IBOV 173,371.35 ▼ 0.20% IPSA 10,896.87 ▲ 0.10% IPC MEX 66,125.27 ▼ 0.74% MERVAL 3,223,652 ▲ 0.74% COLCAP 2,298.34 — 0.00% BVL PERÚ 55,645.90 — — USD/BRL5.08▼ 0.17% USD/MXN17.38▼ 0.27% USD/CLP933.60▼ 0.15% USD/COP3,254▼ 0.44% USD/PEN3.39▲ 0.09% USD/ARS1,481▲ 0.17% USD/UYU40.19▼ 0.10% USD/PYG6,031▼ 0.03% USD/BOB10.75▲ 2.22% USD/DOP58.25▲ 0.02% USD/CRC447.35▲ 1.43% USD/GTQ7.62▲ 2.33% USD/HNL26.74▲ 1.61% USD/NIO36.62▲ 0.84% USD/VES735.39▼ 0.13% USD/PAB1.00— 0.00% USD/BZD2.00— 0.00% USD/JMD157.59— 0.00% USD/TTD6.73▼ 0.21% EUR/BRL5.80▼ 0.89% BRENT 89.06 ▼ 0.18% WTI 82.64 ▼ 0.71% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.48 ▲ 2.79% GOLD 4,078 ▲ 1.68% SILVER 59.17 ▲ 4.16% SOY 1,229 ▲ 0.22% CORN 474.00 ▲ 5.45% WHEAT 678.00 ▲ 0.59% COFFEE 323.50 ▼ 1.51% SUGAR 14.81 ▼ 0.13% ORANGE JUICE 146.90 ▲ 6.30% COTTON 78.88 ▲ 2.35% COCOA 5,507 ▼ 0.47% BEEF 223.30 ▼ 0.50% CATTLE 346.78 ▲ 0.24% LITHIUM 66.92 ▼ 2.14% PETR4 41.15 ▲ 0.61% VALE3 71.93 ▼ 1.38% ITUB4 42.30 ▲ 0.81% BBDC4 18.41 ▲ 0.66% ABEV3 15.79 ▲ 1.02% BBAS3 20.17 ▼ 1.56% B3SA3 15.26 ▲ 0.39% WEGE3 43.13 ▼ 1.15% PRIO3 57.69 ▼ 0.28% SUZB3 41.89 ▼ 0.10% RENT3 37.49 ▼ 1.94% AZZA3 18.17 ▼ 2.26% CSAN3 3.82 ▼ 0.52% RAIZ4 0.27 ▼ 6.90% PCAR3 2.60 — 0.00% GMAT3 3.85 ▼ 0.77% PSSA3 54.20 ▼ 1.70% CVCB3 1.08 ▼ 11.48% POSI3 3.70 ▼ 2.63% SLCE3 13.57 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.63 ▲ 0.94% BRKM5 5.94 ▼ 4.04% RANI3 7.99 ▲ 0.50% CSNA3 5.07 ▲ 0.40% CMIN3 5.39 ▲ 1.13% USIM5 8.16 ▼ 0.85% GGBR4 23.62 ▼ 1.75% ENEV3 25.65 ▼ 0.12% CPFE3 46.32 ▼ 1.17% CMIG4 11.02 ▼ 0.90% EQTL3 39.29 ▼ 0.53% LREN3 13.31 ▼ 0.82% VIVT3 35.67 ▲ 0.42% RAIL3 13.57 ▼ 0.95% KLABIN 17.48 ▼ 0.57% RAIA DROGASIL 18.69 ▲ 0.75% RDOR3 35.45 ▼ 0.92% HAPV3 11.55 ▲ 1.49% FLRY3 16.56 ▼ 0.18% SMTO3 15.41 ▼ 0.26% UGPA3 31.70 ▼ 1.15% VBBR3 34.11 ▼ 2.32% BBSE3 41.05 ▼ 0.17% BPAC11 55.84 ▼ 0.61% CURY3 30.19 ▼ 1.57% AERI3 2.07 ▲ 2.48% VIVARA 21.96 ▼ 2.14% COMPASS 24.60 ▼ 1.13% VAMOS 3.09 ▼ 2.52% SANB11 27.01 ▲ 1.35% ASAI3 8.14 ▼ 4.24% SBSP3 28.98 ▼ 0.82% WALMEX 49.38 ▼ 0.22% GMEXICO 201.45 ▲ 0.42% FEMSA 226.85 ▲ 0.49% CEMEX 21.81 ▼ 4.05% GFNORTE 180.00 ▼ 0.74% BIMBO 59.31 ▲ 2.26% TELEVISA 9.71 ▲ 1.46% AMX 22.74 ▼ 1.13% GAP 378.19 ▼ 2.02% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA 226.42 ▼ 1.82% KOF 180.95 ▲ 0.11% GRUMA 287.60 ▲ 0.39% KIMBER 38.39 ▼ 0.72% SQM-B 63,400 ▼ 3.13% COPEC 6,345 ▲ 1.53% BSANTANDER 78.90 ▲ 2.47% FALABELLA 5,850 ▲ 0.26% ENELAM 84.67 ▲ 0.75% CENCOSUD 2,005 ▲ 0.50% CMPC 1,088 ▲ 1.68% BANCO CHILE 189.95 ▲ 0.77% LATAM AIR 24.36 ▼ 1.62% YPF 79,200 ▲ 1.67% GGAL 7,845 ▼ 0.19% PAMPA 5,270 ▲ 1.93% TXAR 675.00 ▲ 1.66% ALUAR 959.50 ▲ 1.05% TGS 9,500 ▲ 1.39% CEPU 2,289 ▲ 1.10% MIRGOR 17,125 ▲ 1.48% COME 42.95 ▼ 2.03% LOMA NEGRA 3,558 ▲ 0.99% BYMA 294.50 ▼ 1.09% TELECOM ARG 4,145 ▼ 0.12% ECOPETROL 16.04 ▼ 0.34% BANCOLOMBIA 80.82 ▲ 0.51% GRUPO AVAL 4.95 ▲ 0.61% CREDICORP 386.85 ▼ 0.96% SOUTHERN COPPER 175.07 ▲ 1.50% BUENAVENTURA 30.06 ▼ 0.60% MERCADOLIBRE 1,832 ▲ 1.02% NUBANK 13.99 ▲ 2.94% XP 16.80 ▲ 0.78% PAGSEGURO 9.29 ▲ 2.77% STONE 11.12 ▼ 0.27% GLOBANT 32.29 ▲ 0.19% TECNOGLASS 46.11 ▼ 0.80% GAP AIRPORT 217.12 ▼ 1.72% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA AIRPORT 104.01 ▼ 1.23% AMX ADR 26.10 ▼ 0.65% FEMSA ADR 130.01 ▲ 0.77% CEMEX ADR 12.49 ▼ 3.70% PETROBRAS ADR 18.19 ▲ 1.22% VALE ADR 14.10 ▼ 0.63% ITAU ADR 8.32 ▲ 1.46% SANTANDER BR 5.38 ▲ 2.67% AMBEV ADR 3.08 ▲ 1.65% CSN 1.01 ▲ 2.02% GERDAU 4.68 ▼ 0.85% LATAM ADR 51.74 ▼ 1.56% BTC 65,864 ▲ 0.97% ETH 1,933 ▲ 1.55% SOL 78.46 ▲ 0.86% XRP 1.13 ▲ 1.72% BNB 575.22 ▲ 0.79% ADA 0.18 ▲ 3.13% DOGE 0.07 ▲ 1.18% AVAX 6.65 ▲ 1.12% LINK 8.68 ▲ 1.16% DOT 0.85 ▲ 3.25% LTC 47.48 ▲ 0.30% BCH 222.70 ▲ 1.27% TRX 0.33 ▼ 0.08% XLM 0.19 ▲ 0.89% HBAR 0.07 ▲ 0.98% NEAR 2.02 ▲ 2.35% ATOM 1.51 ▲ 0.80% AAVE 93.94 ▲ 4.64% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 83.29 ▲ 1.88% EMBRAER ADR 65.93 ▲ 2.87% JBS 12.03 ▲ 1.01% JBS BDR 60.79 ▲ 0.98% MBRF3 14.52 ▼ 3.39% MBRFY 2.91 — 0.00% INTER 5.62 ▲ 4.66% EGX 53,548 ▲ 0.80% USD/ZAR16.43▼ 0.59% USD/NGN 1,376 — 0.00% NIKKEI 66,232 ▲ 3.26% CSI300 4,739 ▲ 3.06% HSI 25,178 ▲ 0.14% NIFTY 24,170 ▼ 0.28% KOSPI 6,748 ▲ 3.56% JCI 6,330 ▲ 1.58% USD/JPY162.58▲ 0.05% USD/CNY6.75▼ 0.21% DAX 24,891 ▲ 0.18% CAC 8,351 ▲ 0.13% FTSE 10,493 ▼ 0.30% MIB 52,132 ▲ 0.52% IBEX 19,267 ▲ 0.31% STOXX 640.35 ▲ 0.12% EUR/USD1.14▲ 0.12% GBP/USD1.34▲ 0.01% SPX 7,443 ▼ 0.19% DJI 51,839 ▼ 0.59% NDX 28,604 ▲ 0.04% RUT 2,942 ▼ 0.67% TSX 34,960 ▼ 0.86% VIX 18.65 — 0.00% USD/CAD1.41▼ 0.06% US10Y 4.5980 ▲ 1.26% IBOV 173,371.35 ▼ 0.20% IPSA 10,896.87 ▲ 0.10% IPC MEX 66,125.27 ▼ 0.74% MERVAL 3,223,652 ▲ 0.74% COLCAP 2,298.34 — 0.00% BVL PERÚ 55,645.90 — — USD/BRL 5.08 ▼ 0.17% USD/MXN 17.38 ▼ 0.27% USD/CLP 933.60 ▼ 0.15% USD/COP 3,254 ▼ 0.44% USD/PEN 3.39 ▲ 0.09% USD/ARS 1,481 ▲ 0.17% USD/UYU 40.19 ▲ 1.43% USD/PYG 6,031 ▲ 1.52% USD/BOB 10.75 ▲ 2.22% USD/DOP 58.25 ▲ 0.02% USD/CRC 447.35 ▲ 1.43% USD/GTQ 7.62 ▲ 2.33% USD/HNL 26.74 ▲ 1.61% USD/NIO 36.62 ▲ 0.84% USD/VES 735.39 ▼ 0.13% USD/PAB 1.00 — 0.00% USD/BZD 2.00 — 0.00% USD/JMD 157.59 ▲ 0.60% USD/TTD 6.73 ▲ 1.11% EUR/BRL 5.80 ▼ 0.89% BRENT 89.06 ▼ 0.18% WTI 82.64 ▼ 0.71% IRON ORE 161.91 — — COPPER 6.48 ▲ 2.79% GOLD 4,078 ▲ 1.68% SILVER 59.17 ▲ 4.16% SOY 1,229 ▲ 0.22% CORN 474.00 ▲ 5.45% WHEAT 678.00 ▲ 0.59% COFFEE 323.50 ▼ 1.51% SUGAR 14.81 ▼ 0.13% ORANGE JUICE 146.90 ▲ 6.30% COTTON 78.88 ▲ 2.35% COCOA 5,507 ▼ 0.47% BEEF 223.30 ▼ 0.50% CATTLE 346.78 ▲ 0.24% LITHIUM 66.92 ▼ 2.14% PETR4 41.15 ▲ 0.61% VALE3 71.93 ▼ 1.38% ITUB4 42.30 ▲ 0.81% BBDC4 18.41 ▲ 0.66% ABEV3 15.79 ▲ 1.02% BBAS3 20.17 ▼ 1.56% B3SA3 15.26 ▲ 0.39% WEGE3 43.13 ▼ 1.15% PRIO3 57.69 ▼ 0.28% SUZB3 41.89 ▼ 0.10% RENT3 37.49 ▼ 1.94% AZZA3 18.17 ▼ 2.26% CSAN3 3.82 ▼ 0.52% RAIZ4 0.27 ▼ 6.90% PCAR3 2.60 — 0.00% GMAT3 3.85 ▼ 0.77% PSSA3 54.20 ▼ 1.70% CVCB3 1.08 ▼ 11.48% POSI3 3.70 ▼ 2.63% SLCE3 13.57 ▲ 0.30% NATU3 8.63 ▲ 0.94% BRKM5 5.94 ▼ 4.04% RANI3 7.99 ▲ 0.50% CSNA3 5.07 ▲ 0.40% CMIN3 5.39 ▲ 1.13% USIM5 8.16 ▼ 0.85% GGBR4 23.62 ▼ 1.75% ENEV3 25.65 ▼ 0.12% CPFE3 46.32 ▼ 1.17% CMIG4 11.02 ▼ 0.90% EQTL3 39.29 ▼ 0.53% LREN3 13.31 ▼ 0.82% VIVT3 35.67 ▲ 0.42% RAIL3 13.57 ▼ 0.95% KLABIN 17.48 ▼ 0.57% RAIA DROGASIL 18.69 ▲ 0.75% RDOR3 35.45 ▼ 0.92% HAPV3 11.55 ▲ 1.49% FLRY3 16.56 ▼ 0.18% SMTO3 15.41 ▼ 0.26% UGPA3 31.70 ▼ 1.15% VBBR3 34.11 ▼ 2.32% BBSE3 41.05 ▼ 0.17% BPAC11 55.84 ▼ 0.61% CURY3 30.19 ▼ 1.57% AERI3 2.07 ▲ 2.48% VIVARA 21.96 ▼ 2.14% COMPASS 24.60 ▼ 1.13% VAMOS 3.09 ▼ 2.52% SANB11 27.01 ▲ 1.35% ASAI3 8.14 ▼ 4.24% SBSP3 28.98 ▼ 0.82% WALMEX 49.38 ▼ 0.22% GMEXICO 201.45 ▲ 0.42% FEMSA 226.85 ▲ 0.49% CEMEX 21.81 ▼ 4.05% GFNORTE 180.00 ▼ 0.74% BIMBO 59.31 ▲ 2.26% TELEVISA 9.71 ▲ 1.46% AMX 22.74 ▼ 1.13% GAP 378.19 ▼ 2.02% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA 226.42 ▼ 1.82% KOF 180.95 ▲ 0.11% GRUMA 287.60 ▲ 0.39% KIMBER 38.39 ▼ 0.72% SQM-B 63,400 ▼ 3.13% COPEC 6,345 ▲ 1.53% BSANTANDER 78.90 ▲ 2.47% FALABELLA 5,850 ▲ 0.26% ENELAM 84.67 ▲ 0.75% CENCOSUD 2,005 ▲ 0.50% CMPC 1,088 ▲ 1.68% BANCO CHILE 189.95 ▲ 0.77% LATAM AIR 24.36 ▼ 1.62% YPF 79,200 ▲ 1.67% GGAL 7,845 ▼ 0.19% PAMPA 5,270 ▲ 1.93% TXAR 675.00 ▲ 1.66% ALUAR 959.50 ▲ 1.05% TGS 9,500 ▲ 1.39% CEPU 2,289 ▲ 1.10% MIRGOR 17,125 ▲ 1.48% COME 42.95 ▼ 2.03% LOMA NEGRA 3,558 ▲ 0.99% BYMA 294.50 ▼ 1.09% TELECOM ARG 4,145 ▼ 0.12% ECOPETROL 16.04 ▼ 0.34% BANCOLOMBIA 80.82 ▲ 0.51% GRUPO AVAL 4.95 ▲ 0.61% CREDICORP 386.85 ▼ 0.96% SOUTHERN COPPER 175.07 ▲ 1.50% BUENAVENTURA 30.06 ▼ 0.60% MERCADOLIBRE 1,832 ▲ 1.02% NUBANK 13.99 ▲ 2.94% XP 16.80 ▲ 0.78% PAGSEGURO 9.29 ▲ 2.77% STONE 11.12 ▼ 0.27% GLOBANT 32.29 ▲ 0.19% TECNOGLASS 46.11 ▼ 0.80% GAP AIRPORT 217.12 ▼ 1.72% ASUR 274.37 ▼ 1.91% OMA AIRPORT 104.01 ▼ 1.23% AMX ADR 26.10 ▼ 0.65% FEMSA ADR 130.01 ▲ 0.77% CEMEX ADR 12.49 ▼ 3.70% PETROBRAS ADR 18.19 ▲ 1.22% VALE ADR 14.10 ▼ 0.63% ITAU ADR 8.32 ▲ 1.46% SANTANDER BR 5.38 ▲ 2.67% AMBEV ADR 3.08 ▲ 1.65% CSN 1.01 ▲ 2.02% GERDAU 4.68 ▼ 0.85% LATAM ADR 51.74 ▼ 1.56% BTC 65,864 ▲ 0.97% ETH 1,933 ▲ 1.55% SOL 78.46 ▲ 0.86% XRP 1.13 ▲ 1.72% BNB 575.22 ▲ 0.79% ADA 0.18 ▲ 3.13% DOGE 0.07 ▲ 1.18% AVAX 6.65 ▲ 1.12% LINK 8.68 ▲ 1.16% DOT 0.85 ▲ 3.25% LTC 47.48 ▲ 0.30% BCH 222.70 ▲ 1.27% TRX 0.33 ▼ 0.08% XLM 0.19 ▲ 0.89% HBAR 0.07 ▲ 0.98% NEAR 2.02 ▲ 2.35% ATOM 1.51 ▲ 0.80% AAVE 93.94 ▲ 4.64% SELIC 14.25% EMBRAER 83.29 ▲ 1.88% EMBRAER ADR 65.93 ▲ 2.87% JBS 12.03 ▲ 1.01% JBS BDR 60.79 ▲ 0.98% MBRF3 14.52 ▼ 3.39% MBRFY 2.91 — 0.00% INTER 5.62 ▲ 4.66% EGX 53,548 ▲ 0.80% USD/ZAR 16.43 ▼ 0.38% USD/NGN 1,376 — 0.00% NIKKEI 66,232 ▲ 3.26% CSI300 4,739 ▲ 3.06% HSI 25,178 ▲ 0.14% NIFTY 24,170 ▼ 0.28% KOSPI 6,748 ▲ 3.56% JCI 6,330 ▲ 1.58% USD/JPY 162.57 ▲ 0.07% USD/CNY 6.7644 ▲ 0.10% DAX 24,891 ▲ 0.18% CAC 8,351 ▲ 0.13% FTSE 10,493 ▼ 0.30% MIB 52,132 ▲ 0.52% IBEX 19,267 ▲ 0.31% STOXX 640.35 ▲ 0.12% EUR/USD 1.1429 ▲ 0.13% GBP/USD 1.3448 ▲ 0.16% SPX 7,443 ▼ 0.19% DJI 51,839 ▼ 0.59% NDX 28,604 ▲ 0.04% RUT 2,942 ▼ 0.67% TSX 34,960 ▼ 0.86% VIX 18.65 — 0.00% USD/CAD 1.4061 ▼ 0.12% US10Y 4.5980 ▲ 1.26%
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Tuesday, July 21, 2026

Latin America Colombia

Colombia Buys $290M in Dollars to Fund $4 Billion Bond Buyback

By · April 16, 2026 · 4 min read

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Key Points

Colombia’s Ministry of Finance bought more than US$290 million net in dollars on Tuesday and continued purchases Wednesday, according to BTG Pactual and BBVA estimates cited by Bloomberg, as the government readies a US$4 billion external bond buyback targeting dollar-denominated paper with coupons above 7%.

The peso fell more than 1% on the dollar purchases, making it one of the worst-performing emerging market currencies Wednesday, with the TRM reaching $3,603.19 (still down 16.78% year-over-year). Colombia’s 2035 dollar bonds rose more than a cent to trade near 110 cents, the highest since November, as the prospect of supply reduction boosted existing paper.

The debt operation lands in the middle of a public feud between President Gustavo Petro and BanRep over the central bank’s 100-basis-point rate hike to 11.25% on March 31. Petro has called the decision “stupidity,” “fascism,” and “economic genocide.” BanRep governor Leonardo Villar responded in Congress: “Genocide is being a murderer.”

Deep Dive
Colombia economy guide →

Three stories in one: Javier Cuéllar’s debt team is doing what it does well—extending duration, cutting coupons, managing risk. Petro is attacking the central bank that he himself partially nominated. And Colombia’s May presidential election clock is ticking.

The Colombia bond buyback that Public Credit Director Javier Cuéllar announced this week marks the country’s most aggressive sovereign liability-management operation of 2026 and arrives in the middle of a constitutional showdown between the executive branch and the Banco de la República. The Rio Times, the Latin American financial news outlet, reports that the Ministry of Finance began accumulating dollars on Tuesday—more than US$290 million net in a single session, per BTG Pactual and BBVA—to fund a US$4 billion repurchase of dollar-denominated global bonds carrying coupons above 7%, with maturities spanning 2026 through 2054.

The Buyback Mechanics

Colombia has slightly more than US$43 billion in outstanding bonds denominated in dollars and euros, and last week’s TES local buyback of 5.4 trillion pesos (US$1.5 billion) was the domestic precursor to this week’s external operation. Cuéllar’s stated objective is straightforward: reduce interest costs by replacing high-coupon legacy paper. A similar operation in late 2025 swapped 8.4% average coupons for 5.7% new issuance, generating approximately US$600 million in savings.

Colombia Buys $290M in Dollars to Fund $4 Billion Bond Buyback. (Photo Internet reproduction)
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Cuéllar is also racing to unwind a controversial US$9.3 billion total-return swap denominated in Swiss francs before Colombia’s May presidential election. Roughly half that position has already been canceled. The timing is deliberate: markets are pricing meaningful uncertainty around whether a Petro successor would maintain the same pace of liability management, and Cuéllar wants the complex positions settled before the political transition begins.

Live Company IntelligenceBanco BTG Pactual S.A. — the full investor dossierInside: live share price, market cap, three-year financials, valuation, ESG and peer benchmarks — plus the latest Rio Times coverage.
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◆ Live Company Intelligence
Banco BTG Pactual
SA: BPAC11BPAC11Financial ServicesCapital Markets8,543 employees
R$188.16B
Market cap

Valuation & profitability

Market capR$188.16B
Revenue (TTM)R$44.64B
P / E ratio90.9
Profit margin38.8%
Return on equity24.8%

Price & risk

52-wk low
$37.06
52-wk high
$65.50
Beta (volatility)0.34
200-day average$54.82

Revenue trend · 6y

20202025
Latest R$114.52B

Ownership

Institutions28.6%
Shares outstanding3.34B

Dividend

Yield0.6%
Payout ratio27.0%
Fwd. annual$1.40
What Banco BTG Pactual does. Banco BTG Pactual S.A. provides financial products and services regarding commercial, investments, credit, financing, capital lease, insurance, and foreign exchange portfolios in Brazil and internationally. The company also offers personal investment services for a customized investment portfolio; international banking account services, including debit card, transfer, payment and receipt, and customer support services.…
Data: EODHD fundamentals (BPAC11.SA) · figures in BRL · as of 21 Jul 2026More company intelligence →

Why the Peso Is Falling

The peso’s 1%+ decline this week reversed it from a five-year peak reached earlier in April, and the move has a clear driver: when the government buys dollars to retire dollar debt, it adds temporary demand pressure to the local FX market. XP Investments Latin America strategist Andrés Pardo called the timing unsurprising: “This also combines with the objective of reducing short-term refinancing risk.” Colombian dollar bonds rose across the curve, with 2035s hitting 110 cents—their highest level since November—as the announced reduction in outstanding supply lifted remaining paper.

The fiscal backdrop that makes the buyback attractive also makes it necessary. Earlier in 2026, Colombia suspended its debt limits after projecting the widest fiscal deficit since the pandemic, with the 2026 primary deficit revised to 2% of GDP from 1.4%. Cuéllar is using the Iran-war oil windfall—Brent is projected to average above US$100 per barrel if the Strait of Hormuz remains closed another month, according to Goldman Sachs—to finance a meaningful fiscal cushion in 2026 and 2027 that he described as “new revenues not anticipated at the start of the year.”

The Petro-BanRep War

The debt operation’s favorable backdrop is being overshadowed by an escalating fight between the Petro government and the central bank. BanRep raised its benchmark rate by 100 basis points to 11.25% on March 31, with four directors voting for the increase, two for a 50bp cut, and one for holding. Inflation at 5.29% in February justified the majority decision, but Petro has called it “stupidity,” “fascism,” and “economic genocide,” and Finance Minister Germán Ávila walked out of the board meeting after losing the vote.

BanRep governor Leonardo Villar pushed back during a congressional hearing on April 15, the same day the bond buyback operation accelerated. “Genocide is being a murderer, and I cannot stay silent in the face of what the president says in a council of ministers—that board members act as genocidaires,” Villar told lawmakers, while defending the rate hike as a technical decision to preserve financial stability. Petro has also publicly criticized codirector Laura Moisá—whom he himself appointed in January 2025—as “fascist.”

What Markets Are Watching

The Colombian peso’s 17% year-over-year appreciation against the dollar gives the Ministry of Finance favorable entry points for its buyback operation, and the divergence between Petro’s confrontational rhetoric and Cuéllar’s technocratic execution is exactly the two-track Colombia that credit investors have learned to price. The May 31 presidential elections remain the defining near-term risk, since a Petro successor from the right could re-anchor fiscal expectations while a continuation of the current agenda under a new Pacto Histórico candidate would reinforce the structural deficit concerns that drove the IMF’s 2.3% Colombia growth forecast for 2026. In the meantime, Cuéllar is managing what he can manage—the coupon stack, the FX timing, the Swiss franc swap unwind—while Petro fights the battle he chose with BanRep, and the peso absorbs both.

Related Coverage: IMF WEO: Colombia 2.3% Growth 2026Chile’s Kast Unveils MegareformIMF Clears Argentina Second Review

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