17.18 ▲ 0.02% USD/CLP 886.94 ▼ 1.06% USD/COP 3,778 ▼ 0.22% USD/PEN 3.42 ▼ 0.01% USD/ARS 1,392 ▼ 0.04% USD/UYU 39.81 ▲ 1.40% USD/PYG 6,089 ▲ 1.59% USD/BOB 6.86 ▲ 1.77% USD/DOP 59.08 ▲ 1.27% USD/CRC 452.75 ▲ 1.86% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.19% USD/HNL 26.59 ▲ 1.61% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.67% USD/VES 509.51 ▲ 1.94% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.16% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 1.59% USD/JMD 157.19 ▲ 0.44% USD/TTD 6.74 ▲ 1.23% EUR/BRL 5.84 ▲ 1.37% BRENT 106.31 ▲ 0.64% WTI 101.37 ▲ 0.35% COPPER 6.61 ▼ 0.40% GOLD 4,710 ▲ 0.26% SILVER 87.96 ▼ 1.04% SOY 1,221 ▲ 0.45% COFFEE 272.45 ▼ 8.03% SUGAR 15.29 ▼ 0.59% COCOA 4,502 ▼ 0.02% PETR4 44.57 ▼ 2.43% VALE3 84.30 ▲ 1.26% ITUB4 39.63 ▼ 0.60% BBDC4 17.65 ▼ 1.73% ABEV3 15.91 ▼ 1.36% BBAS3 20.76 ▼ 2.63% B3SA3 16.64 ▼ 3.82% WEGE3 43.31 ▼ 0.18% PRIO3 65.45 ▲ 1.27% SUZB3 43.00 ▲ 0.75% RENT3 43.13 ▼ 6.40% WALMEX 55.53 ▼ 0.32% GMEXICO 215.21 ▲ 2.44% FEMSA 211.52 ▼ 1.38% CEMEX 22.73 ▲ 0.04% GFNORTE 192.92 ▲ 0.43% BIMBO 58.34 ▼ 0.85% TELEVISA 9.85 ▼ 0.51% SQM-B 81,340 ▼ 4.08% COPEC 6,100 ▼ 1.29% BSANTANDER 66.80 ▼ 2.14% FALABELLA 5,380 ▼ 2.80% ENELAM 78.01 ▼ 2.49% CENCOSUD 2,082 ▲ 1.31% CMPC 1,100 ▼ 0.90% BANCO CHILE 155.20 ▼ 2.24% LATAM AIR 21.20 ▼ 2.97% YPF 64,525 ▼ 2.93% GGAL 6,195 ▼ 0.64% PAMPA 4,733 ▼ 2.92% TXAR 625.50 ▼ 1.73% ALUAR 945.00 ▲ 2.00% TGS 8,755 ▼ 1.35% CEPU 2,106 ▼ 1.13% MIRGOR 17,850 ▼ 3.38% ECOPETROL 12.86 ▼ 1.68% BANCOLOMBIA 63.67 ▼ 1.04% GRUPO AVAL 4.22 ▼ 4.52% CREDICORP 317.62 ▼ 1.91% SOUTHERN COPPER 191.89 ▲ 1.07% BUENAVENTURA 38.47 ▲ 1.00% MERCADOLIBRE 1,562 ▼ 1.06% NUBANK 12.82 ▼ 3.39% XP 17.29 ▼ 6.79% PAGSEGURO 8.63 ▼ 11.76% STONE 9.69 ▼ 6.65% GLOBANT 32.75 ▼ 8.29% TECNOGLASS 38.54 ▲ 1.37% GAP AIRPORT 244.62 ▼ 0.41% ASUR 305.21 ▼ 1.32% OMA AIRPORT 105.86 ▼ 1.05% AMX ADR 27.12 ▼ 0.11% FEMSA ADR 123.03 ▼ 1.47% CEMEX ADR 13.25 ▲ 0.61% PETROBRAS ADR 19.59 ▼ 4.44% VALE ADR 16.85 ▼ 1.06% ITAU ADR 7.85 ▼ 3.09% SANTANDER BR 5.42 ▼ 4.33% AMBEV ADR 3.15 ▼ 3.37% CSN 1.29 ▼ 5.84% GERDAU 4.68 ▼ 2.30% LATAM ADR 47.74 ▼ 2.49% BTC 79,871 ▲ 0.75% ETH 2,269 ▲ 0.52% SELIC 14.50%
since 2009
Thursday, May 14, 2026

Markets Crypto

Bitcoin Slips Below $80,000 as Xi Warns Trump on Taiwan and ETFs Bleed $635M

By · May 14, 2026 · 4 min read
Rio Times Daily Market Brief · Crypto
Thursday, May 14, 2026 · Covering Wednesday, May 13 Session

Summary

Bitcoin slipped below $80,000 on Wednesday May 13, 2026, settling at $79,788 on perpetuals (−1.48% 24h) after Xi Jinping warned Trump of potential Taiwan conflict during the first US presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered $635 million in outflows — largest since late January — as BTC turned lower from the 200-DMA. Solana fell 5%, SUI 4.6%, INJ 9.1%. Silver gained 0.79%.

The Big Three

1.
Bitcoin slipped to $79,788 on perpetuals (24h range $78,755–$81,280, −1.48%). Spot BTC closed at $79,829 on Bitstamp. The selloff followed a textbook rejection at the descending trendline from January at $80,651 — coinciding with the 200-DMA. The Trump-Xi summit was the trigger; the technical setup was the conviction.
2.
Spot Bitcoin ETFs registered $635M in outflows — the single-largest exit since late January per CoinDesk. The flows confirm institutional positioning has not returned after the January peak. Conviction-buyer holdings have surged ~300% to ~4M BTC since late 2025, but recent buyers have been the marginal sellers at the trendline.
3.
Alts took the bigger hit. Solana fell 4.35% to $90.98 on the Taiwan headline, SUI −4.61%, INJ −9.12%, TON −7.41%, ZEC −4.47%, HYPE −2.79%, LINK −3.07%, ADA −2.97%. Smaller-cap event losses (SIREN −53.58%, SKYAI −33.62%) added to the red day. DOGE held +1.42% and Q surged +38.72% on speculative rotation.

BTC perpetual
$79,788
−1.48% 24h
ETF flows
−$635M
largest since Jan
RSI Fast
56.09
rolling lower
200-DMA
$80,651
rejected

02Perpetuals Snapshot

Pair Last 24h Change High Low
BTCUSDT 79,788.2 −1.48% 81,280 78,755
ETHUSDT 2,267.46 −1.44% 2,322.6 2,233.62
SOLUSDT 90.98 −4.35% 95.85 89.76
XAUUSDT (gold) 4,699.13 −0.15% 4,721.22 4,672.49
XAGUSDT (silver) 87.14 +0.79% 89.36 85.93
XRPUSDT 1.4332 −2.00% 1.4691 1.4105
DOGEUSDT 0.1138 +1.42% 0.1154 0.1096
SUIUSDT 1.1913 −4.61% 1.2533 1.1776
CLUSDT (WTI) 97.57 −0.70% 99.60 95.50
BZUSDT (Brent) 102.53 −1.04% 104.66 100.58
Perpetuals snapshot at 06:18 UTC. Silver outperformed BTC and gold as Taiwan triggered haven rotation; every major crypto pair except DOGE closed red.

03Key Movers

Winners

Q +38.72% on speculative rotation; UB +12.54%; LAB +5.55%. DOGE held +1.42% in defiance of the red tape. In TradFi perpetuals, Nvidia +3.04% and Tesla +2.77%. Silver +0.79% was the cleanest haven trade as Taiwan favored hard money over crypto.

Losers

SIREN collapsed 53.58%, SKYAI −33.62% on event weakness. INJ −9.12%, BILL −8.61%, TON −7.41%, SUI −4.61%, SOL −4.35%, ZEC −4.47%. Majors: ADA −2.97%, LINK −3.07%, XRP −2.00%. Anthropic and OpenAI pre-IPO Solana tokens dropped after both firms warned the structures may be invalid. TRUMP −5% on Trump Mobile T1 launch.

§04 · Market Commentary

Wednesday’s selloff had two drivers. The technical setup — BTC rejecting the descending trendline at $80,651 — was already in place. The Trump-Xi Beijing summit was the macro trigger, with Xi warning Trump on Taiwan during the first US presidential visit to China in nearly a decade. That headline collapsed the risk-on positioning carrying BTC from the April low. The $635M ETF outflow confirmed institutional flow was the marginal seller.

The structural picture is more nuanced than price suggests. Conviction-buyer BTC holdings have risen ~300% since late 2025. The Senate Clarity Act amendments process is advancing. Animoca-backed NUVA is connecting Figure’s $19B of tokenized assets to Ethereum. KDDI took a $65M stake in Coincheck. The IPO calendar weakened — Consensys delayed to fall, Ledger paused its $4B listing — but reflects equity volatility, not crypto rejection.

05Technical Analysis

Bitcoin BTC USD daily chart May 14 2026 close 79,829 rejected at descending trendline 80,651 ETF outflow 635M Xi Taiwan warning

BTC/USD daily, Bitstamp. TradingView · May 14, 2026, 06:18 UTC

BTC closed at $79,829 on Bitstamp after a textbook rejection at the descending trendline at $80,651 — coinciding with the 200-DMA. MACD histogram −246, line +1,518 vs signal +1,764 — bearish crossover first since the April reversal. RSI fast 56.09 rolling lower toward slow 62.77. The 50-DMA at $78,293 is first support; the cloud bottom at $74,734 is the structural floor.

Resistance: $80,651 (200-DMA + trendline) → $80,769 (upper BB) → $82,095 → $82,838
Support: $79,208 (Tenkan) → $78,755 (Wed low) → $78,293 (50-DMA) → $74,734 (cloud floor) → $73,894
Invalidation: Daily close below $74,734 cloud floor ends the post-April recovery structure.

06Forward Look

Thursday, May 14 · Beijing
Trump-Xi summit continues. Any softening of Taiwan rhetoric reverses Wednesday’s selloff; further escalation extends the haven-bid into silver and gold.
Thursday, May 14 · 08:30 ET
US weekly jobless claims and import prices. Hot prints extend Tuesday’s CPI-driven curve steepening; cool prints offer the first relief catalyst.
Through May · Clarity Act
Senate crypto market-structure bill amendments. A constructive markup is the missing US regulatory catalyst for institutional flow recovery.
Q3 2026 · IPO calendar
Consensys (delayed to fall) and Ledger (paused $4B listing) reset the crypto IPO calendar. First successful listing post-Clarity becomes the cycle marker.

07Questions & Answers

What are spot Bitcoin ETFs and why do flows matter?
Spot Bitcoin ETFs are exchange-traded funds holding actual BTC on behalf of investors (BlackRock IBIT, Fidelity FBTC, Grayscale GBTC the largest). Daily flows are the cleanest read on US institutional positioning. Wednesday’s $635M outflow was the largest exit since late January, signaling institutional buyers paused at the 200-DMA rejection.
What are the key catalysts for Bitcoin in 2026?
Four pillars: spot ETF flows (institutional positioning); the Senate Clarity Act and US crypto market-structure regulation; geopolitical risk (US-Iran, Trump-Xi Taiwan), which alternately drives havens into BTC or silver/gold; and tokenization (Animoca-NUVA connecting Figure’s $19B of tokenized assets to Ethereum).
How is Bitcoin behaving relative to gold and silver right now?
Wednesday illustrated the divergence: silver gained 0.79% on the Taiwan haven trade while BTC fell 1.48% and gold edged 0.15% lower. CoinDesk Indices argues BTC is ~26% undervalued vs gold on long-run ratios, but the relationship breaks down when geopolitical events trigger hard-money flows.

Verdict

Bitcoin enters Thursday below $80,000 after a textbook rejection at the descending trendline that defines the post-January structure. The $635M ETF outflow confirms institutional positioning has not returned; the Xi-Trump Taiwan headline collapsed the macro overlay. Recovery requires a daily close back above $80,651. Below the 50-DMA at $78,293, the next test is the cloud floor at $74,734.

Related: Conviction buyers +300% · ETF outflow · LatAm cross-asset read.

Scenario range: $74,734 (cloud floor support) — $80,651 (200-DMA + trendline resistance).

Disclaimer: This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute investment advice. Cryptocurrency markets are highly volatile and carry significant risk of loss. Always consult a licensed financial advisor. Published by The Rio Times.

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