IBOV 171,133 ▼ 0.21% IPSA 10,923 ▲ 1.70% IPC MEX 67,955 ▲ 1.46% MERVAL 3,352,708 ▼ 0.01% COLCAP 2,386.78 ▲ 1.53% BVL PERÚ 56,321.11 ▲ 7.67% USD/BRL 5.04 ▼ 0.38% USD/MXN 17.21 ▲ 0.07% USD/CLP 890.17 ▼ 1.02% USD/COP 3,454 ▼ 1.02% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.06% USD/ARS 1,429 ▼ 0.05% USD/UYU 40.54 — 0.00% USD/PYG 6,094 — 0.00% USD/BOB 6.85 — 0.00% USD/DOP 58.56 ▼ 0.20% USD/CRC 451.82 — 0.00% USD/GTQ 7.61 — 0.00% USD/HNL 26.65 — 0.00% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES 585.94 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.27% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 1.70% USD/JMD 157.59 ▲ 0.65% USD/TTD 6.76 ▲ 1.49% EUR/BRL 5.86 ▼ 0.30% BRENT 83.04 ▼ 4.91% WTI 80.23 ▼ 5.48% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.49 ▲ 0.94% GOLD 4,358 ▲ 3.39% SILVER 70.92 ▲ 4.50% SOY 1,105 ▼ 0.79% CORN 406.75 ▼ 1.45% WHEAT 572.50 ▼ 2.05% COFFEE 254.25 ▼ 1.15% SUGAR 14.22 ▲ 3.80% ORANGE JUICE 165.05 ▲ 1.07% COTTON 76.42 ▲ 4.77% COCOA 4,143 ▲ 9.63% BEEF 241.18 ▼ 4.10% CATTLE 357.43 ▼ 0.62% LITHIUM 82.37 ▲ 2.02% PETR4 41.18 — 0.00% VALE3 79.17 — 0.00% ITUB4 40.60 — 0.00% BBDC4 17.80 ▲ 0.68% ABEV3 16.61 ▼ 0.18% BBAS3 19.46 ▲ 0.26% B3SA3 15.23 ▼ 1.36% WEGE3 42.61 — 0.00% PRIO3 61.34 — 0.00% SUZB3 41.52 ▲ 0.56% RENT3 40.70 ▼ 0.25% AZZA3 17.19 ▼ 1.83% CSAN3 3.34 ▼ 0.89% RAIZ4 0.43 — 0.00% PCAR3 1.55 — 0.00% GMAT3 3.96 — 0.00% PSSA3 50.49 — 0.00% CVCB3 1.39 ▲ 5.30% POSI3 3.64 — 0.00% SLCE3 14.25 — 0.00% NATU3 8.56 — 0.00% BRKM5 9.10 ▼ 6.67% RANI3 7.95 — 0.00% CSNA3 6.05 ▲ 0.67% CMIN3 4.30 ▼ 0.92% USIM5 10.85 — 0.00% GGBR4 23.88 — 0.00% ENEV3 24.54 ▲ 0.57% NEOE3 33.80 — 0.00% CPFE3 44.42 ▲ 0.11% CMIG4 10.73 ▼ 0.74% EQTL3 38.77 ▼ 0.31% LREN3 15.38 — 0.00% VIVT3 33.53 — 0.00% RAIL3 13.36 — 0.00% KLABIN 16.88 — 0.00% RAIA DROGASIL 17.46 — 0.00% RDOR3 34.08 — 0.00% HAPV3 11.40 — 0.00% FLRY3 15.18 ▲ 0.13% SMTO3 15.80 — 0.00% UGPA3 24.80 — 0.00% VBBR3 29.15 — 0.00% BBSE3 37.87 ▲ 0.19% BPAC11 50.39 ▼ 0.18% CURY3 32.11 ▲ 0.72% AERI3 2.33 ▼ 0.43% VIVARA 21.33 — 0.00% COMPASS 25.29 — 0.00% VAMOS 3.03 ▲ 3.06% SANB11 27.13 — 0.00% ASAI3 8.10 ▼ 1.70% SBSP3 27.54 — 0.00% WALMEX 52.15 ▲ 0.66% GMEXICO 209.34 ▲ 1.32% FEMSA 222.73 ▲ 0.52% CEMEX 22.31 ▲ 1.97% GFNORTE 187.96 ▲ 2.92% BIMBO 58.24 — 0.00% TELEVISA 9.99 ▲ 1.42% AMX 23.92 ▲ 0.34% GAP 407.52 ▲ 2.66% ASUR 287.09 ▲ 1.07% OMA 219.39 ▲ 2.80% KOF 187.96 ▲ 1.56% GRUMA 296.70 ▲ 1.09% KIMBER 37.42 ▲ 2.44% SQM-B 75,500 ▲ 3.99% COPEC 6,120 ▼ 0.63% BSANTANDER 73.60 ▲ 1.60% FALABELLA 5,950 ▼ 0.34% ENELAM 79.57 ▲ 3.06% CENCOSUD 2,248 ▲ 3.11% CMPC 1,060 ▲ 1.89% BANCO CHILE 182.00 ▲ 2.10% LATAM AIR 23.94 ▲ 3.41% YPF 83,400 ▼ 0.36% GGAL 8,210 ▼ 0.73% PAMPA 5,290 ▼ 0.28% TXAR 694.00 ▼ 0.93% ALUAR 1,029 ▲ 0.19% TGS 9,875 ▼ 0.25% CEPU 2,371 ▼ 1.00% MIRGOR 17,150 ▼ 0.72% COME 44.98 ▼ 2.34% LOMA NEGRA 3,750 — 0.00% BYMA 305.50 ▲ 0.74% TELECOM ARG 4,570 ▼ 3.89% ECOPETROL 16.58 ▲ 1.97% BANCOLOMBIA 80.26 ▼ 0.71% GRUPO AVAL 5.55 ▲ 3.16% CREDICORP 369.55 ▲ 0.32% SOUTHERN COPPER 189.79 ▲ 4.19% BUENAVENTURA 33.42 ▲ 2.01% MERCADOLIBRE 1,590 ▼ 1.27% NUBANK 12.19 ▲ 0.83% XP 16.02 ▲ 2.36% PAGSEGURO 8.96 ▲ 0.22% STONE 11.26 ▲ 0.09% GLOBANT 37.49 ▲ 2.94% TECNOGLASS 43.79 ▲ 0.11% GAP AIRPORT 236.89 ▲ 3.08% ASUR 287.09 ▲ 1.07% OMA AIRPORT 101.77 ▲ 2.59% AMX ADR 27.76 ▲ 0.36% FEMSA ADR 129.37 ▲ 0.79% CEMEX ADR 12.98 ▲ 2.20% PETROBRAS ADR 18.38 ▲ 0.77% VALE ADR 15.71 ▲ 2.28% ITAU ADR 7.99 ▲ 1.01% SANTANDER BR 5.43 ▲ 1.12% AMBEV ADR 3.25 ▲ 0.93% CSN 1.22 ▲ 0.83% GERDAU 4.75 ▲ 1.93% LATAM ADR 53.25 ▲ 3.46% BTC 66,276 ▲ 0.86% ETH 1,770 ▲ 2.62% SOL 72.65 ▲ 2.09% XRP 1.24 ▲ 4.46% BNB 620.64 ▲ 0.74% ADA 0.19 ▲ 2.31% DOGE 0.09 ▲ 1.25% AVAX 6.90 ▲ 1.83% LINK 8.32 ▲ 1.91% DOT 1.02 ▲ 2.76% LTC 45.75 ▲ 0.86% BCH 227.90 ▲ 8.51% TRX 0.32 ▲ 0.17% XLM 0.21 ▲ 7.51% HBAR 0.08 ▲ 1.96% NEAR 2.46 ▲ 11.34% ATOM 2.02 ▲ 0.60% AAVE 73.82 ▲ 8.16% SELIC 14.50% EMBRAER 72.85 ▲ 2.32% EMBRAER ADR 57.80 ▲ 3.02% JBS 12.54 ▲ 2.79% JBS BDR 62.98 — 0.00% MBRF3 15.99 — 0.00% MBRFY 3.00 ▼ 0.99% INTER 5.77 ▲ 1.05% IBOV 171,133 ▼ 0.21% IPSA 10,923 ▲ 1.70% IPC MEX 67,955 ▲ 1.46% MERVAL 3,352,708 ▼ 0.01% COLCAP 2,386.78 ▲ 1.53% BVL PERÚ 56,321.11 ▲ 7.67% USD/BRL 5.04 ▼ 0.38% USD/MXN 17.21 ▲ 0.07% USD/CLP 890.17 ▼ 1.02% USD/COP 3,454 ▼ 1.02% USD/PEN 3.40 ▼ 0.06% USD/ARS 1,429 ▼ 0.05% USD/UYU 40.54 — 0.00% USD/PYG 6,094 — 0.00% USD/BOB 6.85 — 0.00% USD/DOP 58.56 ▼ 0.20% USD/CRC 451.82 — 0.00% USD/GTQ 7.61 — 0.00% USD/HNL 26.65 — 0.00% USD/NIO 36.62 — 0.00% USD/VES 585.94 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 ▲ 2.27% USD/BZD 2.00 ▲ 1.70% USD/JMD 157.59 ▲ 0.65% USD/TTD 6.76 ▲ 1.49% EUR/BRL 5.86 ▼ 0.30% BRENT 83.04 ▼ 4.91% WTI 80.23 ▼ 5.48% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.49 ▲ 0.94% GOLD 4,358 ▲ 3.39% SILVER 70.92 ▲ 4.50% SOY 1,105 ▼ 0.79% CORN 406.75 ▼ 1.45% WHEAT 572.50 ▼ 2.05% COFFEE 254.25 ▼ 1.15% SUGAR 14.22 ▲ 3.80% ORANGE JUICE 165.05 ▲ 1.07% COTTON 76.42 ▲ 4.77% COCOA 4,143 ▲ 9.63% BEEF 241.18 ▼ 4.10% CATTLE 357.43 ▼ 0.62% LITHIUM 82.37 ▲ 2.02% PETR4 41.18 — 0.00% VALE3 79.17 — 0.00% ITUB4 40.60 — 0.00% BBDC4 17.80 ▲ 0.68% ABEV3 16.61 ▼ 0.18% BBAS3 19.46 ▲ 0.26% B3SA3 15.23 ▼ 1.36% WEGE3 42.61 — 0.00% PRIO3 61.34 — 0.00% SUZB3 41.52 ▲ 0.56% RENT3 40.70 ▼ 0.25% AZZA3 17.19 ▼ 1.83% CSAN3 3.34 ▼ 0.89% RAIZ4 0.43 — 0.00% PCAR3 1.55 — 0.00% GMAT3 3.96 — 0.00% PSSA3 50.49 — 0.00% CVCB3 1.39 ▲ 5.30% POSI3 3.64 — 0.00% SLCE3 14.25 — 0.00% NATU3 8.56 — 0.00% BRKM5 9.10 ▼ 6.67% RANI3 7.95 — 0.00% CSNA3 6.05 ▲ 0.67% CMIN3 4.30 ▼ 0.92% USIM5 10.85 — 0.00% GGBR4 23.88 — 0.00% ENEV3 24.54 ▲ 0.57% NEOE3 33.80 — 0.00% CPFE3 44.42 ▲ 0.11% CMIG4 10.73 ▼ 0.74% EQTL3 38.77 ▼ 0.31% LREN3 15.38 — 0.00% VIVT3 33.53 — 0.00% RAIL3 13.36 — 0.00% KLABIN 16.88 — 0.00% RAIA DROGASIL 17.46 — 0.00% RDOR3 34.08 — 0.00% HAPV3 11.40 — 0.00% FLRY3 15.18 ▲ 0.13% SMTO3 15.80 — 0.00% UGPA3 24.80 — 0.00% VBBR3 29.15 — 0.00% BBSE3 37.87 ▲ 0.19% BPAC11 50.39 ▼ 0.18% CURY3 32.11 ▲ 0.72% AERI3 2.33 ▼ 0.43% VIVARA 21.33 — 0.00% COMPASS 25.29 — 0.00% VAMOS 3.03 ▲ 3.06% SANB11 27.13 — 0.00% ASAI3 8.10 ▼ 1.70% SBSP3 27.54 — 0.00% WALMEX 52.15 ▲ 0.66% GMEXICO 209.34 ▲ 1.32% FEMSA 222.73 ▲ 0.52% CEMEX 22.31 ▲ 1.97% GFNORTE 187.96 ▲ 2.92% BIMBO 58.24 — 0.00% TELEVISA 9.99 ▲ 1.42% AMX 23.92 ▲ 0.34% GAP 407.52 ▲ 2.66% ASUR 287.09 ▲ 1.07% OMA 219.39 ▲ 2.80% KOF 187.96 ▲ 1.56% GRUMA 296.70 ▲ 1.09% KIMBER 37.42 ▲ 2.44% SQM-B 75,500 ▲ 3.99% COPEC 6,120 ▼ 0.63% BSANTANDER 73.60 ▲ 1.60% FALABELLA 5,950 ▼ 0.34% ENELAM 79.57 ▲ 3.06% CENCOSUD 2,248 ▲ 3.11% CMPC 1,060 ▲ 1.89% BANCO CHILE 182.00 ▲ 2.10% LATAM AIR 23.94 ▲ 3.41% YPF 83,400 ▼ 0.36% GGAL 8,210 ▼ 0.73% PAMPA 5,290 ▼ 0.28% TXAR 694.00 ▼ 0.93% ALUAR 1,029 ▲ 0.19% TGS 9,875 ▼ 0.25% CEPU 2,371 ▼ 1.00% MIRGOR 17,150 ▼ 0.72% COME 44.98 ▼ 2.34% LOMA NEGRA 3,750 — 0.00% BYMA 305.50 ▲ 0.74% TELECOM ARG 4,570 ▼ 3.89% ECOPETROL 16.58 ▲ 1.97% BANCOLOMBIA 80.26 ▼ 0.71% GRUPO AVAL 5.55 ▲ 3.16% CREDICORP 369.55 ▲ 0.32% SOUTHERN COPPER 189.79 ▲ 4.19% BUENAVENTURA 33.42 ▲ 2.01% MERCADOLIBRE 1,590 ▼ 1.27% NUBANK 12.19 ▲ 0.83% XP 16.02 ▲ 2.36% PAGSEGURO 8.96 ▲ 0.22% STONE 11.26 ▲ 0.09% GLOBANT 37.49 ▲ 2.94% TECNOGLASS 43.79 ▲ 0.11% GAP AIRPORT 236.89 ▲ 3.08% ASUR 287.09 ▲ 1.07% OMA AIRPORT 101.77 ▲ 2.59% AMX ADR 27.76 ▲ 0.36% FEMSA ADR 129.37 ▲ 0.79% CEMEX ADR 12.98 ▲ 2.20% PETROBRAS ADR 18.38 ▲ 0.77% VALE ADR 15.71 ▲ 2.28% ITAU ADR 7.99 ▲ 1.01% SANTANDER BR 5.43 ▲ 1.12% AMBEV ADR 3.25 ▲ 0.93% CSN 1.22 ▲ 0.83% GERDAU 4.75 ▲ 1.93% LATAM ADR 53.25 ▲ 3.46% BTC 66,276 ▲ 0.86% ETH 1,770 ▲ 2.62% SOL 72.65 ▲ 2.09% XRP 1.24 ▲ 4.46% BNB 620.64 ▲ 0.74% ADA 0.19 ▲ 2.31% DOGE 0.09 ▲ 1.25% AVAX 6.90 ▲ 1.83% LINK 8.32 ▲ 1.91% DOT 1.02 ▲ 2.76% LTC 45.75 ▲ 0.86% BCH 227.90 ▲ 8.51% TRX 0.32 ▲ 0.17% XLM 0.21 ▲ 7.51% HBAR 0.08 ▲ 1.96% NEAR 2.46 ▲ 11.34% ATOM 2.02 ▲ 0.60% AAVE 73.82 ▲ 8.16% SELIC 14.50% EMBRAER 72.85 ▲ 2.32% EMBRAER ADR 57.80 ▲ 3.02% JBS 12.54 ▲ 2.79% JBS BDR 62.98 — 0.00% MBRF3 15.99 — 0.00% MBRFY 3.00 ▼ 0.99% INTER 5.77 ▲ 1.05%
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Intelligence World-News Intelligence Brief

Africa Intelligence Brief — October 23, 2025

By Amina Diarra · October 23, 2025 · 5 min read

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North Africa advanced on energy and fiscal policy as Morocco formalized self‑generation rules for electricity while Tunisia’s

North Africa advanced on energy and fiscal policy as Morocco formalized self‑generation rules for electricity while Tunisia’s draft 2026 budget mapped large public‑sector hiring, including defense.

In West Africa, Nigeria’s short‑term debt drew heavy demand and the federal housing plan set standard pricing nationwide, while a Ghanaian policy group pressed for clearer execution of the 24‑Hour Economy.

East Africa’s tape featured Tanzania’s first sugar exports after attaining self‑sufficiency, a Kenya‑Uganda expressway pitched to investors, and muted business sentiment among Kenya’s trade and tourism CEOs.

Central Africa saw fresh tension in Bunia, DR Congo, underscoring persistent security risks; and in Southern Africa, South Africa signaled renewed momentum on small modular nuclear technology.

North Africa

Morocco publishes decree enabling electricity self‑production beyond capped levels Energy policy

Morocco’s government published the long‑awaited decree setting conditions for businesses and communities to self‑generate electricity and feed surplus into the grid under the 2021 framework law.

The text clarifies connection, metering and wheeling rules, with a pathway for industrial clusters and large consumers to lower power costs and hedge supply risk.

It complements parallel investment in renewables and interconnections aimed at raising the share of clean power in the mix.

What it means: Big users get regulatory certainty to sign bankable behind‑the‑meter and private‑wire deals.
Why it matters: Cheaper, cleaner power improves export competitiveness and anchors long‑duration capex in autos, fertilizers and data infrastructure.

Africa Intelligence Brief — October 23, 2025
Africa Intelligence Brief — October 23, 2025. (Photo Internet reproduction)
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Tunisia’s 2026 draft budget plans ~52,000 appointments, including 3,728 in Defense Fiscal & defense

A finance committee member detailed the distribution of planned hires and regularizations across ministries in the 2026 draft budget.

Education takes the largest share, while the Defense Ministry’s intake supports professionalization and force readiness.

The disclosure follows weeks of debate around fiscal space and growth‑supportive allocations.

What it means: The state is prioritizing core services and security while using natural attrition and targeted recruitment to manage payroll dynamics.
Why it matters: Hiring composition will shape wage‑bill pressure, bond pricing and IMF program optics into 2026.

West Africa

Nigeria’s T‑bill auction heavily oversubscribed across tenors Markets

Investors piled into Nigerian Treasury bills at today’s sale, reflecting a hunt for yield and confidence in near‑term liquidity.

Strong cover was reported on the short and medium tenors, with pricing consistent with recent secondary‑market dynamics.

The outcome follows the authorities’ signaling of an active bill calendar to manage cash and sterilize liquidity.

What it means: Banks and money‑market funds continue to prefer sovereign paper over riskier corporate credit.
Why it matters: Robust funding reduces rollover risk for the sovereign and anchors the short end of the curve, but may crowd out private‑sector lending.

Nigeria sets uniform nationwide prices under Renewed Hope housing scheme Housing policy

The federal housing ministry announced standardized pricing by house type to streamline sales and improve affordability.

Officials said the framework will apply to ongoing and upcoming estates, with payment options aligned to mortgage partners.

The move aims to increase take‑up and reduce regional disparities in unit pricing.

What it means: A national price card simplifies underwriting and buyer expectations across states.
Why it matters: Clarity on pricing can accelerate completions, improve mortgage penetration and deepen construction supply chains. :contentReference[oaicite:3]{index=3}

Ghana think tank urges fiscal discipline and transparent costing for 24‑Hour Economy rollout Policy execution

The Centre for Policy Scrutiny called for measurable targets, institutional coordination and funding clarity as the government advances its 24‑Hour Economy agenda.

The statement presses for line‑item costing and outcomes tracking to avoid unfunded mandates. The intervention comes ahead of key budget and IMF milestones.

What it means: Stakeholders want the program tethered to credible budgets and data‑driven evaluation.
Why it matters: Execution quality will determine private‑sector participation, job creation and program durability beyond the political cycle.

East Africa

Tanzania begins sugar exports after reaching self‑sufficiency Agri‑business

Tanzania announced its first sugar exports in years after domestic output met national demand. Authorities and producers framed the milestone as the payoff from capacity expansions and policy support.

Export volumes will be calibrated to protect local availability while opening new regional markets.

What it means: Producers can shift from import‑substitution to export‑oriented planning and FX earnings.
Why it matters: A stable sugar balance lowers food inflation risk and frees reserves previously used for imports.

Kenya–Uganda expressway pitched as “investment‑ready” to accelerate corridor traffic Infrastructure

Regional authorities signaled that the proposed cross‑border expressway linking Kenya and Uganda has cleared key preparatory steps and is ready for investors.

The project is positioned to cut transit times and logistics costs along a major trade artery.
Developers are expected to evaluate PPP structures and risk‑sharing terms next.

What it means: Packaging the road for private capital could de‑risk public budgets and speed delivery.
Why it matters: Efficient corridors expand regional trade, benefiting manufacturers and agribusiness across the EAC.

Kenya: trade and tourism CEOs report the weakest growth expectations among peers Business sentiment

A new sentiment snapshot shows leaders in trade and tourism sectors are the least optimistic on near‑term growth.

Executives cite cost pressures, exchange‑rate dynamics and soft consumer demand as key constraints. The read‑out aligns with cautious hiring and capex plans into year‑end.

What it means: Services‑heavy segments remain sensitive to disposable‑income and FX volatility.
Why it matters: Sentiment informs bank credit appetite, equity valuations and fiscal revenue trajectories.

Central Africa

DRC: Tension in Bunia after FARDC patrol kills FPIC militiaman Security

Morning clashes in Bunia, Ituri, followed the killing of a militia member during an army patrol.

The incident triggered a standoff between security forces and FPIC elements amid resident anxiety. Authorities urged calm as deployments sought to prevent further escalation.

What it means: Volatility persists despite stabilization efforts and affects road movements and local commerce.
Why it matters: Security risk in Ituri raises operating costs for miners, traders and aid agencies, and can spill over into regional supply chains.

Southern Africa

South Africa signals renewed push on small modular nuclear (PBMR) Energy strategy

A senior policy round‑up today highlighted plans to lift the “care and maintenance” status of the PBMR program early next year.

Officials frame advanced nuclear as part of a diversified baseload strategy alongside grid fixes and private renewables. Any restart would hinge on financing, localization goals and updated safety cases.

What it means: Pretoria is revisiting nuclear’s role to stabilize supply and reduce diesel peaking reliance.
Why it matters: A credible SMR pathway could crowd in industrial investment and support export‑oriented manufacturing if costs pencil out.

Part of our ongoing coverage

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