Bitcoin Holds Above $77K as the Senate Moves to Curb Trump’s Iran War Powers
Bitcoin price today reflects Tuesday’s 0.57% tick higher to $77,193 as the Senate advanced a resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers, pulling yields and oil lower. The relief lifted crypto, but BTC stayed below its 200-DMA in a tape K33 calls uniquely pessimistic. ZEC and HYPE led; majors lagged.
The Big Three
Bitcoin closed Tuesday at $77,193 (+0.57%, +$436), a shallow bounce after a $76,440–$77,288 range. The catalyst was macro: the Senate advanced a resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers, easing the war premium that had spiked yields and oil. As the 10-year retreated from its 16-month high, risk-on relief lifted crypto.
The tape was selective. Zcash (ZEC) led at +3.53% to $582, extending a roughly 70% monthly rally on a golden-cross watch. HYPE rose 2.25% after Bitwise called it crypto’s most mispriced asset despite a 77% year-to-date gain. Against that, XRP fell 1.05%, TON dropped 4.15%, SOL and ONDO eased — rotation, not a broad rally.
BTC stays below the 200-DMA near $78,873 in what K33 calls a uniquely pessimistic bear market — defensive positioning that limits downside by reducing leverage-collapse risk. Implied volatility stays low despite the selloff. RSI fast 46.22; MACD histogram −683, bearish. Trump also ordered the Fed to review crypto access to payment rails.
02 Perpetuals Board
| Pair | Price | 24h | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | $77,213 | +0.3% | $2.5B |
| ETH | $2,130 | −0.08% | $1.54B |
| SOL | $84.81 | −0.31% | $160M |
| XRP | $1.367 | −1.05% | $150M |
| HYPE | $48.67 | +2.25% | $93.6M |
| ZEC | $582.48 | +3.53% | $75.3M |
| TON | $1.951 | −4.15% | $20.1M |
| ONDO | $0.3754 | −1.6% | $32.7M |
Live Market IntelligenceCrypto — Live Market Board
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Crypto — Live Market Board
-0.26%
| Instrument | Last | Change | YoY | Prev. | High | Low | Volume |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| BTC | 63,384 | -0.26% | -47.24% | 63,552 | 64,346 | 63,305 | 22,774,743,040 |
| ETH | 1,886 | +0.26% | -58.90% | 1,881 | 1,920 | 1,879 | 7,916,475,392 |
| SOL | 75.89 | -0.40% | -60.44% | 76.20 | 76.99 | 75.39 | 1,473,821,056 |
| XRP | 1.01 | -1.15% | -69.07% | 1.02 | 1.02 | 1.01 | 1,144,044,416 |
| BNB | 609.60 | -1.12% | -26.81% | 616.50 | 619.30 | 609.23 | 1,266,706,432 |
| ADA | 0.18 | -1.98% | -78.22% | 0.19 | 0.19 | 0.18 | 238,085,632 |
| DOGE | 0.07 | -1.56% | -70.00% | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 553,256,192 |
| AVAX | 6.38 | +1.04% | -74.11% | 6.32 | 6.42 | 6.21 | 248,470,560 |
| LINK | 8.77 | -0.06% | -62.73% | 8.77 | 8.87 | 8.68 | 317,054,880 |
| DOT | 0.78 | -0.75% | -81.11% | 0.79 | 0.80 | 0.78 | 43,490,492 |
| LTC | 45.08 | -0.85% | -65.45% | 45.47 | 45.59 | 44.98 | 143,727,712 |
| BCH | 213.85 | +0.10% | -65.44% | 213.64 | 215.69 | 212.54 | 137,956,688 |
| TRX | 0.34 | +0.28% | -4.73% | 0.33 | 0.34 | 0.33 | 436,576,064 |
| XLM | 0.16 | -1.33% | -64.46% | 0.16 | 0.16 | 0.16 | 89,559,864 |
| HBAR | 0.07 | -0.53% | -74.67% | 0.07 | 0.07 | 0.07 | 22,546,186 |
| NEAR | 1.65 | +2.42% | -40.55% | 1.62 | 1.68 | 1.61 | 187,591,264 |
| ATOM | 1.40 | -2.36% | -70.15% | 1.44 | 1.44 | 1.40 | 18,626,964 |
| AAVE | 89.06 | +0.93% | -72.33% | 88.24 | 90.20 | 88.19 | 129,099,704 |
03 Why It Held
External Trigger: Senate curbs Iran war powers
The catalyst was the Senate advancing a resolution to curb Trump’s Iran war powers. With strike risk reduced, Treasury yields retreated from the 16-month high near 4.7% and oil eased, removing the war premium that had pressured risk assets all week. Bitcoin, ether, XRP and solana all rebounded, though modestly — a relief bounce, not a regime change.
Winners and Losers: Privacy and a mispricing call
ZEC led at +3.53% on its privacy rally and golden-cross setup. HYPE gained 2.25% after Bitwise argued the market misprices Hyperliquid as a niche derivatives venue rather than a trading super-app. TON fell 4.15%, BCH dropped 2.44%, and XRP, SOL and ONDO eased — selective rotation into narrative names while majors consolidated below resistance.
Key Facts
— The bounce is real but shallow. Bitcoin remains below the 200-DMA near $78,873, and K33 frames the downturn as a uniquely pessimistic bear market — traders defensive, which limits downside by reducing the leverage-driven cascades of prior cycles. Low implied volatility confirms the lack of panic. The relief is genuine, but BTC needs to reclaim its moving averages before the bounce becomes a trend.
— The policy backdrop is busy. Trump ordered the Fed to review crypto access to payment rails, the SEC proposed its biggest listing-rule overhaul in two decades to ease crypto IPOs, and the CFTC sued Minnesota over its prediction-markets ban as Polymarket partnered with Nasdaq. Bernstein flagged miners as critical AI-infrastructure suppliers with 27 GW of planned power. The pipeline builds even as price consolidates.
05 Technical Snapshot
Bitcoin closed at $77,193 below the 200-DMA near $78,873 and the Kijun at $78,482, the overhead resistance band. The close sits just above the $76,022 cloud edge; the cloud bottom at $74,265 is the 3.8% downside floor. RSI fast 46.22, slow 55.62 — neutral. MACD histogram −683, still bearish but the line holds positive. A consolidation below resistance, not a breakdown.
06 Forward Look
07 Questions & Answers
Key Facts
— Tuesday’s 0.57% tick to $77,193 was a macro relief bounce as the Senate moved to curb Trump’s Iran war powers, pulling yields and oil lower. ZEC (+3.53%) and HYPE (+2.25%) led on narrative catalysts while majors lagged. BTC stays below the 200-DMA near $78,873 in what K33 calls a uniquely pessimistic bear market, with low implied volatility confirming no panic. The policy pipeline builds. A close above $78,873 confirms the bounce; below $74,265 breaks the cloud.
— Related: Monday’s altcoin rotation · Gold, silver and the yield spike · Brazil and the macro tape.
— Gate today: 200-DMA $78,873. Reclaim = bounce confirmed; below $74,265 cloud = lower support.
Disclaimer: This report is editorial market analysis based on publicly available data. It is not investment advice. Markets carry risk; consult a licensed professional before trading.
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