Bitcoin Holds Above $77K as the Senate Moves to Curb Trump’s Iran War Powers
Live ticker intelligence
Crypto Live Market Board
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 77,337 | +0.76% | -27.58% | 76,751 | 77,481 | 76,499 | 25,442,433,024 |
| ETH | 2,128 | +0.83% | -15.72% | 2,110 | 2,135 | 2,102 | 11,655,760,896 |
| SOL | 84.88 | +0.80% | -49.62% | 84.21 | 84.99 | 83.87 | 2,643,987,200 |
| XRP | 1.37 | +0.60% | -41.92% | 1.36 | 1.37 | 1.35 | 1,854,308,224 |
| BNB | 643.85 | +0.69% | -1.00% | 639.45 | 644.16 | 637.56 | 1,099,887,360 |
| ADA | 0.25 | +0.39% | -66.58% | 0.25 | 0.25 | 0.25 | 328,527,456 |
| DOGE | 0.10 | +0.61% | -54.21% | 0.10 | 0.10 | 0.10 | 688,055,808 |
| AVAX | 9.21 | +1.22% | -59.22% | 9.10 | 9.24 | 9.07 | 138,523,520 |
| LINK | 9.58 | +1.39% | -38.94% | 9.45 | 9.61 | 9.38 | 565,683,840 |
| DOT | 1.24 | +1.20% | -73.50% | 1.22 | 1.24 | 1.22 | 79,141,080 |
| LTC | 54.05 | -0.62% | -42.74% | 54.39 | 54.46 | 53.32 | 262,761,904 |
| BCH | 368.64 | -0.27% | -6.46% | 369.65 | 370.93 | 367.77 | 499,398,720 |
| TRX | 0.36 | +0.16% | +32.42% | 0.36 | 0.36 | 0.36 | 627,934,592 |
| XLM | 0.14 | -0.66% | -50.43% | 0.14 | 0.14 | 0.14 | 123,366,576 |
| HBAR | 0.09 | +0.69% | -54.30% | 0.09 | 0.09 | 0.09 | 44,192,376 |
| NEAR | 1.64 | +2.68% | -41.48% | 1.60 | 1.67 | 1.58 | 278,385,376 |
| ATOM | 2.01 | -1.51% | -58.53% | 2.04 | 2.04 | 2.00 | 47,820,204 |
| AAVE | 87.56 | +0.25% | -66.20% | 87.34 | 88.15 | 86.77 | 180,793,472 |
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Bitcoin price today reflects Tuesday’s 0.57% tick higher to $77,193 as the Senate advanced a resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers, pulling yields and oil lower. The relief lifted crypto, but BTC stayed below its 200-DMA in a tape K33 calls uniquely pessimistic. ZEC and HYPE led; majors lagged.
The Big Three
Bitcoin closed Tuesday at $77,193 (+0.57%, +$436), a shallow bounce after a $76,440–$77,288 range. The catalyst was macro: the Senate advanced a resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers, easing the war premium that had spiked yields and oil. As the 10-year retreated from its 16-month high, risk-on relief lifted crypto.
The tape was selective. Zcash (ZEC) led at +3.53% to $582, extending a roughly 70% monthly rally on a golden-cross watch. HYPE rose 2.25% after Bitwise called it crypto’s most mispriced asset despite a 77% year-to-date gain. Against that, XRP fell 1.05%, TON dropped 4.15%, SOL and ONDO eased — rotation, not a broad rally.
BTC stays below the 200-DMA near $78,873 in what K33 calls a uniquely pessimistic bear market — defensive positioning that limits downside by reducing leverage-collapse risk. Implied volatility stays low despite the selloff. RSI fast 46.22; MACD histogram −683, bearish. Trump also ordered the Fed to review crypto access to payment rails.
02 Perpetuals Board
| Pair | Price | 24h | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $77,213 | +0.3% | $2.5B |
| ETH | $2,130 | −0.08% | $1.54B |
| SOL | $84.81 | −0.31% | $160M |
| XRP | $1.367 | −1.05% | $150M |
| HYPE | $48.67 | +2.25% | $93.6M |
| ZEC | $582.48 | +3.53% | $75.3M |
| TON | $1.951 | −4.15% | $20.1M |
| ONDO | $0.3754 | −1.6% | $32.7M |
03 Why It Held
External Trigger: Senate curbs Iran war powers
The catalyst was the Senate advancing a resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers. With strike risk reduced, Treasury yields retreated from the 16-month high near 4.7% and oil eased, removing the war premium that had pressured risk assets all week. Bitcoin, ether, XRP and solana all rebounded, though modestly — a relief bounce, not a regime change.
Winners and Losers: Privacy and a mispricing call
ZEC led at +3.53% on its privacy rally and golden-cross setup. HYPE gained 2.25% after Bitwise argued the market misprices Hyperliquid as a niche derivatives venue rather than a trading super-app. TON fell 4.15%, BCH dropped 2.44%, and XRP, SOL and ONDO eased — selective rotation into narrative names while majors consolidated below resistance.
§04 · Market Commentary
The bounce is real but shallow. Bitcoin remains below the 200-DMA near $78,873, and K33 frames the downturn as a uniquely pessimistic bear market — traders defensive, which limits downside by reducing the leverage-driven cascades of prior cycles. Low implied volatility confirms the lack of panic. The relief is genuine, but BTC needs to reclaim its moving averages before the bounce becomes a trend.
The policy backdrop is busy. Trump ordered the Fed to review crypto access to payment rails, the SEC proposed its biggest listing-rule overhaul in two decades to ease crypto IPOs, and the CFTC sued Minnesota over its prediction-markets ban as Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq. Bernstein flagged miners as critical AI-infrastructure suppliers with 27 GW of planned power. The pipeline builds even as price consolidates.
05 Technical Snapshot
Bitcoin closed at $77,193 below the 200-DMA near $78,873 and the Kijun at $78,482, the overhead resistance band. The close sits just above the $76,022 cloud edge; the cloud bottom at $74,265 is the 3.8% downside floor. RSI fast 46.22, slow 55.62 — neutral. MACD histogram −683, still bearish but the line holds positive. A consolidation below resistance, not a breakdown.
06 Forward Look
07 Questions & Answers
Verdict
Tuesday’s 0.57% tick to $77,193 was a macro relief bounce as the Senate moved to curb Trump’s Iran war powers, pulling yields and oil lower. ZEC (+3.53%) and HYPE (+2.25%) led on narrative catalysts while majors lagged. BTC stays below the 200-DMA near $78,873 in what K33 calls a uniquely pessimistic bear market, with low implied volatility confirming no panic. The policy pipeline builds. A close above $78,873 confirms the bounce; below $74,265 breaks the cloud.
Related: Monday’s altcoin rotation · Gold, silver and the yield spike · Brazil and the macro tape.
Gate today: 200-DMA $78,873. Reclaim = bounce confirmed; below $74,265 cloud = lower support.
Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Markets carry risk; consult a licensed professional before trading.
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